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Thursday Night Football: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-1, 46)

The slumping Miami Dolphins attempt to even their road record at 3-3 on Thursday night, when they visit the AFC East-rival Buffalo Bills. Miami, which had won two straight before their bye week, made it three in a row on Oct. 28 as they soundly thumped the New York Jets 30-9 on the road. But the Dolphins were edged by the Colts in Indianapolis the following week, dropping them to 2-3 away from home, and suffered their most lopsided home loss since 1968 on Sunday - a 37-3 defeat against Tennessee.

Buffalo will be trying to halt a three-game losing streak as it returns home after two straight on the road. The Bills lost a one-point decision at home to Tennessee on Oct. 21 and followed their bye week with setbacks at Houston and New England. Beginning Thursday, Buffalo will play five of its final seven games at home, including a Week 15 matchup against Seattle at Rogers Centre in Toronto.

TV:
8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE: This game opened at a pick at most books and action  on the Bills has moved the spread to -1. The total has gone from 45 to 46 and has now settled at 45.5 at some markets.

WEATHER:
The forecast is calling for cloudy skies and temperatures in the low 30s. Winds are expected to East at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (4-5, 4-5 ATS):
Miami committed four turnovers Sunday that led to 20 points and allowed an opposing running back to gain 100 yards for the first time in 23 games as Chris Johnson rushed for 126 on 23 carries. Rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill threw three interceptions and running back Reggie Bush had a costly fumble that earned him a seat on the bench in the first half. Tannehill had gone four consecutive games without a pick. He may have an easier time Thursday as Buffalo has the 25th-ranked pass defense.

ABOUT THE BILLS (3-6, 4-5 ATS): Buffalo never led Sunday as it lost to New England for the second time this season. Ryan Fitzpatrick connected with Donald Jones from two yards out with 7:47 remaining in the fourth quarter to get the Bills within 34-31. But after a Patriots field goal, the quarterback threw an interception in the end zone with 23 seconds left, ending Buffalo's hopes of notching its first win in 11 tries at Gillette Stadium since it opened in 2002. The Bills lost more than a game as running back Fred Jackson was ruled out of Thursday's game with a concussion after being hit in the head by Patriots linebacker Brandon Spikes late in Sunday's loss. C.J. Spiller will see the bulk of the action against Miami.

TRENDS:

* Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings.
* Favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
* Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in their last six vs. AFC East.
* Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. AFC East.

EXTRA POINTS:


1. Miami won both meetings last season by a combined score of 65-31.

2. Fitzpatrick passed for 337 yards Sunday, making him the fifth QB in Bills history to reach the 10,000-yard mark.

3. Buffalo announced the game, in which it will honor all branches of the military, is sold out.

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Posted by dafirestar
2 years ago

Seems to me based on recent play the Bills at home is a no brainer, certainly after Miami's performance last week against Tennessee showed fans that despite recent success's the Dolphins are simply a not ready for prime time team. Buffalo on the other hand has looked very good despite tough losses. As far as the total goes, I agree it's possible to get a quality, fluidly played over but that would mean for this game to go over 46 would take two teams that are much more likely to lay an egg, than to play exciting, progressive football. Therefore, I think the expert are wrong, I think this is much more likely to go under the big spot of 46, with the Bills winning in another ugly poorly played defensive ballgame on Thursday Night. In fact I really like the under 46 and Buffalo, I'm parlaying this and playing the Bills. I"ll score big tonight. After I give you guys this parlay though, no more freebies. Quite honestly I'm much better than any of the so called experts charging 200-300 a pick. If your interested I will allow whoever wants my selections along with why that selection was made by writing me at dafirestar@gmail.com and I will work with you to see your selections for Saturday and Sunday start turning around for you.
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Posted by Parlayed
2 years ago

Big edge to Buffalo on schedule strength. And Miami putting up 3 at home against the Titans last week ? - Betting big bills on the Bills.
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Posted by Gooey_911
2 years ago

Vegas is going to make a killing on all the prognosticators who bet the Bills over 8 wins this year, and those bets were very substantial!
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Posted by SPark1
2 years ago

under 46
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Posted by tiago1801
2 years ago

please bills, lose this game and try a top pick
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Top Response

Posted by Gooey_911
2 years ago

"Vegas is going to make a killing on all the prognosticators who bet the Bills over 8 wins this year, and those bets were very substantial!"