Overall
currently at 151-112-1 and + $7,463
(Yesterday) Saturday Aug. 29th results
were 3-4 and +$343
San Diego Padres
(Line -152) Risk $304 –Win $200
ML Kansas City Royals
(Line +102) Risk $200 –Win
$204
ML LA Angels (Line +130)
Risk $150 –Win $195
RL Detroit Tigers (RL
+105) Risk $100 –Win $105
Parlay: NY Mets (Line -179) & NY Yankees (Line
-163) Risk $150 –Win
$227
ML Baltimore Orioles
(Line +110 ) Risk $200 –Win $220
ML Chicago Cubs (Line
-120) Risk $679 –Win $566
Any later picks they’ll be listed in the comments of this thread
approximately 15 minutes before 1st pitch.
Today’s Picks IN BLUE ONLY:
ML Washington Nationals (Line +135) Risk $100 –Win $135
Overall
currently at 151-112-1 and + $7,463
(Yesterday) Saturday Aug. 29th results
were 3-4 and +$343
San Diego Padres
(Line -152) Risk $304 –Win $200
ML Kansas City Royals
(Line +102) Risk $200 –Win
$204
ML LA Angels (Line +130)
Risk $150 –Win $195
RL Detroit Tigers (RL
+105) Risk $100 –Win $105
Parlay: NY Mets (Line -179) & NY Yankees (Line
-163) Risk $150 –Win
$227
ML Baltimore Orioles
(Line +110 ) Risk $200 –Win $220
ML Chicago Cubs (Line
-120) Risk $679 –Win $566
Any later picks they’ll be listed in the comments of this thread
approximately 15 minutes before 1st pitch.
Today’s Picks IN BLUE ONLY:
ML Washington Nationals (Line +135) Risk $100 –Win $135
I wasn’t going to, but what the heck, one more time
explaining this. Think I’ll save it so I
can just paste it next time. Here is the
concept; the Cards are the better team, no doubt about it. I capped this game at the Nats having a 47.8%
chance of winning this game. Now, that
means the percentage chances are that the Nats lose this game 51.2% of the time
assuming my numbers are correct. The Nats have a +135 line that is translated
mathematically that the break even point on this game is 42.6%, that makes the
Nats plays a value with an edge of 5.2%, which is not bad at all. Now you have to look at it as ALL the plays
you make have an edge in comparison to the Line, NOT the game. Degens spend their entire lives chasing games
and immediate wins/results, but the concept is long sighted that if every play
you make has a value (as explained above) it will be quite profitable and as
time goes on and bankrolls grow you reach critical mass and the profits pour
in. This concept works in reverse as
well, let’s say the Blue Jays are at home, Price pitching vs the Phillies with
O’Sullivan pitching. The Jays have a -260
line, and you calculate that the Jays win this game 68 of 100 games (68%), but
the breakeven point here is 72.2%. Even
though the Jays win much more than they lose this game, and chances are great
they win today, it is a bad play. Make a
practice of betting the Jays in this scenario and I promise you that you’ll go
broke over and over again. The
difference is losing players can see no further than this game, this day, and
the winning players the profit every season of every year are looking long term
and playing the math, not the game.
Peace
I wasn’t going to, but what the heck, one more time
explaining this. Think I’ll save it so I
can just paste it next time. Here is the
concept; the Cards are the better team, no doubt about it. I capped this game at the Nats having a 47.8%
chance of winning this game. Now, that
means the percentage chances are that the Nats lose this game 51.2% of the time
assuming my numbers are correct. The Nats have a +135 line that is translated
mathematically that the break even point on this game is 42.6%, that makes the
Nats plays a value with an edge of 5.2%, which is not bad at all. Now you have to look at it as ALL the plays
you make have an edge in comparison to the Line, NOT the game. Degens spend their entire lives chasing games
and immediate wins/results, but the concept is long sighted that if every play
you make has a value (as explained above) it will be quite profitable and as
time goes on and bankrolls grow you reach critical mass and the profits pour
in. This concept works in reverse as
well, let’s say the Blue Jays are at home, Price pitching vs the Phillies with
O’Sullivan pitching. The Jays have a -260
line, and you calculate that the Jays win this game 68 of 100 games (68%), but
the breakeven point here is 72.2%. Even
though the Jays win much more than they lose this game, and chances are great
they win today, it is a bad play. Make a
practice of betting the Jays in this scenario and I promise you that you’ll go
broke over and over again. The
difference is losing players can see no further than this game, this day, and
the winning players the profit every season of every year are looking long term
and playing the math, not the game.
Peace
Here is the
concept; the Cards are the better team, no doubt about it. I capped this game at the Nats having a 47.8%
chance of winning this game. Now, that
means the percentage chances are that the Nats lose this game 51.2% of the time
assuming my numbers are correct. The Nats have a +135 line that is translated
mathematically that the break even point on this game is 42.6%, that makes the
Nats plays a value with an edge of 5.2%, which is not bad at all. Now you have to look at it as ALL the plays
you make have an edge in comparison to the Line, NOT the game.
Here is the
concept; the Cards are the better team, no doubt about it. I capped this game at the Nats having a 47.8%
chance of winning this game. Now, that
means the percentage chances are that the Nats lose this game 51.2% of the time
assuming my numbers are correct. The Nats have a +135 line that is translated
mathematically that the break even point on this game is 42.6%, that makes the
Nats plays a value with an edge of 5.2%, which is not bad at all. Now you have to look at it as ALL the plays
you make have an edge in comparison to the Line, NOT the game.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.