Denver
is missing their 2 best defenders in Dumervill and Bailey. I expect
Tennessee to finally get Chris Johnson going and use their 'new-found'
passing game to keep Denver off-balance all day. If the Broncos gave up
over 300 yards to a rookie at home last week, what will happen when
they face a veteran on the road today? On the other side, the Broncos
will have trouble moving the ball against a very solid Tennessee
defense. Denver has played 2 close games at home to start the season
but they will be very outclassed in this one here. Titans also have the
'revenge' angle in their favor after losing to Denver on the road last
season. Final Score: 27-13
#2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 Big
game here for both squads. I know that the Bucs struggle to stop the
run and the Falcons have a 'bulldozer' in Turner, but what do you think
the game-plan will be this week for Tampa Bay? Atlanta's passing game
is not as 'great' as some think and I see Talib doing an adequate job on
Roddy White. Atlanta is in the bottom quarter of the league in YPA and
if they fall behind, it might be tough for them to come back on the
road here. Tampa has played very well in the 2nd half of games this
year. They moved the ball against both Detroit and Minnesota, and I see
them putting it all together in this one. Atlanta isn't just
over-rated on offense, they're very over-rated defensively as well. I
know that Freeman and Co. lost 4 straight to the Falcons over the past 2
years. The interesting thing is that Atlanta were favorites in all 4
of those contests. Well, Bucs are favored in this one. Hmmm. Does
Vegas expect Tampa to finally win one in this matchup? Not sure, but I
most definitely do. Score: 27-21
#3: Seattle Seahawks +3.5
Yes,
Seattle deserves to be considered one of the worst teams in the league
after their horrible start to the season, but let's not forget that
Arizona is not that far behind. Giving up over 400+ passing yards to a
rookie QB at home in week 1 and then blowing a lead on the road in game
2, supports the fact that Arizona is not a very good team. Sure their
offense looked pretty good in both, but defensively this team is
atrocious. It's due to their pathetic D why I feel that Seattle is an
excellent live home-doggie in this one. This is Seattle's first home
game of the season after playing 2 tough road contests against 2 of the
best defenses in the league. They're getting Sidney Rice back for this
one and even though most don't think it's a bid deal, he's played with
Jackson in the past and the 2 have some sort of a rapport together. I
expect Jackson to take more shots down the field in this one, and of
course to have much more success. At the same time, Seattle's run-d has
actually been very solid, holding Gore, Mendenhall, and Co. to 3.1 YPC,
good for 5th best in the league. With hobbled Beanie Wells, I expect
them to shut-down Zona's run game. Balance is very important to a
successful offense, and even a mediocre secondary can play much better
if the threat of a run-game is taken away. Finally, let's not forget
that Seattle is one of the toughest places to play at. I expect a solid
effort here from the home-team as they win a close one. Score: 24-21
Denver
is missing their 2 best defenders in Dumervill and Bailey. I expect
Tennessee to finally get Chris Johnson going and use their 'new-found'
passing game to keep Denver off-balance all day. If the Broncos gave up
over 300 yards to a rookie at home last week, what will happen when
they face a veteran on the road today? On the other side, the Broncos
will have trouble moving the ball against a very solid Tennessee
defense. Denver has played 2 close games at home to start the season
but they will be very outclassed in this one here. Titans also have the
'revenge' angle in their favor after losing to Denver on the road last
season. Final Score: 27-13
#2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 Big
game here for both squads. I know that the Bucs struggle to stop the
run and the Falcons have a 'bulldozer' in Turner, but what do you think
the game-plan will be this week for Tampa Bay? Atlanta's passing game
is not as 'great' as some think and I see Talib doing an adequate job on
Roddy White. Atlanta is in the bottom quarter of the league in YPA and
if they fall behind, it might be tough for them to come back on the
road here. Tampa has played very well in the 2nd half of games this
year. They moved the ball against both Detroit and Minnesota, and I see
them putting it all together in this one. Atlanta isn't just
over-rated on offense, they're very over-rated defensively as well. I
know that Freeman and Co. lost 4 straight to the Falcons over the past 2
years. The interesting thing is that Atlanta were favorites in all 4
of those contests. Well, Bucs are favored in this one. Hmmm. Does
Vegas expect Tampa to finally win one in this matchup? Not sure, but I
most definitely do. Score: 27-21
#3: Seattle Seahawks +3.5
Yes,
Seattle deserves to be considered one of the worst teams in the league
after their horrible start to the season, but let's not forget that
Arizona is not that far behind. Giving up over 400+ passing yards to a
rookie QB at home in week 1 and then blowing a lead on the road in game
2, supports the fact that Arizona is not a very good team. Sure their
offense looked pretty good in both, but defensively this team is
atrocious. It's due to their pathetic D why I feel that Seattle is an
excellent live home-doggie in this one. This is Seattle's first home
game of the season after playing 2 tough road contests against 2 of the
best defenses in the league. They're getting Sidney Rice back for this
one and even though most don't think it's a bid deal, he's played with
Jackson in the past and the 2 have some sort of a rapport together. I
expect Jackson to take more shots down the field in this one, and of
course to have much more success. At the same time, Seattle's run-d has
actually been very solid, holding Gore, Mendenhall, and Co. to 3.1 YPC,
good for 5th best in the league. With hobbled Beanie Wells, I expect
them to shut-down Zona's run game. Balance is very important to a
successful offense, and even a mediocre secondary can play much better
if the threat of a run-game is taken away. Finally, let's not forget
that Seattle is one of the toughest places to play at. I expect a solid
effort here from the home-team as they win a close one. Score: 24-21
Everyone
expects 'offense, offense, and more offense' in this game. Well not so
fast. Texans have the best D through the first 2 games of the season,
holding opponents to 10 points per game and 271 yards per game. I know
that the Colts were missing Manning, but Miami was coming off a 'huge'
offensive game in week 1, and this Texans D did a great job holding them
down on the road. On the other side, NO is #12 defensively and did an
excellent job at home against the Bears last week. Of course Houston is
a step-up in class, but getting Smith back on that D-line will make NO
even better. The real 'key' to this UNDER play is the fact that I
expect both teams to run the ball in this one. Both Houston and New
Orleans could be exploited through the run. Houston gave up over 100+
yards to a rookie last week and I see NO using Ingram a lot today.
Running the ball will bleed the clock and keep the opposing offense off
the field. This total is way too 'overinflated' IMO. Score: 24-20
#5: Green Bay Packers -4
I
know this is a huge 'rivalry' game and Bears are at home, but Packers
are just a much better team. Last year, Green Bay gave the game away by
having 18 penalties and turning the ball over in critical times of the
game. Chicago scored 13 in the 4th quarter to win by 3 even though they
got out-gained by over 100+ yards. Today it will come down to the
O-line play. Bears are missing Carimi today making their line even
weaker. I see Matthews and Co. having a 'field-day'. Of course Chicago
will try to run the ball more, but Packers front 7 should keep that in
check. On the other side, Packers' O-line has been very impressive the
first 2 weeks of the season. They've allowed only 3 sacks so far and
have done a great job in the running game. I don't see Chicago's aging D
having as much success against them today, compared to how well they
fared against this line last year. Score: 27-17
#6: Teaser: Patriots -1 / Eagles -3 Sure
Buffalo is playing really well right now, but they needed a 'miracle'
come-back last year to beat the Raiders at home. If Pats have the same
lead in the 1st half it's 'game-over'! New England has won like 10+ in
row in this matchup (I really don't know but I can't even remember the
last time Bills won against them) and even with Hernandez, Chung, and
Haynesworth out today I don't see Buffalo being able to stop this
offense. On the other side, expect Bellichick to have a solid game-plan
to slow down Fitzgerald.
Eagles are my favorite 'teaser' team
this week! I'm not sure how this depleted Giants secondary is going to
stop Vick and Co. At the same time, Giants are missing both Manningham
and Hixon, Cruz is terrible, and I'm sure Eli Manning is already
regretting calling himself an 'elite' QB in this league. The guy is
what we thought he was -- a marginal QB who is better suited to be a
game-manager than an ELITE performer. Eagles win by double digits!
This was going to be a 'regular' play for me but the fact that htis is a
divisional rivalry has kept me 'off'. Eagles could very well be up by
14 late in the 4th and give up a 'garbage' TD to lose the cover. A
teaser is a safer play.
Good luck!
Action teaser: Eagles -3 / Browns +7.5
HIllis
and his UNDER 4 average is gone this week. The books are over-reacting
a bit in my opinion. Miami's secondary is filled with injuries as
Davis is out and the other 2 corners are hobbled with injuries. Expect
McCoy and Co. to keep this one close.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Everyone
expects 'offense, offense, and more offense' in this game. Well not so
fast. Texans have the best D through the first 2 games of the season,
holding opponents to 10 points per game and 271 yards per game. I know
that the Colts were missing Manning, but Miami was coming off a 'huge'
offensive game in week 1, and this Texans D did a great job holding them
down on the road. On the other side, NO is #12 defensively and did an
excellent job at home against the Bears last week. Of course Houston is
a step-up in class, but getting Smith back on that D-line will make NO
even better. The real 'key' to this UNDER play is the fact that I
expect both teams to run the ball in this one. Both Houston and New
Orleans could be exploited through the run. Houston gave up over 100+
yards to a rookie last week and I see NO using Ingram a lot today.
Running the ball will bleed the clock and keep the opposing offense off
the field. This total is way too 'overinflated' IMO. Score: 24-20
#5: Green Bay Packers -4
I
know this is a huge 'rivalry' game and Bears are at home, but Packers
are just a much better team. Last year, Green Bay gave the game away by
having 18 penalties and turning the ball over in critical times of the
game. Chicago scored 13 in the 4th quarter to win by 3 even though they
got out-gained by over 100+ yards. Today it will come down to the
O-line play. Bears are missing Carimi today making their line even
weaker. I see Matthews and Co. having a 'field-day'. Of course Chicago
will try to run the ball more, but Packers front 7 should keep that in
check. On the other side, Packers' O-line has been very impressive the
first 2 weeks of the season. They've allowed only 3 sacks so far and
have done a great job in the running game. I don't see Chicago's aging D
having as much success against them today, compared to how well they
fared against this line last year. Score: 27-17
#6: Teaser: Patriots -1 / Eagles -3 Sure
Buffalo is playing really well right now, but they needed a 'miracle'
come-back last year to beat the Raiders at home. If Pats have the same
lead in the 1st half it's 'game-over'! New England has won like 10+ in
row in this matchup (I really don't know but I can't even remember the
last time Bills won against them) and even with Hernandez, Chung, and
Haynesworth out today I don't see Buffalo being able to stop this
offense. On the other side, expect Bellichick to have a solid game-plan
to slow down Fitzgerald.
Eagles are my favorite 'teaser' team
this week! I'm not sure how this depleted Giants secondary is going to
stop Vick and Co. At the same time, Giants are missing both Manningham
and Hixon, Cruz is terrible, and I'm sure Eli Manning is already
regretting calling himself an 'elite' QB in this league. The guy is
what we thought he was -- a marginal QB who is better suited to be a
game-manager than an ELITE performer. Eagles win by double digits!
This was going to be a 'regular' play for me but the fact that htis is a
divisional rivalry has kept me 'off'. Eagles could very well be up by
14 late in the 4th and give up a 'garbage' TD to lose the cover. A
teaser is a safer play.
Good luck!
Action teaser: Eagles -3 / Browns +7.5
HIllis
and his UNDER 4 average is gone this week. The books are over-reacting
a bit in my opinion. Miami's secondary is filled with injuries as
Davis is out and the other 2 corners are hobbled with injuries. Expect
McCoy and Co. to keep this one close.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Love your bases Bodio, but I m sorry to say you are pure fade material in pigskin. Hang in there.
Hope you do that the rest of the season douchebag. Let's see how you end up. I guess your such a good capper you keep your picks to yourself huh? Good luck with fading him the rest of the football season.
Love your bases Bodio, but I m sorry to say you are pure fade material in pigskin. Hang in there.
Hope you do that the rest of the season douchebag. Let's see how you end up. I guess your such a good capper you keep your picks to yourself huh? Good luck with fading him the rest of the football season.
Hope you do that the rest of the season douchebag. Let's see how you end up. I guess your such a good capper you keep your picks to yourself huh? Good luck with fading him the rest of the football season.
lot of confidence coming from you, have you ever heard of a losing season?
i've been a professional gambler for many years, and believe me i've had losing season and i'm not scared or embarrassed to admit that. hope i'm wrong and hope everyone can win a lot of money, but that's life
Hope you do that the rest of the season douchebag. Let's see how you end up. I guess your such a good capper you keep your picks to yourself huh? Good luck with fading him the rest of the football season.
lot of confidence coming from you, have you ever heard of a losing season?
i've been a professional gambler for many years, and believe me i've had losing season and i'm not scared or embarrassed to admit that. hope i'm wrong and hope everyone can win a lot of money, but that's life
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