Well, take a look at my post entitled "Interesting numbers and percentages:" as it has the biggest public fades for this week.
Like stated before, lines don't move on how many people are betting on a certain team. Lines move according to how much money is coming in on a team. Use Boise and San Jose St for example: You could have 70% of the public on Boise St but there could be $8 million total dollars on SJS and only $5 million on Boise. So even though 70% of the public is on Boise, Vegas will most likely drop Boise the Boise St line from 7.5 to 7 in order get more money on Boise St and get the action as close to 50/50 as possible.
Vegas Books / Odds makers have one goal: To get the betting action (money) as close to 50/50 as they can. They do this by moving lines. Vegas has so much money wagered on games, they are satisfied with the actual money from both sides canceling each other out and they take the big time 10% juice from the losing bets. So watch for situations in which the public appears to be on one side but the line still drops on that team. Vegas is trying to reel people in to get that 50/50 money action. Chances are that some high rollers were on SJS tonight and that's why Boise dropped .5 down to the critical number 7.
Well, take a look at my post entitled "Interesting numbers and percentages:" as it has the biggest public fades for this week.
Like stated before, lines don't move on how many people are betting on a certain team. Lines move according to how much money is coming in on a team. Use Boise and San Jose St for example: You could have 70% of the public on Boise St but there could be $8 million total dollars on SJS and only $5 million on Boise. So even though 70% of the public is on Boise, Vegas will most likely drop Boise the Boise St line from 7.5 to 7 in order get more money on Boise St and get the action as close to 50/50 as possible.
Vegas Books / Odds makers have one goal: To get the betting action (money) as close to 50/50 as they can. They do this by moving lines. Vegas has so much money wagered on games, they are satisfied with the actual money from both sides canceling each other out and they take the big time 10% juice from the losing bets. So watch for situations in which the public appears to be on one side but the line still drops on that team. Vegas is trying to reel people in to get that 50/50 money action. Chances are that some high rollers were on SJS tonight and that's why Boise dropped .5 down to the critical number 7.
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