Hey Boys, I did not watch the game or get a score till well after midnight so I missed all the drama and just got the win!
On to tonight, Taking COLORADO +2 in CBB. It's a 3 star from NROPP and I really like the matchup vs Wyoming so I'm tailing him. GOOD LUCK TONIGHT!
Hey Boys, I did not watch the game or get a score till well after midnight so I missed all the drama and just got the win!
On to tonight, Taking COLORADO +2 in CBB. It's a 3 star from NROPP and I really like the matchup vs Wyoming so I'm tailing him. GOOD LUCK TONIGHT!
Hello boyz...Lakers/Clippers, local So. Cal Seasonal Chase 15-4 ATS after a nice win last night on UCLA-pretty much as predicted-if Hundley didn't stare down his receivers, they would have won outright-I added a live bet at 7-7... nice night...
Tonight-someone asked if SD St vs. Ucla counts in my fade the little scrubs program and certainly not-this only applies to the schools most of you never heard of-Steve Fisher has that school in the top 25 every year and Ucla won't look past them...no opinion on this one.
I do like the Clips tonight as I see them taking advantage of a "scrub" team up state, off a back to back but more importantly, the Clips haven't covered or hardly won in a week-and they know it. They're ready to take it out on someone and Sac is the victim. Blake Griffin in particular should have a good game as Demarcus Cousins called him an "actor" today in the LA Times... here's a team the Clips can just flat out unload on and they may be running for cover...
I'm on the first half-7 and the game -12 GL!
Hello boyz...Lakers/Clippers, local So. Cal Seasonal Chase 15-4 ATS after a nice win last night on UCLA-pretty much as predicted-if Hundley didn't stare down his receivers, they would have won outright-I added a live bet at 7-7... nice night...
Tonight-someone asked if SD St vs. Ucla counts in my fade the little scrubs program and certainly not-this only applies to the schools most of you never heard of-Steve Fisher has that school in the top 25 every year and Ucla won't look past them...no opinion on this one.
I do like the Clips tonight as I see them taking advantage of a "scrub" team up state, off a back to back but more importantly, the Clips haven't covered or hardly won in a week-and they know it. They're ready to take it out on someone and Sac is the victim. Blake Griffin in particular should have a good game as Demarcus Cousins called him an "actor" today in the LA Times... here's a team the Clips can just flat out unload on and they may be running for cover...
I'm on the first half-7 and the game -12 GL!
Well, the 25 + had it's first losing night. Next time a game cancels out, like OKC, it will be a 1and 2 game chase, not a 2 and 3 game chase. The difference is losing -165 vs -330. On 12/4 they play Brooklyn, I may fade them for a small wager that game. Sorry gang.
Well, the 25 + had it's first losing night. Next time a game cancels out, like OKC, it will be a 1and 2 game chase, not a 2 and 3 game chase. The difference is losing -165 vs -330. On 12/4 they play Brooklyn, I may fade them for a small wager that game. Sorry gang.
Well, the 25 + had it's first losing night. Next time a game cancels out, like OKC, it will be a 1and 2 game chase, not a 2 and 3 game chase. The difference is losing -165 vs -330. On 12/4 they play Brooklyn, I may fade them for a small wager that game. Sorry gang.
Well, the 25 + had it's first losing night. Next time a game cancels out, like OKC, it will be a 1and 2 game chase, not a 2 and 3 game chase. The difference is losing -165 vs -330. On 12/4 they play Brooklyn, I may fade them for a small wager that game. Sorry gang.
Angle plays for week 13...
After going 17-5, 77.3 percent ATS in the previous two weeks, our NFL Trends & Angles had a rather average Week 12 going just 5-5 ATS on an individual game basis. That still leaves us at 22-10 ATS the last three weeks. As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the vast majority of angles will point you to live dogs and live ‘unders’ when we have total angles, and we kick things off this week with one of the most contrarian angles we have dealing with fading home teams on winning streaks, an angle we have had success with but that has had the last couple of weeks off. All of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal. Also, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are strictly defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.
Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 13, with records being for the last 7 seasons plus the first 12 weeks of this season.
Angle #1 - Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (61-42, 59.2% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle won its only play when it last showed up in Week 10 with the Texans at Chicago. Qualifier: Tampa Bay +8 (vs. Denver)Angle #2 - Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (71-49-5, 59.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (31-21-4 ATS) or away (40-27-1 ATS). This angle lost its only play in Week 12. Qualifiers: Oakland +3 to +3.5, Philadelphia +10½ to +11 (Angle4u999 warning, QB Vick out).
Angle #3 - Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (100-64-2, 61.0% ATS): Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent win percentage over a nice sampling. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with Carolina. Qualifiers: Cleveland -2 to -2.5 (opposite of Oakland), Jacksonville +7.
Angle #4 - Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (93-58-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with the Indianapolis. Qualifiers: Green Bay -6.5, New York Jets -6.
Angle #5 - Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (168-108-5, 60.9% ATS): The
logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two
exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second
straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is
restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens
the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe
and what to expect on defense. This angle split 1-1 in Week 12.
Qualifiers: Minnesota +7½ (opposite of Green Bay) and Seattle +3½ to +4
Angle plays for week 13...
After going 17-5, 77.3 percent ATS in the previous two weeks, our NFL Trends & Angles had a rather average Week 12 going just 5-5 ATS on an individual game basis. That still leaves us at 22-10 ATS the last three weeks. As those of you that have followed us in the past know, the vast majority of angles will point you to live dogs and live ‘unders’ when we have total angles, and we kick things off this week with one of the most contrarian angles we have dealing with fading home teams on winning streaks, an angle we have had success with but that has had the last couple of weeks off. All of our season-long trends go back to 2005, as that gives us a large enough sampling without going back too far to games that may pre-date certain changes in the game that may make using older games less than ideal. Also, you will occasionally see angles that refer to Good Teams and/or Bad Teams. We are not using those terms subjectively in those contexts, but rather, Good Teams are strictly defined as teams that have won at least 10 of their last 16 games and Bad Teams are defined as teams that have lost at least 10 of their last 16 games.
Here are our NFL Trends & Angles for Week 13, with records being for the last 7 seasons plus the first 12 weeks of this season.
Angle #1 - Bet against any home team coming off of five or more straight up wins (61-42, 59.2% ATS): Very few angles epitomize our contrarian mindset as well as this one does! Bettors love to play hot teams, especially at home, but the oddsmakers know this and this angle looks to take advantage of teams that are overvalued. Yes, fading these teams may take courage at times, but check out the winning percentage of this angle over a nice-sized sampling. This angle won its only play when it last showed up in Week 10 with the Texans at Chicago. Qualifier: Tampa Bay +8 (vs. Denver)Angle #2 - Bet on any team that has lost at least four straight games ATS (71-49-5, 59.2% ATS since 2005): This is a contrarian angle that looks for potentially undervalued teams that most bettors tend to avoid, as they do not like betting on teams on decided ATS losing streaks.. It has not made much difference whether or not the team is now home (31-21-4 ATS) or away (40-27-1 ATS). This angle lost its only play in Week 12. Qualifiers: Oakland +3 to +3.5, Philadelphia +10½ to +11 (Angle4u999 warning, QB Vick out).
Angle #3 - Play on any Bad Team on the road that was an underdog in each of its last four games (100-64-2, 61.0% ATS): Playing this angle may take some courage as it often points you to the dregs of the league, and on the road no less! But that is precisely the point as these teams often offer great value with no novice bettors wanting any part of them, as evidenced by the excellent win percentage over a nice sampling. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with Carolina. Qualifiers: Cleveland -2 to -2.5 (opposite of Oakland), Jacksonville +7.
Angle #4 - Play on any team that lost its last game by 28 or more points (93-58-4, 61.6% ATS): This angle combines two concepts, as professional teams in any sport do not like to get embarrassed and oftentimes bounce back strong in their next game, and also bettors tend to shy away from these teams, often leading to added line value. This angle won its only play in Week 12 with the Indianapolis. Qualifiers: Green Bay -6.5, New York Jets -6.
Angle #5 - Play on any conference road underdog coming off of a road game (168-108-5, 60.9% ATS): The
logic behind this angle is the same as the previous angle with two
exceptions, as it does not matter if the team playing its second
straight road game won or lost its previous game, and also it is
restricted to conference game only as now facing a familiar foe lessens
the travel effect since the team usually knows how to attack that foe
and what to expect on defense. This angle split 1-1 in Week 12.
Qualifiers: Minnesota +7½ (opposite of Green Bay) and Seattle +3½ to +4
Lakers/Clips/ So. Cal Seasonal Chase..17-4 ATS...
Wish they all were that easy-sometimes the stars line up and you just have all the insight in that you'd bet it again every time even after you lost...hope I can keep it up at even close to this pace but again I ask you guys feel free to throw in what you know about your area-you know it a hell of lot better than me...I started this to try and offer something back to McShady, Semper and Angle-they helped me big time in MLB-
Thanks for the kudos-I do have a Twitter-richpsm-I see why it can help as immediate posts so I will do my best to post there as well in the future...
My NFL thoughts-be careful on Minny-lot of strong GB trends at home vs Div., after a loss at home, etc...
I see SF in blow out mode after the Rams got their attention the first game and their D shredded NO, and this ain't NO...plus Kaepernick is the 2001 Brady story and that ended badly for the Rams that year...
Raiders will be way better if McFadden can run-Reece could never run, just catch it....
Lakers/Clips/ So. Cal Seasonal Chase..17-4 ATS...
Wish they all were that easy-sometimes the stars line up and you just have all the insight in that you'd bet it again every time even after you lost...hope I can keep it up at even close to this pace but again I ask you guys feel free to throw in what you know about your area-you know it a hell of lot better than me...I started this to try and offer something back to McShady, Semper and Angle-they helped me big time in MLB-
Thanks for the kudos-I do have a Twitter-richpsm-I see why it can help as immediate posts so I will do my best to post there as well in the future...
My NFL thoughts-be careful on Minny-lot of strong GB trends at home vs Div., after a loss at home, etc...
I see SF in blow out mode after the Rams got their attention the first game and their D shredded NO, and this ain't NO...plus Kaepernick is the 2001 Brady story and that ended badly for the Rams that year...
Raiders will be way better if McFadden can run-Reece could never run, just catch it....
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.