Angle #2 Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (60-41, 58.8% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take some courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle went 0-1 in Week 9. Qualifier: Houston +2 at Chicago.
Angle #3 Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (90-56-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: St. Louis +14 and Tennessee +7
Angle #4 Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (131-73-5, 64.2% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: Buffalo +14 and Kansas City +13-14 (Monday). (Wait as line is going up)
Angle #5 Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (164-106-5, 60.7% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: Buffalo +14 and Kansas City +13-14 (Monday).
Angle #6 Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (82-44-4, 65.1% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle went 2-0 in Week 9. Qualifiers: New England -13 (contradicion) and San Francisco -12.
Angle #2 Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (60-41, 58.8% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are becoming overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take some courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle went 0-1 in Week 9. Qualifier: Houston +2 at Chicago.
Angle #3 Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (90-56-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: St. Louis +14 and Tennessee +7
Angle #4 Play on any road underdog coming off of a road loss (131-73-5, 64.2% ATS): It used to be that teams playing consecutive road games were great fades, but as that angle became common knowledge, bookmakers started to adjust the point spreads for teams playing on the road off of a road game. Well, based on these long-term results, they may have over-adjusted the lines, especially in the case of road underdogs, and this angle also adds in the motivation off wanting to bounce back after a loss. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: Buffalo +14 and Kansas City +13-14 (Monday). (Wait as line is going up)
Angle #5 Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (164-106-5, 60.7% ATS): The logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe and what to expect on defense. This angle won its only play in Week 9. Qualifiers: Buffalo +14 and Kansas City +13-14 (Monday).
Angle #6 Play on any favorite coming off of a bye week (82-44-4, 65.1% ATS): NFL teams that have had an extra week of preparation time have had a nice advantage in recent years, and the added time off oftentimes has resulted in any injured players the teams may have also having extra recovery time, which is an added bonus. This angle went 2-0 in Week 9. Qualifiers: New England -13 (contradicion) and San Francisco -12.
Results from my number crunching and potential plays tonight:
Thunder 2Q (6-1) (5.5 pt spread in wins)vs Pistons (1-6) (7.0 pt spread in losses)
Bulls 2Q (3-3) (3 pt spread) vs Celtics (0-6) (7 pt spread)
Heat 3Q (5-2) (9 pt) vs Rockets (2-4) (5.5 pt)
Mavericks 2Q (4-3) (3 pt) vs Timberwolves (1-5) (6.5pt)
Nuggets 3Q (5-2) (3.5pts) vs Suns (2-4) (13, yes 13 pts)
Hawks 4Q (2-2) (2.5 pts) vs Trailblazers (0-6) (8pts)
Let's test the water and see what we get. Thunder will be POD. Nuggets, Heat, Bulls, Hawks and Mavericks will also get a little action.
Best of luck fellow loungers and same to you silent viewers!
Results from my number crunching and potential plays tonight:
Thunder 2Q (6-1) (5.5 pt spread in wins)vs Pistons (1-6) (7.0 pt spread in losses)
Bulls 2Q (3-3) (3 pt spread) vs Celtics (0-6) (7 pt spread)
Heat 3Q (5-2) (9 pt) vs Rockets (2-4) (5.5 pt)
Mavericks 2Q (4-3) (3 pt) vs Timberwolves (1-5) (6.5pt)
Nuggets 3Q (5-2) (3.5pts) vs Suns (2-4) (13, yes 13 pts)
Hawks 4Q (2-2) (2.5 pts) vs Trailblazers (0-6) (8pts)
Let's test the water and see what we get. Thunder will be POD. Nuggets, Heat, Bulls, Hawks and Mavericks will also get a little action.
Best of luck fellow loungers and same to you silent viewers!
2 totals in the NBA I like
ATL/Port Under 195
SUNS/Den Over 202.
CBB: Central Mich +21.5...I follow MAC hoops and I think the Chips can stay under 20 with an Iowa team that struggles to score. My Dog of the Day!
2 totals in the NBA I like
ATL/Port Under 195
SUNS/Den Over 202.
CBB: Central Mich +21.5...I follow MAC hoops and I think the Chips can stay under 20 with an Iowa team that struggles to score. My Dog of the Day!
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