Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Oct 25, 2013 |
The odds for Week 9 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.
Temple Owls at SMU Mustangs – Open: -11, Move: -14

This spread has jumped as many as three points, to the key number of 14. Temple has only one win on the season and takes on a 2-6 SMU squad with an explosive passing offense.

“Considered sharp action moving the line on SMU, who are by no means a powerhouse,” says Aron Black of Bet365.com tells Covers. “Not a game that will have folk going out of their way to see, but a big mover on the board.”

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Miami Hurricanes - Open: -21, Move: -22, Move: -24

The Canes opened as big home faves here, and rightly so. Miami has won the last four matchups between these two programs and are 3-1 ATS over that stretch. Respect for sharp action adjusted the line and an influx of public money quickly followed suit.

"We opened Miami -21 and since opening this game, we've been crushed with Miami money," says Michael Stewart, an oddsmaker with CarbonSports.ag. "Public got behind the Hurricanes and once we picked up that this was going to be the kind of game where the sharps and squares are on the same side, we got very aggressive and we're now dealing -24."

Arizona Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes – Open: +15.5, Move: +13

This Pac-12 matchup has watched the line drop due to injuries on the Arizona side, especially in the Wildcats secondary. Colorado has fallen below a two-TD underdog but action could buyback the Wildcats before kickoff.

“Action so far likes the home team and the points on the earlier lines but it’s coming back on Arizona -13,” says Black. “This line could go back up to -14 or a juiced -13.5.”

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones - Open: +13.5, Move: +13, Move: +12.5

The Cowboys will be in search of their third-straight victory but the last time they visited Ames, they left on the wrong end of a 37-31 scoreline.

"The first bet we took on this game was on the dog and was from one of our sharper players, so we went to Okie State -13 and eventually to -12.5," Stewart told Covers. "At some point, I do expect more money to show on the favorite and I wouldn't be surprised if we went back to 13."

UCLA Bruins at Oregon Ducks – Open: -21, Move: -23.5

Oregon’s dominance over the Pac-12 is evidenced by this line move, with action on the Ducks bumping the spread off the key number and up as many as 2.5 points.

“This should be the best team that Oregon has played so far, but the line says this is an easy win for the Ducks to pad BCS rankings against a high-ranked team,” says Black. “Action so far has gone with the moves on the Ducks, and surprisingly no one likes the Bruins at +23.5.”

Houston Cougars at Rutgers Scarlet Knights - Open: -7, Move: -6.5

The Cougars have cashed in for their faithful backers by posting an unblemished 6-0 ATS record for the season which is tops in the nation.

" At this point, I could see us going down to 6 or just leaving it 6.5 as we'd like to drive a bit more money on the home favorite," said Stewart.

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers – Open: +4.5, Move: +3.5

Bettors know Corvallis is a tough place to play and have taken this line down near a field goal, putting their faith in Beavers’ ninth-ranked offense (44.1 points per game).

“Not the biggest of line moves, but it’s an interesting line given the Beavers’ ability to score with the pass,” says Black. “Action so far is pretty split with about 1.5/1 Cardinal to Beavers ATS, but the opposite clip on the Oregon State moneyline.”

Clemson Tigers at Maryland Terrapins - Open: +14, Move: +17

Clemson was thrashed by Florida State last time out and must rebound against a slumping Maryland program. Books have seen nothing but Clemson money from the word 'go', moving it a full three points.

"We opened Clemson a solid 14-point road favorite and we thought that number would be high enough to attract some action on the dog," says Stewart. "We were wrong and money has poured in on the favorite. I can't see us going any higher than -17 so if you like the dog, play it now because this game either stays at -17 or dips back down to 16.5 or even 16."

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