NFL Prop Shop: Super Bowl XLVII prop picks
It's almost time to close down the Prop Shop for another year, but not before targeting four best bets on Super Bowl Sunday.
Most passing yards
Joe Flacco (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers)
I expect both quarterbacks to have plenty of success on Sunday, but I can't resist playing Kaepernick with a considerable yardage cushion. The 49ers receivers match up well against the Ravens secondary, and I don't think we'll see Kaepernick hesitate to throw it deep when given the opportunity.
We haven't seen a lot of that from the rookie, but I expect the Ravens to do a nice job of limiting Kaepernick's mobility in this game and as a result, forcing him to take to the air a little more often than usual. Joe Flacco is well-positioned to turn in another stellar effort but his lack of consistency worries me in terms of this prop.
Take: Kaepernick +17.5 yards (-110)
Most rushing yards
Ray Rice (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Frank Gore (San Francisco 49ers)
Ray Rice is still the Ravens’ go-to guy out of the backfield, but Bernard Pierce has certainly cut into his workload and I think we'll see more of that Sunday. The 49ers are obviously tough up front and I'm not sure that Rice's physical, north-south running will lead to a big day on the ground. Don't be surprised if Rice is more of a factor in the Ravens’ short passing game.
Colin Kaepernick is getting all of the press, but Frank Gore is still the engine that makes the 49ers offense go. With much of the Ravens’ defensive game-planning geared toward stopping Kaepernick, Gore will find plenty of room to run. He might not see the end zone, with LaMichael James delivering consistently from 15 yards in, but he'll outrun Ray Rice by a considerable margin.
Take: Gore -17.5 yards (-110)
Most pass receptions
Anquan Boldin (Baltimore Ravens) vs. Michael Crabtree (San Francisco 49ers)
The re-emergence of Anquan Boldin has been an overlooked factor in the Ravens’ run to the Super Bowl. Joe Flacco is more comfortable throwing to Boldin than anyone else right now and in a game of this magnitude, it's the veterans that often shine.
Michael Crabtree has really come out of his shell over the last couple of months. No 49ers receiver has benefited more from the change at quarterback. With that comes more attention from the opposition, and I won't be surprised if the Ravens send double-coverage Crabtree's way on numerous occasions.
Take: Boldin (+105)
Total combined field goals made
The hook could come in to play, so make sure you can find a 3.5.
The Ravens have a lot of faith in Justin Tucker, but the 49ers are at the opposite end of the spectrum with David Akers.
I simply feel that the two offenses are operating at a peak level right now and we won't see a lot of stalled drives in enemy territory. Let's call for two from Tucker and one from Akers.
Take: Under 3.5 (-160)