Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes

Jan 22, 2013 |
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Wednesday’s ranked college basketball games:

(9) Butler Bulldogs at La Salle Explorers (-2.5)

Butler probably shouldn't have a problem putting Saturday’s thrilling buzzer-beating victory over Gonzaga behind it when the Bulldogs travel to La Salle. The Bulldogs’ 64-63 victory over the then eighth-ranked Zags is Butler’s 13th victory in a row, and third this season over a top 10 squad. The Bulldogs continue to play well despite not having leading scorer Rotnei Clarke, who will miss his third consecutive game with a sprained neck. The Explorers are 3-3 in their past six games, falling 70-63 most recently at Xavier. Wednesday’s game matches two of the top scoring teams in the A-10 (La Salle is third at 72.8; Butler is fourth at 72.0). La Salle is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.

(1) Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes (+2)

The Blue Devils are 16-1 this season, but lost their only previous road game against North Carolina State on January 12.  Duke is allowing 88.4 points per 100 possessions this season; on pace for the team's best defensive efficiency since the 1997-98 season. The Hurricanes’ ball control could limit Duke’s easy buckets. The Blue Devils lead the ACC with 19.1 points per game off turnovers and Miami surrenders a league-low 9.6 points per game off turnovers. The Blue Devils are 1-5-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between the schools.

Penn State Nittany Lions at (8) Indiana Hoosiers (-26)

Indiana should have ample opportunity to get its slumping bench back on track when it hosts Penn State on Wednesday. The Hoosiers have gotten 11 points and 3-for-24 shooting from their reserves in the last three games, and although they won two of them, a lack of depth does not bode as the rigors of Big Ten Conference play are just getting started. The Nittany Lions have lost six straight - all Big Ten games - by an average of 13.2 points, although they came closest to snapping the skid in Saturday's 68-64 loss to Nebraska. Penn State ranks last in the Big Ten in scoring defense (66.9 points), 3-point shooting percentage (28.4) and turnover margin (minus-1.22). The Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Colorado State Rams at (17) New Mexico Lobos (-5)

The Lobos have been off for a week since escaping with an overtime victory last Wednesday at Boise State. New Mexico leading scorer Kendall Williams returned to the starting lineup after sitting out the previous game against Fresno State for being late to a meeting for a third time this season. Colorado State is coming off an upset victory Saturday against then-No. 23 UNLV, extending its home-winning streak to 24 games. The Lobos also have a killer home advantage. New Mexico averages 14,799 fans for its home games, more than six NBA teams. The Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against Mountain West foes.

(7) Florida Gators at Georgia Bulldogs (+17)

Florida provided SEC newcomers Texas A&M and Missouri a rude welcome to the heart of SEC play last week, beating the two newest members of the conference by a combined 52 points. The seventh-ranked Gators are red hot, winners of six in a row. Georgia notched its first conference victory on Saturday, beating LSU at home 67-58 in a matchup of SEC cellar-dwellers. The Bulldogs lost their first three conference games by a combined 61 points, including a 77-44 blowout loss to the Gators on Jan. 9 in Gainesville. The Gators lead the SEC and rank third nationally in scoring defense (51.7). Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last five overall.

(12) Creighton Bluejays at Drake Bulldogs (+12)

Creighton, which had its 11-game win streak snapped at Wichita State on Saturday, hits the road to take on I-80 rival Drake. The Bluejays are arguably the nation's top offensive team, beginning the week leading the nation in field goal percentage (51.8), 3-point percentage (45.2) and 3-pointers per game (9.6) while ranking second in 2-point field goal percentage (56.1). The Bulldogs average 72.4 points per game but are allowing an average of 74.1 per contest and have been outrebounded by 4.1 boards per game. The Bluejays are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five road games.

(21) Wichita State Shockers at Missouri State Bears (+11.5)

After snapping Creighton’s 11-game winning streak with a 67-64 victory on Saturday, Wichita State looks to avoid a letdown when the Shockers visit Missouri State. Missouri State has lost three straight, including last Saturday’s 69-66 loss at Bradley. The Bears are hoping to build on their second-half effort against the Braves, when they scored 46 points and shot a season-high 58.3 percent. The Shockers boast the top defense in the conference, allowing 60.1 points per game and will be facing the lowest scoring team in Missouri State (59.7). The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.

(14) Minnesota Golden Gophers at Northwestern Wildcats (+8.5)

The Golden Gophers look to avoid a third straight defeat by ending a four-game road losing streak to Northwestern. The Wildcats are coming off a 67-59 home loss to then-No. 2 Indiana on Sunday, three days after beating then-No. 23 Illinois 68-54 on the road. Northwestern has been inconsistent in conference play, winning its last two road games by a total of 30 points while its losses - all at home - have come by an average of 18.3 points. The Golden Gophers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. Big Ten foes.

Washington State Cougars at (19) Oregon Ducks (-10.5)

Oregon took over sole possession of the Pac-12 Conference lead by snapping UCLA's 10-game winning streak Saturday. The Ducks, who are 5-0 in conference play for the first time in 39 years, look to extend their own streak when they hosts Washington State. Oregon has won seven in a row and 11 of its last 12 games. It has also won 18 straight at home. The Cougars have struggled to score all season long and failed to reach 50 points for the second time this season, dropping a 58-49 home decision against Colorado last time out. Washington State ranks 266th in the nation averaging 63.3 points a game. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.

(25) San Diego State Aztecs at Nevada Wolf Pack (+5)

San Diego State has lost back-to-back games for the first time this season, and the Aztecs are mired in a minor shooting slump after shooting 35.6 percent in their last three games. Aztecs starting point guard Xavier Thames has missed two of his last four games with a lower back strain, and it’s unclear whether he’ll be available against the Wolf Pack. Nevada’s defense ranks last in the conference, surrendering 70.2 points per game. The Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last five overall.

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