ALCS betting preview: Yankees at Tigers

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (-178, 7)

Detroit lead series 2-0.

The Detroit Tigers are in perfect position to put a stranglehold on the New York Yankees in the American League Championship Series as they send ace Justin Verlander to the mound Tuesday in Game 3 while owning a 2-0 series lead. Detroit posted a 6-4 victory in 12 innings in the series opener as Delmon Young collected three RBIs, including the game-winner. Young also notched the game-winning RBI in Game 2, but the story for the Tigers was Anibal Sanchez, who yielded just three hits and struck out seven over seven scoreless innings.

Save for two innings, the Yankees' offense has struggled mightily this postseason. The club scored five runs in the ninth inning of Game 1 of the AL Division Series against Baltimore and four in the ninth of Saturday's series opener versus Detroit. In its other 70 playoff innings, New York has totaled 11 runs. Robinson Cano, who ended the regular season on a 24-for-39 tear, is hitting .063 in the playoffs and is mired in an 0-for-26 drought, the longest in one postseason in major-league history. Curtis Granderson (.115) has struck out 14 times in 26 at-bats and Alex Rodriguez (.130) 12 times in 23 at-bats.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s under mostly cloudy skies. Winds will blow in from right field at 10 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP:
Yankees RH Phil Hughes (0-0, 1.35 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Justin Verlander (2-0, 0.56)

Hughes came up with a strong performance in Game 4 of the ALDS but settled for a no-decision after allowing one run and four hits with three walks and eight strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old was 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in two starts at Comerica Park during the regular season, tossing a four-hitter on June 3 before yielding four runs in 4 1/3 innings of a loss on Aug. 7. Hughes faced Detroit twice in relief during last year's ALDS, allowing two hits and striking out four over 2 1/3 scoreless frames.

After allowing just one run and three hits over seven innings in a Game 1 victory over Oakland in the ALDS, Verlander tossed a four-hit shutout in the decisive fifth game of the series. He issued five walks over 16 innings and struck out 11 in each contest. The 29-year-old went 0-1 with a 5.11 ERA in his first two starts of the year against New York before yielding two unearned runs and striking out a career high-tying 14 in eight innings of a home victory on Aug. 6. Verlander, who pitched one inning in last year's ALDS opener before the rains came and ended his night, yielded four runs and fanned 11 over eight frames in a Game 3 victory.

TRENDS:
* Yankees are 0-7 in their last seven playoff games as an underdog.
* Tigers are 5-0 in their last five playoff games as a favorite.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Yankees’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 4-1 in Tigers’ last five League Championship games.

UMP TRENDS- Sam Holbrook
* Over is 3-0-1 in Holbrook’s last four games behind home plate.
* Tigers are 6-0 in their last six games with Holbrook behind home plate.
* Yankees are 2-9 in their last 11 games with Holbrook behind home plate.
* Home team is 9-2 in Holbrook’s last 11 Tuesday games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Hughes' complete-game victory over Detroit on June 3 came against Verlander.

2. Verlander led the major leagues with 239 strikeouts during the regular season, while teammate and Game Four starter Max Scherzer was second with 231.

3. New York is 4-4 in a playoff series in which it lost the first two games, while Detroit has completed sweeps both times it took a 2-0 series lead. Since the LCS expanded to seven games in 1985, 20 of the 23 clubs that won the first two games went on to capture the series.

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Posted by Spikester
1 year ago

D'OH! - I also like the over 7 for a small play. Just a gut feeling, no reasoning behind it whatsoever.
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Posted by Spikester
1 year ago

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Posted by artdb
1 year ago

Yanks win
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Posted by c_had38
1 year ago

All the respect in the world for Verlander, he's a BEAST... just feel there's value to be had w/ NYY +160 avoiding the 0-3 death sentence. Also like Over 7 (+110). Leaning towards Lohse tomorrow, but will hold off on final decision.
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Top Response

Posted by c_had38
1 year ago

"All the respect in the world for Verlander, he's a BEAST... just feel there's value to be had w/ NYY +160 avoiding the 0-3 death sentence. Also like Over 7 (+110). Leaning towards Lohse tomorrow, but will hold off on final decision."