Week 5 in the NFL features a slew of tight pointspreads and a few totals north of 50. We talk with sportsbooks about the biggest line adjustments, betting trends and where the odds will end up come kickoff Sunday.
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears - Open: -1, Move: +1
The Saints haven't won at Soldier Field since 2002 but are a very popular play heading into Sunday. Uncharacteristically, the Saints own a strong defense, as they displayed strength on that side of the ball against Miami one week ago.
"Chicago will need to get Jay Cutler playing better but the New Orleans pass rush will have a lot to say," Aron Black of Bet365 told Covers. "Close game to call, but New Orleans being flipped to small faves is probably right. This may go more to them as the Bears are being swerved so far."
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals - Open: Pick, Move: +1.5
One of the handful of games that opened as a pick at various shops. The Patriots have essentially owned the Bengals over the years, winning seven of eight matchups and coming out victorious all four with Tom Brady. The Pats are always one of the most popular plays amongst public bettors and this week is no different.
"New England has been one of the best public teams in regular season play and this weekend the punters are showing faith in them with mostly all of our ATS and SU action on NE at pick or +1," Black said. "Cincy needs to find some better play from QB Andy Dalton, and limit turnovers, either way, if there is a coach who can find a way to beat a team, its Bill Belichick."
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers - Open: -6.5, Move: -7.5
The Green Bay Packers look to extend their dominance over the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field. The Lions haven't won in Wisconsin since 1991 and sharps and the betting public are both loving the Cheese in this NFC North matchup.
"Wiseguys and the heavy majority of betting public are both on the Pack, who opened -6.5 and are now -7.5," Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag tells Covers. "We got sharp action on Green Bay -6.5 on Monday and on Friday we decided to move to -7.5 as 73 percent of cash on the number 7 was backing Green Bay."
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants - Open: -3, Move: -2
A terrible start to the season both SU (0-4) and ATS (0-4) has bettors staying away from the Giants this week. Early sharp money on Philly had moved the line to under a field goal.
"Sharp play on the underdog Eagles at +3 on Tuesday caused us to move to New York -2," Perry said. "Seventy percent of cash is coming in on the Eagles. Giants are 0-4 ATS this season."
Jacksonville Jaguars at St. Louis Rams - Open: 41.5, Move: 41
Talk about a snoozer. Both of these squads don't have much to offer on either side of the ball, especially on offense. Not the most appealing of matchups, but bettors are backing the under between these two anemic offenses.
"The under is getting played here as this game could be painful to watch, and a battle of who can run the ball less," says Black. "St. Louis has looked very ordinary and were not offering much offensively last week, but Jacksonville has been just plain awful."
Denver Broncos at Dallas Cowboys - Open: -7, Move: -9
The Broncos are one of four teams (Seattle, San Diego and Tennessee) to not suffer an ATS defeat thus far on the season and are being backed rigorously. They opened as TD faves at Dallas, but were rapidly bet up to -9.
"Being one of only two games that kickoff around 4 p.m. ET, this game has a good chance to be the biggest decision for the shop on Sunday," says Perry. "Denver opened -7 and quickly went to -9. Seventy-nine percent of cash on Broncos."
Aron Black suggests Cowboys' backers should hold off and wait until closer to kickoff.
"Those who have faith in Dallas are probably best to wait as most likely this line goes to Denver before Sunday," he says. "Of all games we have this week, Denver is the most popular play - ATS, fave, dog or otherwise."