US PRESSWIRE

Books being careful with early odds on top teams

Taking candy from a baby may be easy but it leaves you with a tainted conscience and tooth decay.

Taking money from the sportsbooks, now that’s a task just about everyone enjoys. And everyone did through the first four weeks of the 2011 college football season.

Books took a bath during the opening stretch of the NCAAF campaign last fall as the top five teams in the rankings – LSU, Alabama, Oklahoma, Stanford and Boise State – posted a combined 13-4 ATS record through the first four weeks of play.

It’s a dark time that bookmakers don’t like to remember but one they’ll never forget. And it’s on their minds with the 2012 college football season kicking off this week.

“It’s a different season, but you do look back at those results,” says Jimmy Vaccaro, a veteran oddsmaker for William Hill in Las Vegas. “Each year has its trademark and that was it. We’re going to be moving a little quicker this year, be more vigilant with the adjustments. Who knows, you could be paying a premium for top teams by Week 3.”

Oddsmakers haven’t made it easy on bettors, piling up the points for top teams like Southern Cal, LSU and Oregon. Among Week 1 games involving Top 25 teams (with odds currently available), eight have spreads of 25 points or more. Marshall at West Virginia is sitting at WVU -24.5.

Not exactly shooting fish in a barrel. More like trying to get Lindsay Lohan to pay her $47,000 hotel bill – a pain in the ass but not impossible.

According to Vaccaro, USC -42 hosting Hawaii is the most popular bet among recreational players looking to lay a big fave. There is a lot of parlay action tied into the Trojans heading into Saturday's slate, moving Southern Cal from its opener of -38 to its current stand.

Here's a quick look at the Top 5 teams, according to the rankings, and their odds for Week 1:

No. 1 LSU Tigers -42.5 vs. North Texas
No. 2 Alabama Crimson -14 vs. Michigan
No. 3 USC Trojans -42 vs. Hawaii
No. 4 Oklahoma Sooners -31 at UTEP
No. 5 Oregon Ducks -37 vs. Arkansas State

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Posted by LonghornHoosier
9 months ago

this is nothing new...so the books got burned last year...probably one if 5 years...honestly, I bet they don't care about the first week or even the first month...if they pay out early winners, they know those degnerate junkies will think they can beat the books for the entire season...we know that is impossible. I doubt the books are making any adjustments. the reason teh lines are moving up is due to the action on that side. of course they will adjust to limit their exposure. the higher it goes the few the backers. personally, even at Autzen, I think Oregon giving 37.5 to a team like Ark St, which has a recent history of covering big spreads as a road dog is insane...sure Oregon may be able to put up 73, but this is a Malzahn coached team that won't quit. maybe the over is the best play...
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Posted by MYASSITCHES
9 months ago

I totaly agree, well stated sir!
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Posted by JohnnyJet0023
9 months ago

Double digit road favs were 2 and 0 last night. Last year they went 3 out of 4 in week 1. Rutgers and Oklahoma tomorrow to see if the 4 team round robin pays off.
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Posted by carterography
9 months ago

great article. love the Lindsay Lohan reference lol
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Top Response

Posted by carterography
9 months ago

"great article. love the Lindsay Lohan reference lol"