Inside the stats: Let's go bowling

Dec 31, 2013 |
Let’s take a look at what’s trending this New Year’s Day bowl card.

Bowling For Dollars

Here is a look at the most recent trends that have occurred inside each of the five major bowl games on tap New Year’s Day…

Heart Of Dallas Bowl:  The favorite is 2-1 ATS and the OVER is 2-1 in this bowl game since its inception.

Capital One Bowl: The favorite is 4-1 ATS the last five years and 6-7 ATS the last twelve.  All seven dog wins have been straight up.

Gator Bowl: The favorite has cashed each of the last three years, snapping a previous four year run by the dogs.

Orange Bowl:
The favorite is 2-4 ATS the last six years, with the dog winning straight up four times.

Outback Bowl: Of the eight ATS dog wins six have been in straight up fashion.

Rose Bowl: PAC 10/12 teams are 7-1 SU and ATS the last eight games versus Big 10 opponents.

Conference Call: The Good, The Bad And The Ugly

Good numbers:
ACC bowl teams as dogs off a SU loss (Clemson) are 18-5-1 ATS, with Boston College and Duke results from 12/31 pending… Big 10 bowl teams off a double-digit SU win (Iowa and Michigan State) are 10-3 ATS… Big 12 bowl favorites of 8 or more points (Baylor) are 5-1 ATS… PAC 12 bowl teams off back-to-back SU wins (Stanford) are 7-1 ATS.

Bad Numbers:  SEC bowl favorites of 8 or more points who allowed 35 or more points in their last game (Georgia) are 1-5 ATS.

Ugly numbers:  Big 10 bowl teams who allowed 35 or more points in their last games (Nebraska) are 2-11 ATS.

Coach Me Up

Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz is 6-2 ATS as a bowl dog, and 3-1 SUATS vs. SEC opponents.

LSU’s Les Miles is 4-1 SUATS In bowl games vs. .818 or less opponents.

Michigan State’s Mark Dantonio is 12-3 ATS away vs. an opponent off a SUATS win.

South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier is 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents off a SU favorite loss.

Wisconsin’s Gary Andersen is 18-3-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents.

My Favorite Martian

Favorites on New Years Day bowl games have been out of this world in games dating back to 1990.

That’s confirmed by a 75-53 ATS overall mark.

The best role for New Year's Day chalk is when they take on opponents with soft defenses, those allowing 20 or more PPG on the season, where they zoom to 32-14 ATS.

Georgia and North Texas look to turn extraterrestrial this New Year’s Day.
New Resolution

In keeping with the tradition of making, then breaking, new promises for the New Year, let’s see whether UNLV maintains status quo today.

The Rebels are 10-15 SU and 16-6 ATS at home under head coach Bobby Hauck.  They are 3-22 SU and 7-17 ATS away from Vegas.

Stat Of The Day

Central Florida is 0-4 SU but 4-0 ATS versus Big 12 opponents in its school history.

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