Kentucky Derby odds: Top 5 long-shot bets

Editor's note: Uncle Mo was pulled from the Kentucky Derby field Friday morning. Odds below are adjusted numbers.

With a full field of 20 horses, many of which seem to have a chance, you might as well say picking a long shot at the 137th Kentucky Derby is merely picking the winner.


A look over the Kentucky Derby odds reveals Dialed In listed as the chalk at a hefty 4-1 and Uncle Mo right behind at 5-1, so there's plenty of value on any horse to win.

You can practically guarantee that you're looking at an exacta that will pay over $100 and a trifecta at least of $1,000.

But, if you really want boxcars, how about putting one of these bombers on top?

Here are the Top 5 long shots to win the Derby:

11. Master of Hounds (30-1): It's a long way from Tipperary for this three-year-old. The Gomez mount had a rousing performance at the UAE (Dubai) Derby and is the only horse in the race to have run 1 3/16 miles. He's well-bred and trained by Aidan O'Brien, and the European invader's sole victory was a low-price maiden race in Tipperary.

13. Mucho Macho Man (10-1):
Has a win and has been no worse than fourth in five prep races. This is a big horse which has run 1 1/8 miles twice and against large, competitive fields. The Macho Man has seen all the best horses in training and won the Risen Star.

3. Twice The Appeal (17-1): I'll be honest, I really don't like this one but can you imagine as they turn for home and a long shot is making an outrageous run along the rail and Calvin Borel is aboard. Borel has won this race three of the past four years. Don't count him out.

1. Archarcharch (8-1):
The rail could be unkind to the Arkansas Derby winner and at 10-1 he's practically one of the favorites. “Not a good place to be. I’ve never liked the one hole, but you got to do what you got to do,” said trainer William “Jinks” Fires. Ferdinand is the last horse to win from the rail (1986).

14. Shackleford (20-1): Finished second to the favorite, Dialed In, in the Florida Derby. Has a win at 1 1/8 miles in an allowance race and has run three races at that distance. He's also won at Churchill Downs but may want the lead and that's going to be tough to get here.

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Posted by Bodogjoe
2 years ago

100 on neroh to show
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Posted by Bodogjoe
2 years ago

100 on neroh to show
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Posted by Bodogjoe
2 years ago

100 on neroh to show
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Posted by skyclassic
2 years ago

SHACKLEFORD WON'T LOOK BACK...
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Posted by gelded
2 years ago

16) Animal Kingdom got the benefit of Uncle Mo scratch, two times over. Uncle Mo would of pestered AK from the 17 hole, now he's gone and That also freed up Johnny V to ride, a MAJOR upgrade from Albarado. Also, checkout the Tomlison number for the distance; This 30/1 shot has the BEST number. Beyers are in range of all others... Using the 16 in all legs of the Tri and Super with a 1 unit 2 units 4 units Across the board wager...... Gl 2 ALL
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Posted by GoogsVL3
2 years ago

You are a genius!!!!!!! Nice hit!!!!
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Posted by TheCincyKid
2 years ago

Archaracharch, Dialed In Dialed In, Stay Thirsty Archarcharch, Stay Thirsty trifecta combos w/ Santiva Brilliant Speed Mucho Macho Man Nehro Soldat & Shackleford are overrated.
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Posted by TheCincyKid
2 years ago

how exactyly does anyone with a friggin brain even CONSIDER naming Archarcharch as a long shot??!! i mean, i understand he got screwed with the 1 post, but cmon.....a LONG SHOT? not hardly....
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Posted by burn123
2 years ago

for me to just run one horse in this important race is the horse to beat uncle mo. others will go after
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Posted by habs420
2 years ago

Who's the early morning scratch? I'm a little confused. The derby website has Derby Kitten listed with odds yet has a horse named Toby's Corner w/o odds. I thought one might have replaced the other. Anyone have knowledge of this? Thanks.
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Posted by duffmiver3
2 years ago

Uncle Mo was scratched earlier this morning. Gastronintestinal infection probably will not run till late summer.
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Posted by kroger
2 years ago

habs420 I live in Louisville Derby Kitten is still in the #9 position.
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Posted by habs420
2 years ago

Did Derby Kitten replace Toby's Corner in the #9 position?
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Posted by ghimraab
2 years ago

I think Shackleford gets swallowed up at the turn, assuming he can navigate the crowd for the front. Ran as well as he could at the Florida Derby. I'm looking at Midnight Interlude, who I think is peaking right now, and Animal Kingdom, who I think could navigate a big field- assuming he likes the dirt.
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Posted by RKB1979
2 years ago

I like the two horses you just mentioned as well. I'm going to be boxing them around with Archarcharch and Nehro.
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Posted by ghimraab
2 years ago

For all of those -15's- I hit the trifecta and across with AK, about a $2700 profit for the day. Thanks-
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Top Response

Posted by gelded
2 years ago

"16) Animal Kingdom got the benefit of Uncle Mo scratch, two times over. Uncle Mo would of pestered AK from the 17 hole, now he's gone and That also freed up Johnny V to ride, a MAJOR upgrade from Albarado. Also, checkout the Tomlison number for t..."