Figure it out. While brilliant in its design, the system is not difficult to understand. Look at the spreads of 6.5 or more and see if the home team is ranked below 180 in the KenPom rankings. If so, bet the visitor. Not difficult
Figure it out. While brilliant in its design, the system is not difficult to understand. Look at the spreads of 6.5 or more and see if the home team is ranked below 180 in the KenPom rankings. If so, bet the visitor. Not difficult
UPDATE Presystem Plays: SE Missouri St +8.5 Tenn Martin +9 Louisiana Monroe +11.5 Greensboro +11.5 Louisiana Tech +6.5
Possible Plays (line still needs to move): South Alabama +6 Riverside +5.5 Bradley +5
Not Plays: Northern Illinois +9.5 (I'll be on this one, hoping for +10) Montana St +7 (I'll be on this too if I can get +8 or better)
UPDATE Presystem Plays: SE Missouri St +8.5 Tenn Martin +9 Louisiana Monroe +11.5 Greensboro +11.5 Louisiana Tech +7.5 (still moving up - I haven't locked in it, going to wait and see where it stops) South Alabama +6.5 (still isn't there for me on matchbook, but if you can get it, its a system play)
Possible Plays: Bradley +6 (moving up to 6 despite the 3 suspended SIU players - I already grabbed it as a play for myself, if it hits 6.5 its a system play as well)
Not Plays: Riverside +5 (moving down so this won't be a system play unless it shoots up to +6.5) Northern Illinois +10 (I'll be on this for sure) Montana St +7 (if this gets to +8, I'll be on it)
UPDATE Presystem Plays: SE Missouri St +8.5 Tenn Martin +9 Louisiana Monroe +11.5 Greensboro +11.5 Louisiana Tech +6.5
Possible Plays (line still needs to move): South Alabama +6 Riverside +5.5 Bradley +5
Not Plays: Northern Illinois +9.5 (I'll be on this one, hoping for +10) Montana St +7 (I'll be on this too if I can get +8 or better)
UPDATE Presystem Plays: SE Missouri St +8.5 Tenn Martin +9 Louisiana Monroe +11.5 Greensboro +11.5 Louisiana Tech +7.5 (still moving up - I haven't locked in it, going to wait and see where it stops) South Alabama +6.5 (still isn't there for me on matchbook, but if you can get it, its a system play)
Possible Plays: Bradley +6 (moving up to 6 despite the 3 suspended SIU players - I already grabbed it as a play for myself, if it hits 6.5 its a system play as well)
Not Plays: Riverside +5 (moving down so this won't be a system play unless it shoots up to +6.5) Northern Illinois +10 (I'll be on this for sure) Montana St +7 (if this gets to +8, I'll be on it)
the point is the books can easily look at this system and for example take a spread of 10 and release it at 8-9 instead. It still fits the system but the value is not there anymore.
the point is the books can easily look at this system and for example take a spread of 10 and release it at 8-9 instead. It still fits the system but the value is not there anymore.
slickfox - every opening line but one opened at the number that it should have (or better) there is no need for alarm at all. The other lines that opened lower than I wanted aren't going to be system plays anyway. If we do see that the lines are being dropped (which they won't and these games aren't on many people's radar), then we will adjust.
I can't reply to any individual post because of the thread distortion, not sure what your doing to cause it but please stop if you can
slickfox - every opening line but one opened at the number that it should have (or better) there is no need for alarm at all. The other lines that opened lower than I wanted aren't going to be system plays anyway. If we do see that the lines are being dropped (which they won't and these games aren't on many people's radar), then we will adjust.
I can't reply to any individual post because of the thread distortion, not sure what your doing to cause it but please stop if you can
only concern here is that books become wary of this (if they haven't already) and start shaving a point or two from favorites. What is your opinion Kine? I hate to clog a thread but I think this is a valid point brought up by a few others here.
only concern here is that books become wary of this (if they haven't already) and start shaving a point or two from favorites. What is your opinion Kine? I hate to clog a thread but I think this is a valid point brought up by a few others here.
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