BOL this week my man!!!
Michigan Nebraska game is 230pm central, not a night game
Michigan Nebraska game is 230pm central, not a night game
@TIPOF-THE-SWORD
Think im good w what I got -1 to -2.5 .. I do like the lower odds to win maybe hit UK ML for lower odds ... but I'm starting to agree w the books and think its a fairly low scoring game too .. UF brought in S.Miss's DC this year and results started coming in as early as the spring gm that D is doing things they weren't at all capable of last year, especially the run D is becoming good Utes and Tenn struggling to top 100 rush yds, ~30% run success each .. sans covid year Utah hasn't had a low 30's success rate gm since 2019 .. Tenn had one last year vs UGA, nothing else close to that.. could tell they were totally outta their element things went haywire for them .... But we also know a good run D like Utah can shut UF's run down completely .. Tenn's D is very hit and miss and UF did land a couple monster runs but overall success rate was also in the low 30's ... 2 big runs scored the TD and set up their last FG, only pts in H2 .. 19-16 is much diff than 29-16.. UK's DC is one of the best in the biz, one of the best D performances in CFB last year and pitched a masterpiece in H2 shutout gators just managed 80 or so yds .. I think both D's will find ways to frustrate each other ..
So yeah not keying on the line so much as the total and feels like total under 45 or Gators TT under doubt we'll get 23 but might go under there ... or maybe see if UF can rack up a few points in H1 and go H2 under, hope for a bad H2 like we saw vs Tenn and UK last yr..
for now just have my one bet at -2.5 and gunna have a little fun too ..
FUN BET
KENTUCKY ML/U45 2.65-1
@TIPOF-THE-SWORD
Think im good w what I got -1 to -2.5 .. I do like the lower odds to win maybe hit UK ML for lower odds ... but I'm starting to agree w the books and think its a fairly low scoring game too .. UF brought in S.Miss's DC this year and results started coming in as early as the spring gm that D is doing things they weren't at all capable of last year, especially the run D is becoming good Utes and Tenn struggling to top 100 rush yds, ~30% run success each .. sans covid year Utah hasn't had a low 30's success rate gm since 2019 .. Tenn had one last year vs UGA, nothing else close to that.. could tell they were totally outta their element things went haywire for them .... But we also know a good run D like Utah can shut UF's run down completely .. Tenn's D is very hit and miss and UF did land a couple monster runs but overall success rate was also in the low 30's ... 2 big runs scored the TD and set up their last FG, only pts in H2 .. 19-16 is much diff than 29-16.. UK's DC is one of the best in the biz, one of the best D performances in CFB last year and pitched a masterpiece in H2 shutout gators just managed 80 or so yds .. I think both D's will find ways to frustrate each other ..
So yeah not keying on the line so much as the total and feels like total under 45 or Gators TT under doubt we'll get 23 but might go under there ... or maybe see if UF can rack up a few points in H1 and go H2 under, hope for a bad H2 like we saw vs Tenn and UK last yr..
for now just have my one bet at -2.5 and gunna have a little fun too ..
FUN BET
KENTUCKY ML/U45 2.65-1
SMALLER
UCONN +4
They woulda waxxxxed this team in this spot at home last year and took a small hit w them GETTING 6.5 and yeah I gotta make it offish .. +4 and seein quite a few +3.5's out there now .. Another way to play is ML I think we see a team totally turn around and nab a big win or we see more of the same .. either way if the good CONN team shows itself finally might as well get paid for the risk being taken so yeah +4 for the record books and def have some +152 for the win .. good luck!
SMALLER
UCONN +4
They woulda waxxxxed this team in this spot at home last year and took a small hit w them GETTING 6.5 and yeah I gotta make it offish .. +4 and seein quite a few +3.5's out there now .. Another way to play is ML I think we see a team totally turn around and nab a big win or we see more of the same .. either way if the good CONN team shows itself finally might as well get paid for the risk being taken so yeah +4 for the record books and def have some +152 for the win .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO H1 +7.5
This is a horror show spot just like appy had last week .. NM is off their big rivalry w NMSU then flys to UMASS and its an OT battle for a big win for them .. and now off to laramie for a slug fest .. I think the line is a bit rich for Wyoming laying this many even w the ugly spot .. but I think we get NM's best punch early here and my sense is if the spot and WYO's style of play starts wearing these guys out it could def show itself later in the game .. so let's shorten this up to H1 .. I also don't know just how good NM is yet we know they're much better than they've been in a long time, I don't see many key injuries, maybe none at all, and the goal if this year is to win games and we're seeing a few come thru now .. HUUUGE game for them here and WYO had a real ruff n rugged non-con stretch w T-Tech, Texas, App State w the miracle finish (and cover) .. and Fresno on deck an absolute must win .. entirely possible Pokes overlook / underestimate this new NM team and / or just have a dud spot of their own here .. Takin ML H1 too +340 and might take a smaller amount on the game ya just never know w WYO when things kinda aren't working great early a very limited pass game and riled up opponent can make things a little tough .. GO LOBOS!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO H1 +7.5
This is a horror show spot just like appy had last week .. NM is off their big rivalry w NMSU then flys to UMASS and its an OT battle for a big win for them .. and now off to laramie for a slug fest .. I think the line is a bit rich for Wyoming laying this many even w the ugly spot .. but I think we get NM's best punch early here and my sense is if the spot and WYO's style of play starts wearing these guys out it could def show itself later in the game .. so let's shorten this up to H1 .. I also don't know just how good NM is yet we know they're much better than they've been in a long time, I don't see many key injuries, maybe none at all, and the goal if this year is to win games and we're seeing a few come thru now .. HUUUGE game for them here and WYO had a real ruff n rugged non-con stretch w T-Tech, Texas, App State w the miracle finish (and cover) .. and Fresno on deck an absolute must win .. entirely possible Pokes overlook / underestimate this new NM team and / or just have a dud spot of their own here .. Takin ML H1 too +340 and might take a smaller amount on the game ya just never know w WYO when things kinda aren't working great early a very limited pass game and riled up opponent can make things a little tough .. GO LOBOS!
SMALLER
NEBRASKA H1 +10
Line at BOL .. seein 8.5's and 9's mostly so glad we got this and at normal odds... Nice streak goin w Mich H1's and their difficulty covering, very conservative early in playcalling, happy to punt or kick a FG when ALOT of teams would roll the dice Harbaugh has typically not .. I could imagine offensive ineptitude or freaky wind sets Mich up nice early to get some early scores but that could very easily move against them too and could make them even less agressive in the early stages of this game .. 20 mph wind first road game of the year monster big game and pretty solid Nebraska D overall .. like yeah not the time to come up short on 4th down and give the Huskers a chance to score early, not the time to not take the points, not the time to take big shots w the wind whirling .. seems very likely we get a very fast clock movin half and conservative play calling .. and for god sake nebraska don't play like morons and fall behind big early do it in H2 if at all lol ..
SMALLER
NEBRASKA H1 +10
Line at BOL .. seein 8.5's and 9's mostly so glad we got this and at normal odds... Nice streak goin w Mich H1's and their difficulty covering, very conservative early in playcalling, happy to punt or kick a FG when ALOT of teams would roll the dice Harbaugh has typically not .. I could imagine offensive ineptitude or freaky wind sets Mich up nice early to get some early scores but that could very easily move against them too and could make them even less agressive in the early stages of this game .. 20 mph wind first road game of the year monster big game and pretty solid Nebraska D overall .. like yeah not the time to come up short on 4th down and give the Huskers a chance to score early, not the time to not take the points, not the time to take big shots w the wind whirling .. seems very likely we get a very fast clock movin half and conservative play calling .. and for god sake nebraska don't play like morons and fall behind big early do it in H2 if at all lol ..
BRIDGE PLAY
BOWLING GREEN TT OVER 13.5
I'll either be decordated or I'll be hanged .. gotta grit some teeth to play this but funny feeling we won't be grittin for too long .. BG's offense is capable but we've seen wayyy too much of 2 of their totally incapable QB's playing .. Orth on the other hand can put scoring drives together, breath of fresh air vs Liberty when he came in .. and Unbelievably good what I saw from him vs Michigan guy can put it on a dime or go get the first down and moves real well in the pocket .. once he left we had literally the scout team 3rd tm QB come in and all went to hell on offense .. Connor Bazalek has been a turnover machine and that started again immediately last week vs Ohio .. Orth has been out w a concussion he got vs Mich and all I can say is he's there warming up and no conceivable reason if he's cleared to go you'd even think of putting Bazalak or the other guy in there .. other than maybe its GT and not a conf game .. but man o man looking at the spot for GT late conf game vs BG nobody team who realllly does actually show up for these big noncons like gotta say im a little concerned w my GT RSW because this is totally a spot a sloppy team could just implode .. I think BG gets 2 scores here w Orth playing and at least a 50/50 chance vs GT's D that bazalek could get a couple if he's in ..
Would consider the spread at 21.5 but I think very tough to imagine BG covering and somehow not hitting the TT here and hope we're getting this covered by halftime and if not think very good chance we can get this nailed in garbage time w GT again just so sloppy and in a dud spot here .. took a pinch on BG ML/OVER 49 as well .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
BOWLING GREEN TT OVER 13.5
I'll either be decordated or I'll be hanged .. gotta grit some teeth to play this but funny feeling we won't be grittin for too long .. BG's offense is capable but we've seen wayyy too much of 2 of their totally incapable QB's playing .. Orth on the other hand can put scoring drives together, breath of fresh air vs Liberty when he came in .. and Unbelievably good what I saw from him vs Michigan guy can put it on a dime or go get the first down and moves real well in the pocket .. once he left we had literally the scout team 3rd tm QB come in and all went to hell on offense .. Connor Bazalek has been a turnover machine and that started again immediately last week vs Ohio .. Orth has been out w a concussion he got vs Mich and all I can say is he's there warming up and no conceivable reason if he's cleared to go you'd even think of putting Bazalak or the other guy in there .. other than maybe its GT and not a conf game .. but man o man looking at the spot for GT late conf game vs BG nobody team who realllly does actually show up for these big noncons like gotta say im a little concerned w my GT RSW because this is totally a spot a sloppy team could just implode .. I think BG gets 2 scores here w Orth playing and at least a 50/50 chance vs GT's D that bazalek could get a couple if he's in ..
Would consider the spread at 21.5 but I think very tough to imagine BG covering and somehow not hitting the TT here and hope we're getting this covered by halftime and if not think very good chance we can get this nailed in garbage time w GT again just so sloppy and in a dud spot here .. took a pinch on BG ML/OVER 49 as well .. good luck!
FUN BET
BOWLING GRN H1 ML/O26 12-1
Come on guys let's go .. it was +900 for the gm its +600 for the half .. hope they got a solid half in them .. let's go!!!
FUN BET
BOWLING GRN H1 ML/O26 12-1
Come on guys let's go .. it was +900 for the gm its +600 for the half .. hope they got a solid half in them .. let's go!!!
BRIDGE PLAY
DUKE +6
KENTUCKY -2.5
BOSTON COLLEGE -1.5
BOWLING GREEN TT OVER 13.5
SMALLER
OLE MISS +2.5
ARIZONA +21.5
UGA / AUB UNDER 46.5
MICH / NEB UNDER 46.5
UCONN +4
OREGON STATE -1
NEW MEXICO H1 +7.5
NEBRASKA H1 +10
NC STATE - PK (GOY)
FUN BET
BOWLING GRN H1 ML/O26 12-1 .. ..
KENTUCKY ML/U45 2.65-1 .. OOOO C'MON ..
BRIDGE PLAY
DUKE +6
KENTUCKY -2.5
BOSTON COLLEGE -1.5
BOWLING GREEN TT OVER 13.5
SMALLER
OLE MISS +2.5
ARIZONA +21.5
UGA / AUB UNDER 46.5
MICH / NEB UNDER 46.5
UCONN +4
OREGON STATE -1
NEW MEXICO H1 +7.5
NEBRASKA H1 +10
NC STATE - PK (GOY)
FUN BET
BOWLING GRN H1 ML/O26 12-1 .. ..
KENTUCKY ML/U45 2.65-1 .. OOOO C'MON ..
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