The Astros are just minus-$263 vs the moneyline, while the Tigers are plus-$1,058 (3rd-best!)...
My free play is on the Det Tigers at 7:10 ET.
Both the Astros and Tigers enter this three-game weekend series in Detroit having won five of their last seven games. The Astros are three games back of the AL West-leading Rangers and the Tigers are 4 1/2 games back of the AL Central-leading Indians. However, Detroit sits just a half-game out of the No. 2 wild card spot, with Houston 1 1/2 games back of the Tigers. Collin McHugh (7-6, 4.18 ERA) starts for Houston and Matt Boyd (1-2, 4.63 ERA) for Detroit. McHugh has only started three times against Detroit, going 0-2 with a 3.72 ERA (team is 0-3). Meanwhile, Boyd’s lone start vs Houston was a disaster, getting a no decision in five innings of a loss in which he allowed five ERs on six hits.
McHugh does come in off two excellent efforts, a dominating 10-strikeout performance over six scoreless innings against Seattle on July 17, followed by allowing two ERs over six innings of a 7-2 win July 23rd vs the Angels. Boyd has been a fill-in starter for the Tigers this season and is currently holding place for the return of Zimmermann and Norris. He is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in eight starts (Tigers are 3-5) but like McHugh, comes in pitching well. He owns a 1.17 ERA over his last three starts (17-2 KW ratio), with the Tigers winning two of those three.
The Astros (55-46) and Tigers (54-48) own similar records but while Houston is minus-$263 vs the moneyline, Detroit is plus-$1,058, MLB’s third-best mark. I’ll take the home team.