Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes

Feb 5, 2013 |
Study group: Wednesday's Top 25 NCB betting notes
The Golden Gophers prevailed 76-63 over the Spartans on New Year's Eve.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Golden Gophers prevailed 76-63 over the Spartans on New Year's Eve.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
Check out our quick-hitting betting notes on all of Wednesday’s ranked college basketball games:

(18) Minnesota at (8) Michigan State (-4.5, 130)

Minnesota started Michigan State’s Big Ten schedule with a loss on New Year’s Eve, but the Spartans have not let that defeat derail their hopes of winning the nation’s toughest conference. Minnesota shot 56.6 percent in beating Michigan State 76-63 in Minneapolis on Dec. 31, posting its first regular-season triumph over the Spartans since 2006. Michigan State has won 13 of the past 16 matchups and has won seven of eight overall since that defeat, but Minnesota is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games.

Baylor at (24) Oklahoma State (-7, 138.5)

The Bears beat the Cowboys 64-54 when the teams last met Jan. 21 in Waco and they have won eight of the last 12 meetings. Oklahoma State has won three consecutive games since losing to Baylor and is coming off an 85-80 victory at then-No. 1 (now No. 5) Kansas on Saturday. Baylor has a two-game losing streak and is coming off a 79-71 setback at Iowa State on Saturday. The Bears are second in the Big 12 in scoring offense (75.8) and rebounding (39.2), and seventh in scoring defense (63.8). The Cowboys, who lead the Big 12 in free-throw percentage (.751), are fourth in both scoring offense (71.8) and scoring defense (60.2). The Bears are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Oklahoma State.

(17) Cincinnati at Providence (+4.5)

Two of the top scorers in the Big East will go head-to-head, when Sean Kilpatrick and Cincinnati visit Bryce Cotton and Providence. Kilpatrick is not quite at Cotton’s level, but he has had more support from his teammates as the Bearcats have taken two straight and five of their last six. The Friars snapped a three-game slide with a win at Villanova on Saturday and have fallen just short in several other Big East contests. The Friars are 1-4 at home against conference teams and will face three ranked opponents in the next four games as they try to keep from falling below .500. The Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.

St. Bonaventure at (14) Butler (-11.5)

Butler has been a factor in its inaugural season in the Atlantic 10 Conference and will move into a first-place tie with a victory over visiting St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies have won three of their last four games, including impressive victories at Temple and Saint Joseph's. St. Bonaventure figures to have a tougher time at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse, though, where the Bulldogs are 11-0 this season. The Bonnies will also have to deal with senior guard Rotnei Clarke, who has led Butler in scoring in three consecutive games since missing three contests because of a neck injury. St. Bonaventure is 9-57 all-time against ranked teams and 0-28 on the road. The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss.

(13) Creighton at Indiana State (+5)

Creighton has won three straight games by at least 14 points against opponents with losing conference records since dropping two in a row on the road. The Sycamores, one of the four Missouri Valley teams with a winning conference record, own three victories against opponents ranked in this week’s coaches’ poll despite last month’s loss at Creighton. Indiana State is coming off a 74-71 overtime loss at Drake – the same team that handed Creighton its last loss – but is 8-1 at home. While the Bluejays have won four straight overall in this series, they are 1-2 over their last three in Terre Haute, Ind. – games that have been decided by a total of nine points. The Sycamores are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.

(12) Louisville at Rutgers (+12)

Three weeks ago, Louisville dominated its first four conference games and was the nation's top-ranked team. A three-game losing streak sent them tumbling out of the top 10 but on Sunday, the Cardinals seemed to regain their dominance in a 71-50 victory over Marquette and they will be aiming for their third straight win when they visit Rutgers. After winning three of its first five conference games, Rutgers has dropped four straight and has been outscored by a 122-80 margin after halftime in its last three games, including 40-24 in last Wednesday's 62-54 loss at Cincinnati. The Cardinals 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

(5) Kansas at TCU (+17.5, 117)

Kansas finds itself in rebound mode for the first time since mid-November after having its NCAA-best 18-game winning streak snapped at home by Oklahoma State, 85-80, on Saturday. The Jayhawks are 4-0 on the road in Big 12 play but only one - a 60-46 win at Texas Tech - has been by double digits. The other three -- at Texas (64-59), at Kansas State (59-55) and at West Virginia (61-56) -- have been by five points or less. TCU is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.

Mississippi State at (23) Mississippi (-16)

Mississippi looks to get back on track and snap a two-game losing streak when it hosts in-state rival Mississippi State. The Rebels had won nine straight before dropping consecutive games to Kentucky and Florida over the last week, dropping Ole Miss into a second-place tie in the SEC. The Bulldogs have dropped six straight after starting 2-0 in league play, showing the team's youth and inexperience. Mississippi is scoring 73 points a game in SEC games, which is bad news for Mississippi State, which is allowing 74.8 points a game during its current losing skid. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.

Stanford at (7) Arizona (-10.5, 138.5)

Arizona looks to extend its three-game winning streak against surging Stanford. Arizona is coming off a sweep of the Washington schools last week, and its defense has limited the opposition to 25.4 percent from 3-point range over the last four games. Arizona has won 12 of the last 16 games against Stanford, and the Wildcats are 28-8 in Tucson.  The Cardinal have won five of their last seven after starting league play 0-2. Stanford still trails the Pac-12 in field goal shooting at 41.1 percent, but the Cardinal have shot 57.4 percent from beyond the arc in their last three games. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.

Air Force at (16) New Mexico (-11.5)

New Mexico will try to hold onto sole possession of first-place in the Mountain West Conference when it hosts Air Force. The Falcons have won five straight following their 70-67 upset Saturday against then-No. 20 San Diego State. Don’t anticipate the Lobos will take Air Force lightly. New Mexico lost by 21 points to San Diego State on Jan. 26 - the same team the Falcons toppled last weekend. Air Force is 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.

Boise State at (25) San Diego State (-8.5)

San Diego State was supposed to be head of the class in the Mountain West Conference. Instead, the Aztecs need a victory over Boise State to avoid being at .500 at the midway point of the conference slate. The Broncos have upset two ranked teams on the road this season, beating Creighton in November and winning at Wyoming last month. Boise State has already matched last season’s conference victory total, but the Broncos have lost their last three Mountain West road games by an average of 15.7 points. San Diego State has won 58 of its last 63 home games and has a 9-1 mark this season. The Aztecs allow only 59.3 points per game.

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