I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
it makes sense to play the heels tonight. However I would never go large on this bet. Duke is just too much better than this unc squad who cant take care of the ball or score. BOL on the plays though man.
it makes sense to play the heels tonight. However I would never go large on this bet. Duke is just too much better than this unc squad who cant take care of the ball or score. BOL on the plays though man.
it makes sense to play the heels tonight. However I would never go large on this bet. Duke is just too much better than this unc squad who cant take care of the ball or score. BOL on the plays though man.
Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday. On the road they just aren't that great. They rely on three guys (Singler, Smith, Scheyer) to do all the scoring. If one of those guys is off, they're usually in trouble.
it makes sense to play the heels tonight. However I would never go large on this bet. Duke is just too much better than this unc squad who cant take care of the ball or score. BOL on the plays though man.
Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday. On the road they just aren't that great. They rely on three guys (Singler, Smith, Scheyer) to do all the scoring. If one of those guys is off, they're usually in trouble.
Last year North Carolina was an 8.5-point favorite at home in this game. Just a year later they're now a 6-point home underdog? I know they lost four starters to the NBA off that team and they've been nothing short of horrendous so far in ACC play, but I still don't think that's enough to account for the 14-.5 point line swing in just one year. Line value is all with the Tar Heels tonight and that's why I'm on them.
Last year North Carolina was an 8.5-point favorite at home in this game. Just a year later they're now a 6-point home underdog? I know they lost four starters to the NBA off that team and they've been nothing short of horrendous so far in ACC play, but I still don't think that's enough to account for the 14-.5 point line swing in just one year. Line value is all with the Tar Heels tonight and that's why I'm on them.
Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday. On the road they just aren't that great. They rely on three guys (Singler, Smith, Scheyer) to do all the scoring. If one of those guys is off, they're usually in trouble.
yeah, but UNC hasn't beaten anyone at home this year worth a damn. Ok, they beat Vtech, Albany, Rutgers, Marshall, oh and oh did I almost forget, they beat that tough team Presbyterian at home. If you want to throw your money on a team who's 7-14 ats and 4-8 ats at home, then go ahead u have bigger balls then I do. But don't try to back your pick by throwing out "Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday." Again I'm not busting your balls, I just don't get the logic on this play. There are better games on the card
Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday. On the road they just aren't that great. They rely on three guys (Singler, Smith, Scheyer) to do all the scoring. If one of those guys is off, they're usually in trouble.
yeah, but UNC hasn't beaten anyone at home this year worth a damn. Ok, they beat Vtech, Albany, Rutgers, Marshall, oh and oh did I almost forget, they beat that tough team Presbyterian at home. If you want to throw your money on a team who's 7-14 ats and 4-8 ats at home, then go ahead u have bigger balls then I do. But don't try to back your pick by throwing out "Duke was struggling to beat Boston College on Saturday." Again I'm not busting your balls, I just don't get the logic on this play. There are better games on the card
I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
Tar Heels +6 Tar Heels ML +228
Outside of homecourt, UNC has nothing going for them. BOL though
I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
Tar Heels +6 Tar Heels ML +228
Outside of homecourt, UNC has nothing going for them. BOL though
Have to agree better bets on the board, Tarheels are in a rebuilding year and have not even figured out how to play with each other as of yet. I will not even look at them until next year. Cannot compare this team to last year's not even close...or any other year for that matter...
Have to agree better bets on the board, Tarheels are in a rebuilding year and have not even figured out how to play with each other as of yet. I will not even look at them until next year. Cannot compare this team to last year's not even close...or any other year for that matter...
Seems awfully similar to last nights "Must Win" for Michigan State. These big name schools have off years to rebuild every once in a while too. I could be wrong but Duke seems to have way to many mismatches for UNC.
Seems awfully similar to last nights "Must Win" for Michigan State. These big name schools have off years to rebuild every once in a while too. I could be wrong but Duke seems to have way to many mismatches for UNC.
I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
Tar Heels +6 Tar Heels ML +228
I think your write-up is accurate as far as Duke being a below average team on the road. But if history is correct the road team is on a tear is this series going 4-0 L ATS.... The Blue Devils, meanwhile, are on ATS upswings of 5-0 after a non-cover... I think you are gambling more than anything here. Yes this is a "rivalry" game here but UNC has more pressure on them that anything. They are playing terrible, have terrible guard play and have a ton of pressure on them to win.
As far as the "road" games go. This is an 8 mile bus trip. True the atmosphere will be crazy but think about the guys that have played in the rivalry. Duke has several upper classmen that have played in this game while UNC has freshmen guards (TO's) and a lot of inexperience in the front court. This is a huge game at a bad time for them. I am not saying they cant win or cover but losing 6 out of 7 then playing Duke is a horrible spot to be in and a lot of nerves will be invloved for a young bunch of kids at UNC. Duke is coming into this game frealess and looking to prove a point.
I don't think anyone would disagree that this season has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tar Heels. After a rather promising start that hinted at another deep tournament run, the bottom has fallen out and North Carolina has sunk to the bottom of the ACC Standings, tied for fewest conference wins at two. But as America's most high-profile college basketball team, the odds-makers haven't had to make any drastic adjustments to their lines, because the betting public has remained inexplicably infatuated with the young men in powder blue, in spite of their money-burning 7-14 A.T.S. record (2-6 A.T.S. in ACC play). That is until now. As the losses keep piling up, bettors have begun to grow weary of this sluggish and underachieving bunch. People are sick and tired of being burned by these guys. But tonight the mindset is all different and here's why. For the first time in eons the Tar Heels are a home underdog. They've sunk to such depths that finally the odds-makers have had enough and they've been forced to jack up their lines. Due to this adjustment, I feel like finally there is some line value in betting on North Carolina. This evening the Heels aren't being to asked to cover an inflated chalk line like they have failed to do countless times at home this season. They are now the ugly home underdog, and that's a completely different role. When nothing is expected of you, it's a totally different mindset. Not only are they underdogs in the betting line, but I think the team feels that way as well and because of it I think they will thrive.
Furthermore, who is Duke to be laying this type of point-spread on the road? As bad as North Carolina has been at covering home spreads, the Blue Devils have been equally as inept on the road, sporting an unremarkable 2-5 A.T.S. record away from the friendly confines of Cameron Indoor. This included straight-up losses as huge 11.5-point favorites at N.C. State and 7-point favorites at Georgia Tech. This team isn't exactly a juggernaut when they aren't getting that sweet home-cooking.
Given their abysmal season, it would take a minor miracle for the Tar Heels to sneak into the tournament. Maybe it will happen, maybe it won't. But if it is going to happen, a winning streak must start tonight. A rivalry game against a hated in-state foe like Duke is sure to elicit maximum effort and inspire emotional play. But emotion and effort are already assumed in a rivalry game as fierce and heated as this one. I think the lessening of expectations and underdog mindset will allow the Heels to play infinitely more care-free and ultimately will be what propels them to the upset.
Tar Heels +6 Tar Heels ML +228
I think your write-up is accurate as far as Duke being a below average team on the road. But if history is correct the road team is on a tear is this series going 4-0 L ATS.... The Blue Devils, meanwhile, are on ATS upswings of 5-0 after a non-cover... I think you are gambling more than anything here. Yes this is a "rivalry" game here but UNC has more pressure on them that anything. They are playing terrible, have terrible guard play and have a ton of pressure on them to win.
As far as the "road" games go. This is an 8 mile bus trip. True the atmosphere will be crazy but think about the guys that have played in the rivalry. Duke has several upper classmen that have played in this game while UNC has freshmen guards (TO's) and a lot of inexperience in the front court. This is a huge game at a bad time for them. I am not saying they cant win or cover but losing 6 out of 7 then playing Duke is a horrible spot to be in and a lot of nerves will be invloved for a young bunch of kids at UNC. Duke is coming into this game frealess and looking to prove a point.
YOU DONT PLAY CARE FREE AFTER LOSING 6 OF 7 AND THEN BEING THROWN INTO A RIVALRY. Your A$$ starts to get tight and you worry! Its human nature..... People expect UNC to win. On the otherhand, Duke should have the carefree attitude and walk all over these boys tonight..... BAD BET!
YOU DONT PLAY CARE FREE AFTER LOSING 6 OF 7 AND THEN BEING THROWN INTO A RIVALRY. Your A$$ starts to get tight and you worry! Its human nature..... People expect UNC to win. On the otherhand, Duke should have the carefree attitude and walk all over these boys tonight..... BAD BET!
bad feeling about this 1 with our turnover issues against a well coached team, but i'd like nothing more than to see these duke person and singler the friendly ghost go home with a loss SU.....anything can happen in these games...GO HEELS
bad feeling about this 1 with our turnover issues against a well coached team, but i'd like nothing more than to see these duke person and singler the friendly ghost go home with a loss SU.....anything can happen in these games...GO HEELS
this definitely does not warrant a big play but BOL
totally agree but there is a HUGE ass above your post that does warrant a " big play" but i may not be man enough to service swizzols' chicks - I mean HENS - those are real "POUNDERS".
this definitely does not warrant a big play but BOL
totally agree but there is a HUGE ass above your post that does warrant a " big play" but i may not be man enough to service swizzols' chicks - I mean HENS - those are real "POUNDERS".
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