NFL Prop Shop: Week 5's best prop plays
We came up with a 3-1 performance last week, improving our prop record at 10-6 on the season.
Here's a look at four picks to consider this Sunday.
Most passing yards
Peyton Manning (Denver Broncos) vs. Tom Brady (New England Patriots)
I like the way this Broncos offense is evolving. I also like the fact that Peyton Manning has taken full advantage of sagging defenses in the fourth quarter, something I expect him to do against the Patriots - win or lose - Sunday. Peyton always gets up for the Pats.
New England suddenly has a ground game or at least it did last week, with both Brandon Bolden and Steven Ridley going off against the Bills. Brady will get his yards, but I still think we'll see the Patriots continue their evolution on offense, and that means more Bolden and Ridley.
Most rushing yards
Cedric Benson (Green Bay Packers) vs. Donald Brown (Indianapolis Colts)
Cedric Benson is coming off his best rushing game of the season, gaining 84 yards against the Saints last week. That's not saying much. The Packers would be wise to bomb away against the Colts weak secondary. Mike McCarthy is no fool, he'll put this one on the arm of Aaron Rodgers.
The outcome of this game depends on how well the Colts can play keep-away. Expect them to give the Packers defensive front a heavy dose of Donald Brown. He's topped out at 62 yards rushing this season, but should be given ample opportunity to improve on that number this week.
Trent Richardson (Cleveland Browns) vs. Ahmad Bradshaw (New York Giants)
Thanks to playing on Thursday night, most have already forgotten about Trent Richardson's solid night against the Ravens last week. He remains the focal point of the Browns offense and will be able to gain some big chunks against a Giants defense that is giving up 4.5 yards per rush this season.
Ahmad Bradshaw returned from injury and reclaimed the starting job from Andre Brown. That doesn't mean that Brown is going to be ignored, however. I'm counting on Tom Coughlin to mix things up between No. 1 and No. 1-A this week. Brown will take on a more prominent role than he saw against the Eagles in a tough matchup last Sunday.
Most pass receptions
DeSean Jackson (Philadelphia Eagles) vs. Mike Wallace (Pittsburgh Steelers)
The Eagles have suffered a major dropoff in offensive production on the road this season and DeSean Jackson has been a part of that, hauling in only seven catches in two road games compared to 13 in two home tilts. That trend continues this week, as the Eagles go up against a rested and ready Steelers defense that should be fired up after getting punched in the mouth by the Raiders last time out.
Mike Wallace has gotten better with each passing game this season - not a surprise given the fact that he missed training camp due to a contract holdout. He'll be Big Ben's favorite target against an aggressive Eagles secondary.