NFL Prop Shop: Week 13's best prop plays
After a 2-1-1 showing last week, we're now 26-21-1 on the season inside the Prop Shop.
Here's a look at four more bets this week:
Most passing yards
Chad Henne vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick
Chad Henne has enjoyed a nice two-game stretch since taking over for an injured Blaine Gabbert, but I'm not convinced he'll keep it rolling for a third straight week. Henne has gained the majority of his yardage on several big plays downfield. The Bills just aren't giving up those big gainers right now. In fact, they've quietly played some of their best defensive football of the season over the last two weeks, holding the Dolphins and Colts to 34 points combined.
Ryan Fitzpatrick is serviceable in this spot. Keep in mind, the strength of the Jaguars defense is up front. Their secondary has had its issues, most recently allowing a struggling Jake Locker to throw for 261 yards last Sunday.
Russell Wilson vs. Jay Cutler
For Russell Wilson to get over 200 yards passing, he needs to be nearly perfect. At least that's been the case so far this season. On Sunday he'll face his toughest test since going up against the 49ers back in Week 7, a game in which he threw for only 122 yards.
Jay Cutler will have to be careful against an opportunistic Seahawks defense on Sunday. However, I can't help but think the duo of Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner has to be a little distracted after dealing with PED allegations earlier in the week. Cutler was sharp in his first game back from a concussion last week, and should build on that performance here.
Most rushing yards
Beanie Wells vs. Shonn Greene
Beanie Wells was eased back into the Cardinals offense last week, carrying the ball 17 times for 48 yards and two scores. That was against a tough Rams front seven. He'll face an easier matchup this Sunday, as the Jets are giving up 4.6 yards per rush as hosts.
Shonn Greene has shown flashes of brilliance, but for the most part, he's been a disappointment this season, gaining only 3.8 yards per rush. There's little reason to believe the Jets offense will finally figure things out against a physical Cardinals defense that has to be in a sour mood following last week's thumping. Expect Greene to be held at bay once again.
Most pass receptions
Brandon Lloyd vs. Davone Bess
Tom Brady and Brandon Lloyd have never developed the chemistry that most expected to see this season. Last week, Brady threw for 323 yards, but only 26 of those came on hook-ups with Lloyd.
Meanwhile, Davone Bess has quietly settled in as the Dolphins top receiving threat, hauling in 13 catches over the last two weeks. He's racked up at least six receptions in four of his last six contests. Coming off a huge 129-yard effort last week, I look for Bess to continue his progression against an opportunistic, but beatable, Patriots secondary.