Season Results: 4-9 -3.56 units
4/14
White Sox +107
I took a couple weeks because I was really struggling and needed to test some things out and make a few adjustments to my formulas, but anyway here is MLB home dog pick for today.
Season Results: 6-14 -6.29 units
5/5
Guardians +142
I took a couple weeks because I was really struggling and needed to test some things out and make a few adjustments to my formulas, but anyway here is MLB home dog pick for today.
Season Results: 6-14 -6.29 units
5/5
Guardians +142
Analysis: The starting pitching advantage only gives Berrios the slight edge over Civale of 4.70 to 5.47 on xFIP and 4.49 to 4.57 on SEIRA, Civile has a slightly better on strikeout rate and they have pretty even walk, home run, groundball rates. Berrios has lost 4 out of the last 5 trips to Cleveland. Offensively, Cleveland is flat out No. 1 offense against righty pitching with a .782 OPS and .346 xOBP. avaraging over 5 runs a game. Toronto 10th in OPS vs. righties so solid but the Guardians have a clear edge in the hitting matchup. Bullpen Cleveland has the better stats and Toronto used their best relievers in last night's win over the Yanks, and everyone for Cleveland was used I believe in yesterday's doubleheader so that is a bit concerning for this wager but Cleveland has a good hitting advantage here so good value as the home dog. Over also looks like a strong play to parlay with it if you want as the starting pitching matchup looks weak, the hitters good against righties, and the bullpens are a bit burnt. GL to all today!
Analysis: The starting pitching advantage only gives Berrios the slight edge over Civale of 4.70 to 5.47 on xFIP and 4.49 to 4.57 on SEIRA, Civile has a slightly better on strikeout rate and they have pretty even walk, home run, groundball rates. Berrios has lost 4 out of the last 5 trips to Cleveland. Offensively, Cleveland is flat out No. 1 offense against righty pitching with a .782 OPS and .346 xOBP. avaraging over 5 runs a game. Toronto 10th in OPS vs. righties so solid but the Guardians have a clear edge in the hitting matchup. Bullpen Cleveland has the better stats and Toronto used their best relievers in last night's win over the Yanks, and everyone for Cleveland was used I believe in yesterday's doubleheader so that is a bit concerning for this wager but Cleveland has a good hitting advantage here so good value as the home dog. Over also looks like a strong play to parlay with it if you want as the starting pitching matchup looks weak, the hitters good against righties, and the bullpens are a bit burnt. GL to all today!
Like this guy being a fan of any team has ever helped predict an outcome before...
Lamar mvp this year?
Like this guy being a fan of any team has ever helped predict an outcome before...
Lamar mvp this year?
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