In this thread, I will be posting nothing but home dogs this season that fit my criteria for betting.
Season Results: 0-0 +0 units
4/7
Nationals +120
Diamondbacks +142
In this thread, I will be posting nothing but home dogs this season that fit my criteria for betting.
Season Results: 0-0 +0 units
4/7
Nationals +120
Diamondbacks +142
In this thread, I will be posting nothing but home dogs this season that fit my criteria for betting.
Season Results: 0-0 +0 units
4/7
Nationals +120
Diamondbacks +142
@bertski
No, this is my first season of doing just home dogs. I looked through my results over the past years and noticed that I have had consistent success with betting home dogs. So in an effort simplify my bets and go with my strongest area I am going to look for and pinpoint quality home dogs to play this season.
@bertski
No, this is my first season of doing just home dogs. I looked through my results over the past years and noticed that I have had consistent success with betting home dogs. So in an effort simplify my bets and go with my strongest area I am going to look for and pinpoint quality home dogs to play this season.
Well other than they are a home dog lol. It seems to me based on trends, pitching and lineups the Pads would be the play. Especially at the relative low cost of -135. Love to hear your prospective. FYI I am a D-Backs season ticket holder and will be at the game tonight.
Well other than they are a home dog lol. It seems to me based on trends, pitching and lineups the Pads would be the play. Especially at the relative low cost of -135. Love to hear your prospective. FYI I am a D-Backs season ticket holder and will be at the game tonight.
@westwing
There will be several things I will be looking at. Obviously as most do, the starting pitching matchup. Looking for a close pitching matchup where the starter for the favorite is not what I consider elite. Dogs that have good recent form in terms hitting, defense, and bullpen. Some line movement tracking, usually going with the line movement. Looking for dogs with higher money played on them with fewer bets with some RLM is ideal. If I can find some relevant trends that support the dog I will factor that in. I have many things I look at though, and enough support it to where the dog has much better chance to win than their implied probability I will make the wager.
@westwing
There will be several things I will be looking at. Obviously as most do, the starting pitching matchup. Looking for a close pitching matchup where the starter for the favorite is not what I consider elite. Dogs that have good recent form in terms hitting, defense, and bullpen. Some line movement tracking, usually going with the line movement. Looking for dogs with higher money played on them with fewer bets with some RLM is ideal. If I can find some relevant trends that support the dog I will factor that in. I have many things I look at though, and enough support it to where the dog has much better chance to win than their implied probability I will make the wager.
@jesron1269
Lack of success for the Padres in Arizona losing 15 of the last 19 there. Tatis Jr. out hurts the lineup. I know this is a new season, but Darvish was ineffective in 2 starts late last season against the Dbacks. Bumgarner with 2 quality starts last season in August against San Diego. 65 percent of money on the Dbacks, and 65 percent of bets on the Padres. RLM has lines as low as +113 on Dbacks right now. So it looks like a strong play where the Dbacks have around a 50 percent chance of winning with home field.
@jesron1269
Lack of success for the Padres in Arizona losing 15 of the last 19 there. Tatis Jr. out hurts the lineup. I know this is a new season, but Darvish was ineffective in 2 starts late last season against the Dbacks. Bumgarner with 2 quality starts last season in August against San Diego. 65 percent of money on the Dbacks, and 65 percent of bets on the Padres. RLM has lines as low as +113 on Dbacks right now. So it looks like a strong play where the Dbacks have around a 50 percent chance of winning with home field.
I like your style, BOL!
I like your style, BOL!
Season Results: 1-1 +.42 units
4/8
Diamondbacks +135
Well, the Padres are 'snake' bit when playing Arizona. Their bullpen has obvious issues, the Pads best reliever from last season was Melconon and he is now with Zona. Kelly great success against San Diego recently, so I like the Dbacks to continue their momentum from the 9th inning rally last night.
Season Results: 1-1 +.42 units
4/8
Diamondbacks +135
Well, the Padres are 'snake' bit when playing Arizona. Their bullpen has obvious issues, the Pads best reliever from last season was Melconon and he is now with Zona. Kelly great success against San Diego recently, so I like the Dbacks to continue their momentum from the 9th inning rally last night.
Season Results: 1-2 -.56 units
4/9
Rockies +146
Angels +112
Rockies have won the last 3 starts Marquez had against the Dodgers. If there is any game in this series the Rockies could win in the series it is this one. Gonsolin has never really stuck as regular starter in the majors and doesn't really go deep into games.
For the Angels, I think Thor has the edge here considering the Astros have never seen him before and Verlander coming back after a long long layoff. Angels been losing but still been hitting so them picking up game 3 at home after dropping the first 2 is key here.
Season Results: 1-2 -.56 units
4/9
Rockies +146
Angels +112
Rockies have won the last 3 starts Marquez had against the Dodgers. If there is any game in this series the Rockies could win in the series it is this one. Gonsolin has never really stuck as regular starter in the majors and doesn't really go deep into games.
For the Angels, I think Thor has the edge here considering the Astros have never seen him before and Verlander coming back after a long long layoff. Angels been losing but still been hitting so them picking up game 3 at home after dropping the first 2 is key here.
Season Results: 3-5 -1.04 units
4/11
Orioles +148
Not much today for home dogs, this the only viable one I can see. Brewers were fortunate to win a game at Wrigley, now must travel east after using their best relievers in yesterday's win over the Cubs. I think the Brewers struggle against the lefty, and the Orioles who are hungry for that 1st win and the home opener should come out a swinging for some live dog value.
Season Results: 3-5 -1.04 units
4/11
Orioles +148
Not much today for home dogs, this the only viable one I can see. Brewers were fortunate to win a game at Wrigley, now must travel east after using their best relievers in yesterday's win over the Cubs. I think the Brewers struggle against the lefty, and the Orioles who are hungry for that 1st win and the home opener should come out a swinging for some live dog value.
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