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Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

Check out our college football Top 25 cheat sheet for Saturday's evening action.

Miami Hurricanes at South Florida Bulls (+19, 47)


Miami Senior quarterback Stephen Morris suffered an ankle injury last week, but is expected to play. The Hurricanes have allowed only 29 points in three games, keyed by junior linebacker Denzel Perryman’s 20 tackles.

South Florida’s quarterbacks are struggling and five defensive touchdowns have been scored against the Bulls. Sophomore Steven Bench, a transfer from Penn State, is expected to be the third different starter at quarterback after completing 8-of-23 passes for 128 yards in the 28-10 loss to Florida Atlantic on Sept. 14. The Bulls have turned the ball over eight times.

LINE: Miami opened -20.5 and has moved as low as -18. Total moved from 48.5 to 47.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 80s, 20 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds NE 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. ACC.

Oklahoma State Cowboys at West Virginia Mountaineers (+19, 57)


Oklahoma State tallied 115 points in its last two games and is tied for 10th in the country in scoring at 45.3 points per game coming out of an early bye week. Senior Jeremy Smith leads the team with six rushing touchdowns, including three first-half scores in the Cowboys’ 59-3 win against Lamar last week. Oklahoma State racked up 426 total yards in that victory.

West Virginia redshirt freshman Ford Childress is expected to start his third consecutive game despite floundering against the Terrapins last week. West Virginia has scored seven total points in its two losses. Coming off a 37-0 shutout to Maryland, the Mountaineers will look to stay above .500 under third-year coach Dana Holgorsen, who served as Oklahoma State’s offensive coordinator in 2010.

LINE: OSU opened -20.5 and has moved to -19. Total moved between 57 and 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 60s, clear skies, winds 5 mph SE
TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Mountaineers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
* Under is 7-0 in Mountaineers last seven games overall.

South Carolina Gamecocks at UCF Knights (+7, 53)

The Gamecocks, whose only loss was at Georgia, 41-30, are coming off a bye following a 35-25 home win over Vanderbilt. Senior quarterback Connor Shaw is completing 64.9 percent of his passes and has thrown six touchdowns without an interception.

Central Florida enters Saturday's game unbeaten and with arguably the more impressive win. The Knights (3-0), who have scored at least 30 points in their first three games of a season for the first time in school history, are coming off a 34-31 upset of Penn State in Happy Valley.

LINE: UCF opened +7.5 and moved to +7. Total steady at 53.
WEATHER: Temperatures in low 80s, 19 percent chance of rain, winds NE 12 mph
TRENDS:

* Gamecocks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.
* Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 5-1 in Gamecocks last six road games.

Oklahoma Sooners at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3.5, 50)

The Irish used their passing game to stretch Michigan State and put pressure on the cornerbacks last week, drawing several penalties that kept drives alive and helped lead to a 17-13 triumph. Notre Dame is looking for its 11th straight home win.

Oklahoma is getting its biggest test of the first month and had an off week to prepare for the Fighting Irish after trouncing Tulsa on Sept. 14. The Sooners are bringing a different starting quarterback into this matchup, with junior Blake Bell proving himself after passing for 413 yards and four touchdowns in the win over Tulsa.

LINE: Notre Dame opened -1 and moved to +3.5. Total moved from 48.5 to 50.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds south 12 mph
TRENDS:

* Sooners are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 25-9-1 in Fighting Irish's last 35 non-conference games.

LSU Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs (-3, 62)

The Tigers have outscored opponents 173-88 and have not trailed at any point, but they also haven't yet played in a hostile environment like they'll face between the hedges. LSU's offense has taken flight under new coordinator Cam Cameron, as the Tigers have topped 30 points in their first four games for only the third time in history - and the first since 1928.

The Bulldogs put a 14-game home winning streak on the line and are after their second home win over a top-10 opponent after a 41-30 victory over South Carolina two weeks ago. Georgia's offense has been dynamic with quarterback Aaron Murray and running back Todd Gurley - the SEC's leading rusher at 125.7 yards per game.

LINE: Georgia opened -4.5 and moved to -3. Total steady at 62.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds ENE 6 mph
TRENDS:

* Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
* Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles (+23.5)


Spurred by the country’s 19th-ranked running game, the Seminoles look to extend a seven-game win streak in ACC play. The Seminoles have been remarkably efficient on offense, averaging 8.8 yards per play - the third-best mark in the nation. However, the defense has created only four turnovers and allowed 43 more rushing yards per game than it did a season ago.

Boston College, which had the FBS' 10th-worst run defense in 2012, appeared to be making strides in that area until it surrendered 257 yards in a 35-7 loss at Southern California last Saturday. However, the Eagles’ best chance at winning this game may come behind running back Andre Williams, who leads the conference in rushing.

LINE: FSU opened -22.5 and moved to -23.5. Total moved 52 to 54.
WEATHER: Temperatures in low 60s, clear skies, winds east 6 mph
TRENDS:

* Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Over is 6-2-1 in Seminoles last nine games overall.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Clemson Tigers (-28.5, 58.5)

The Demon Deacons have lost 32 straight games against teams ranked in the Top 5 dating back to a victory over Tennessee in 1946. Wake Forest is 9-73 all-time in road games against ranked programs.

Clemson QB Tajh Boyd had a field day against Wake Forest last season, throwing for five touchdowns and setting a school record with 428 yards. coach Dabo Swinney said that WR Martavis Bryant will have his playing time reduced against Wake Forest for making a throat-slashing gesture after one of the scores.

LINE: Clemson opened -27.5 and moved to -29. Total steady at 58.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures in mid 70s, clear skies, winds ENE 5 mph
TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 17-8 in Tigers last 25 conference games.
* Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

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Posted by madulamaximus
11 months ago

12:30 noon games I feel very strong on. LSU has an edge on pass defense. GA are prone to give up the big play. ATS does favor the lower ranked team. Which is GA @#10. When I look for a comparable I look at Clemson. LSU is tougher defensively with just as much scoring ability. GA is good...LSU is better...im going with the team with the most resistance.....LSU...small moneyline. National title resume in the making...or it can be GA redemption of Clemson loss. To me by comparison...most various scenarios favor LSU.
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Posted by sports_Network
11 months ago

The Georgia Bulldogs -3 would have to be considered the POD......
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Posted by BigRomes916
11 months ago

How does a night game increase the chances of a upset? Am I missing something?
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Posted by marcaka
11 months ago

Actually Clint trickett is starting for wvu... 3rd different starter this season.
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Posted by sports_Network
11 months ago

marcake, good call- this situation should not be overlooked on the +19 spread, can their offense warrant this margin.
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Posted by JohnnyJet0023
11 months ago

UCF Moneyline.....O'Leary's best team....too bad they changed this to a noon start, it was originally slated as a night game, which would increase the confidence level at the upset.
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Posted by madulamaximus
11 months ago

Ive been at this and good at it for a while. Its a true fact..you can catch some good moneyline dogs at days end. From +200 to +400. Like when its a 20 to 25th ranked team heavily favored on the road. I look for the favorite to have suspect pass defense and the dog to have a gun slinger qb with some scoring capability. Other stuff to a lesser degree.
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Top Response

Posted by marcaka
11 months ago

"Actually Clint trickett is starting for wvu... 3rd different starter this season. "