NFL Betting Week 11 preview: Hot bets and moving odds

Nov 14, 2013 |
Sports Interaction betting analyst Frank Doyle previews Week 11’s NFL action.

All odds current as of noon ET, Nov. 14

Everybody loves a big payout. That’s why billions of people spend billions of dollars every year on lottery tickets and that’s exactly why football bettors can’t get enough of moneyline upsets.

Right now, outright underdog bettors are frothing at the mouth over the Week 11 odds board. There were eight games seeing pointspreads of a field goal or less at Sports Interaction at noon Thursday, including four home underdogs.

For what it’s worth, outright underdogs are winning games at a 31 percent clip this season and home underdogs have won 39 percent of their games. However, home underdogs are covering the spread at almost a 55-percent clip.

Odds on the move

Aaron Rodgers’ collarbone injury combined with a rebounding New York Giants has resulted in the biggest line move of the week. The Giants opened as 6.5-point favorites at Sports Interaction after reeling off three straight wins, but have dropped to 4.5-point faves at home to Green Bay.

As New England braces for a battle with the surging Carolina Panthers, early bettors can’t get enough of the over. This total opened at 44 points and is now up to 46. New England put 55 points on the board last week and with this game being in a primetime spot, the total may continue to rise.

As mentioned, the Broncos are holding as 8-point favorites – for now. However, with the Broncos playing under the total for the first time all season last week, we’ve seen Week 11’s total drop from 51 to 49.

Week 11’s most popular bets

Sports Interaction bettors are all over the Colts to bounce back after last week’s dud. About 91 percent of our action is on Indianapolis as it travels to Tennessee for Thursday Night Football.

The most popular bet on the board is the Detroit Lions (-2.5) at the Pittsburgh Steelers with 93 percent of bets coming in on the road team.

And, if you were wondering, the Kansas City Chiefs are seeing 75 percent of our action as 8-point underdogs heading into Denver.

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