Biggest. Total. Ever. And 'over' is the trend for big totals
Oddsmakers made college football betting history this week, posting an 86.5-point total for the Big 12 showdown between Oklahoma State and Baylor Saturday. That total has since been bet up to 88.5 points as of early Saturday morning.
The massive number is the largest over/under of the season and could be the highest total ever posted for an FBS college football game.
It’s the biggest number posted since 1985 (as far back as our stats database goes) and talking with many Las Vegas veteran oddsmakers, none of them recall a total as large as this Week 14 behemoth.
While the monstrous OSU-BU total may send some bettors running for the under this weekend, the over has been the wise play when it comes to the largest totals in the college football history. Of the 20 highest NCAAF over/under numbers – ranging from 77 to 83 points – the over has posted a 12-7-1 payout.
When you just include totals of 80 points or more, the over/under is a stunning 5-2-1. The most profitable range of totals is numbers between 77.5 and 83, which has gone 11-4-1 over/under.
Baylor is no stranger to 80-point totals, having now been involved in the four biggest over/under numbers in the past 27 years. In fact, the Bears and Cowboys were the former record holders, pushing with an 83-point total in a 59-24 OSU win last October.
This season, Baylor and West Virginia warranted an 82.5-point total in Week 5 (WVU 70, BU 63) and the Bears met with Texas Tech last weekend with an 80-point closing total (BU 52, TTU 45 OT). Those two faced an 82-point over/under in Week 13 of last season.
Here’s a look at the five biggest totals in college football history, going back to 1985:
83 – Oklahoma State 59, Baylor 24 (Oct. 29, 2011)
82.5 – West Virginia 70, Baylor 63 (Sept. 29, 2012)
82 – Baylor 66, Texas Tech 42 (Nov. 26, 2011)
80.5 – Hawaii 53, New Mexico State 13 (Oct. 27, 2007)
80.5 –Houston 70, Tulsa 30 (Nov. 15, 2008)