Villanova (92.1) to cover against Siena (97.5) Texas (91.0) to cover against Miami (94.3) Georgetown (86.3) to cover against Davidson (92.2) Memphis (82.9) to cover against Miss St (87.9) Louisville (84.7) to cover against Oklahoma (90.4)
Texas completely gave the huge lead away, same with Georgetown. Miami and Davidson wanted it more in the end, but this inflated record had to come down sooner or later. Still 22-6 with 2 more to go today, but I don't like Memphis' chances to cover.
Villanova (92.1) to cover against Siena (97.5) Texas (91.0) to cover against Miami (94.3) Georgetown (86.3) to cover against Davidson (92.2) Memphis (82.9) to cover against Miss St (87.9) Louisville (84.7) to cover against Oklahoma (90.4)
Texas completely gave the huge lead away, same with Georgetown. Miami and Davidson wanted it more in the end, but this inflated record had to come down sooner or later. Still 22-6 with 2 more to go today, but I don't like Memphis' chances to cover.
BUTLER-93.5 TENN-90.5 <------ 3.0 Difference = Borderline Play on TENN
and they cover by a hook
I had just come back to the thread to post that if you counted TN in there, you hit as well. I took TN, but only bc I'm a sucker for betting on my team. And cardnut, I'm convinced GT was the right play. They were up by a comfortable margin the entire game, Davidson just has something magical with their comebacks (that magic being Stephen Curry).
BUTLER-93.5 TENN-90.5 <------ 3.0 Difference = Borderline Play on TENN
and they cover by a hook
I had just come back to the thread to post that if you counted TN in there, you hit as well. I took TN, but only bc I'm a sucker for betting on my team. And cardnut, I'm convinced GT was the right play. They were up by a comfortable margin the entire game, Davidson just has something magical with their comebacks (that magic being Stephen Curry).
Villanova (92.1) to cover against Siena (97.5) Texas (91.0) to cover against Miami (94.3) Georgetown (86.3) to cover against Davidson (92.2) Memphis (82.9) to cover against Miss St (87.9) *NO BET* as explained Louisville (84.7) to cover against Oklahoma (90.4)
Overall today, a dose of reality that I knew had to be coming. The system couldn't keep up at 75% forever. I'm also noticing something big that can tweak the system. STAY AWAY FROM BAD FT SHOOTING TEAMS. Even if the system says play them, the losses so far have included Tennessee, Clemson, and Memphis. All of those teams shoot around 60% (Not sure about TN % for the entire season, but the announcer today noted that in the last 9 games I think that TN is shooting like 58%). The missed FTs are lost points towards covering. Finally, here are the records for 1st/2nd rounds...
1st Round: 17-3 2nd Round: 6-4 (take away Memphis that I said was a no play and add TN that missed the system by .01 pts, and you have 7-3)
This system may just hold some merit. I think I am going to make some small plays in the NIT this week to see if it can still be applied there. We shall see...
Villanova (92.1) to cover against Siena (97.5) Texas (91.0) to cover against Miami (94.3) Georgetown (86.3) to cover against Davidson (92.2) Memphis (82.9) to cover against Miss St (87.9) *NO BET* as explained Louisville (84.7) to cover against Oklahoma (90.4)
Overall today, a dose of reality that I knew had to be coming. The system couldn't keep up at 75% forever. I'm also noticing something big that can tweak the system. STAY AWAY FROM BAD FT SHOOTING TEAMS. Even if the system says play them, the losses so far have included Tennessee, Clemson, and Memphis. All of those teams shoot around 60% (Not sure about TN % for the entire season, but the announcer today noted that in the last 9 games I think that TN is shooting like 58%). The missed FTs are lost points towards covering. Finally, here are the records for 1st/2nd rounds...
1st Round: 17-3 2nd Round: 6-4 (take away Memphis that I said was a no play and add TN that missed the system by .01 pts, and you have 7-3)
This system may just hold some merit. I think I am going to make some small plays in the NIT this week to see if it can still be applied there. We shall see...
Hello: this very much excites me. It is a small sample size so I will need to study the past and continue in the future, obviousily.
This system is 28-2 ML if I am correct ( I am hungover and slow right now)
Now, factor in 'dangerfields' idea of adding off eff. to opponent, and then check for lower number, might have good results too.
Now i'm just dreaming but if you went through and checked/researched the tourney teams Offensive Efficiency and Defensive Efficiency vs other tourney teams. you might get even better results.
Wow this is nuts 28-2 is great, could definately win some cash if you could pick games at that clip hahaha
Hello: this very much excites me. It is a small sample size so I will need to study the past and continue in the future, obviousily.
This system is 28-2 ML if I am correct ( I am hungover and slow right now)
Now, factor in 'dangerfields' idea of adding off eff. to opponent, and then check for lower number, might have good results too.
Now i'm just dreaming but if you went through and checked/researched the tourney teams Offensive Efficiency and Defensive Efficiency vs other tourney teams. you might get even better results.
Wow this is nuts 28-2 is great, could definately win some cash if you could pick games at that clip hahaha
yo you said u might try it on some NIT teams well this thread by swizzol has picks for NIT he has some different system and seems like all his picks are against this system not sure which direct and does the site sportsbook.com have NIT games not seeing em
yo you said u might try it on some NIT teams well this thread by swizzol has picks for NIT he has some different system and seems like all his picks are against this system not sure which direct and does the site sportsbook.com have NIT games not seeing em
"I ran my numbers on Monday's games and came up with the following moves...
Va Tech - 7 over UAB
(My numbers have VT by 12.5)
Dayton + 6 over Ill St.
(My numbers have this game at a PK)
Ole' Miss - 5 over Nebraska
(My numbers have Miss winning by 16)
UVA - 9 over ODU
(My numbers have UVA winning by 19)
Tulsa - 1 over Utah
(my numbers have Tulsa winning by 7)
Bradley - 6 over Ohio U
(My numbers have Bradley winning by 13)"
those are from the thread by swizzol pretty much only VATECH fits this system not really sure wats good and does anyone no if sportsbook.com will have these games?
"I ran my numbers on Monday's games and came up with the following moves...
Va Tech - 7 over UAB
(My numbers have VT by 12.5)
Dayton + 6 over Ill St.
(My numbers have this game at a PK)
Ole' Miss - 5 over Nebraska
(My numbers have Miss winning by 16)
UVA - 9 over ODU
(My numbers have UVA winning by 19)
Tulsa - 1 over Utah
(my numbers have Tulsa winning by 7)
Bradley - 6 over Ohio U
(My numbers have Bradley winning by 13)"
those are from the thread by swizzol pretty much only VATECH fits this system not really sure wats good and does anyone no if sportsbook.com will have these games?
Very interesting stuff. I am not a numbers man but even I can figure out which team this picks out. I may play some first half bets for these N.I.T. games today, smaller plays. Was not going to play them, this will provide interest.
Very interesting stuff. I am not a numbers man but even I can figure out which team this picks out. I may play some first half bets for these N.I.T. games today, smaller plays. Was not going to play them, this will provide interest.
Looking at some of the NIT games using this system. Wish it was divided up into home/away stats. That would be beneficial for the NIT until the finals.
ODU 99.6 UVA 98.3 (-1.3 no play)
DAYTON 97.5 ILL ST 91.7 (-5.8 like ILL ST plus home court)
CAL 100.2 OSU 90 (-10.2 home court-OSU play)
OHIO 99.8 BRAD 100 (+.2 no play)
VALPO 100.9 HOU 99.8 (-1.1 no play)
UTAH 96.2 TULSA 93.2 (-3 no play)
UAB 95.5 VA TECH 86.9 (TOP 7 DEF EFF) (-8.6 VATCH home court) **My play of the day although I love UAB, and can't stand VA TECH!!!
NEB 87.5 (TOP 10 DEF EFF) OLE MISS 96.9 (+9.4) **NEB looks like the play, but they are 4-9 away and 6-7 ATS away!!
Looking at some of the NIT games using this system. Wish it was divided up into home/away stats. That would be beneficial for the NIT until the finals.
ODU 99.6 UVA 98.3 (-1.3 no play)
DAYTON 97.5 ILL ST 91.7 (-5.8 like ILL ST plus home court)
CAL 100.2 OSU 90 (-10.2 home court-OSU play)
OHIO 99.8 BRAD 100 (+.2 no play)
VALPO 100.9 HOU 99.8 (-1.1 no play)
UTAH 96.2 TULSA 93.2 (-3 no play)
UAB 95.5 VA TECH 86.9 (TOP 7 DEF EFF) (-8.6 VATCH home court) **My play of the day although I love UAB, and can't stand VA TECH!!!
NEB 87.5 (TOP 10 DEF EFF) OLE MISS 96.9 (+9.4) **NEB looks like the play, but they are 4-9 away and 6-7 ATS away!!
I know i rarely post, but has anyone lokked at this system as it compares to different lines.. Ie 0-5pts, 6-10, etc. The system looks great but just not sure how you use it comparing lines of different disparities. any thoughts or insight would be appreciated
I know i rarely post, but has anyone lokked at this system as it compares to different lines.. Ie 0-5pts, 6-10, etc. The system looks great but just not sure how you use it comparing lines of different disparities. any thoughts or insight would be appreciated
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.