This week: 13-13-4
Thursday: 2-0
I never really like betting on two bad teams. Anyway, the first one that stands out is the UNDER 189.0. New Jersey is performing really well in the defensive end and it won't be too surprising to see them end up around the same total in their first meeting (186). Wizards can barely get around 95ish with Arenas (though Lewis is a decent substitute putting up almost the same numbers) and against teams who plays defense, they hardly get past around 85. I see both teams scoring around 85ish and that's around an easy 170 for both teams. 19 points should be enough just in case one team gets excited and score around 30 in a quarter (I see either team scoring 23-25 per quarter). Both teams home-road O/U is a combined 13-21-0. Last season, it's either the point total go 10 points over or way under so with that I believe if ever the total is in some trouble there's the second half to get out of. As for the sides, I like the Washington Wizards -5.5. Washington is pretty much better in most positions than the Nets. The last time they played, Blatche was out and the Nets were able to dominate the paint. Now that they have both Blatche and Lewis, they have the height (plus the crowd) and size to close out the driving lane and not get out rebounded by 15.
The Bulls at 23-11 looks to act up on the road and feel that they have the luxury to rest up players. I'm just speculating but it seems like they are trying to not tear down their players en route to the playoffs. Then again, I believe they have the luxury since they're on the East where teams below .500 can make it in. I don't like this line one bit as we see it open at pk then move to Chicago +1. Something tells me right away that the Bulls tank this one and looks ahead to the game against Boston at home. I'm going to follow my gut feel and play Philadelphia 76ers -1 and hopefully we see them play Boozer around 25ish minutes only. I wouldn't recommend this play so much since Elton Brand routinely disappears against the Bulls barely scoring double digits against them. The UNDER 191 looks tempting but passing up completely in the event that the 76ers wins this game. Oh, and they shot the ball a lot better without Igoudala.
I was hoping I could get this line at 7 or 8 but I can't complain at 6.0. Playing the Indiana Pacers +6.0 and sprinkling a little on the ML. San Antonio play way below their level or above average at best around January. Saving up their mileage for the playoffs perhaps? Not to mention that the Pacers are pretty much like Detroit who loves showing up against the better opponents to put up a show in front of their home crowd. And that's about all that I'm banking on. Obviously, Spurs are better in pretty much every stat/trend so hope my gut feel is right.
Messed up the rest of my writeup and only managed to save the above part. Here's the rest with a quick summary of things:
Toronto Raptors +9.5 - Last game after a long road trip (they did went home to play Boston but went back on the road again) and supposedly a good spot to play against them. I like how things are turning out for them. Barbosa is healthy and DeRozan is playing really well as a scorer. Garnett should be missed a lot here.
Portland Trailblazers -3.0 - Good spot to take them at a low price. They should be like this till a good 3 or 4 more games against bad teams. I still can't trust the Timberpups since they can't close out games. Portland has enough experience to get it done and at least win by 4.
Houston Rockets +9.5 - I was expecting the line to be around 5 to 7 but since they have it this much I'm biting. Orlando travels to Dallas tomorrow for a possible look ahead game (then again they are missing Butler and Nowitzki so why look ahead?). LOL. Anyway, Orlando is giving up 3 pointers easy and Houston is a team that is scary when you let them shoot the 3. Orlando wins this one but Rockets are a persistent team and a backdoor cover is no where near the impossible. Also liking the OVER.
Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 - Not yet a play but if Millsap is out punch it in.
Miami Heat -6.5 - Riding the Heat because Wade is running for MVP. No idea with the Total, might go with UNDER though.
New Orleans Hornets +7.5 - Can't trust the Lakers until Kobe is scoring 50's left and right. LOL. Seriously. this team looks like a dysfunctional family. Hornets covers here.
New York Knicks @ Phoenix OVER 218.0 - Because they don't play defense and scoring is the only thing they do. Amare's first game in Phoenix not in a Suns uniform and it should be interesting. Both teams can score to a total of 200 at the very least.
What do you think fellas?
BOL.