Profile | Entries | Thread Author | Posts | Activity |
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Mo!
I'm on TCU small. BOL Bro |
MoPinkie | 9 |
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0-0 Pending Futures: AUB elite8 +350 1U AUB sweet 16 -225 3U Aub wins EAST +450 ½U
--------------------------- Today:
Auburn -12.5 6U (placed Tues and yesterday, 3 U each)
BOL
NOTE: 3U is my average bet - everyone else's 1U - the reason I don't use 1U is so that I can adjust up and down without using fractions other than ½ |
barneybeans | 3 |
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replied to
***Maxwesties * Fri. Mar. 22, 2024 * NCAA * Tournament Rd. of 64 * College Basketball Plays***
in College Basketball Good Job MAC! |
Macwestie1 | 52 |
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Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: THis kinda stuff makes me crazy - so ya think Mattress Mack's big action play is with ESPN or at least they are holding a sizable piece? Looks like the two baltimore offers are syaing maybe yes :)
Bit of a crazy story.... I have heard that Mattress Mack has bet a big amount on Houston today through ESPN Bet. ESPN Bet is now offering a "boost" if you bet the Ravens. You can bet Balt -9.5 +110, and -10.5 +140 - FOR NO LIMITS. This has ripple effects to the marketplace at large.
OK I got a crazy play on this game BAL 1H -5.5 and HOU +9.5 FG
I hit these every now and then 1H and FG opposite sides. I see a confused HOU that adjust in 2nd Half and back doors. 9.5 is a lot of points for a team not named San Francisco 49ers.
LOVE SF.
BOL Van |
vanzack | 175 |
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Da booooooooooooooooooooodah!
BOL bro |
TheBuddah | 17 |
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Shades and OWO in the same thread.
BOL Owo, going with a Montie 2 and Dalwhinnie today.
Not a teaser player but today since it's almost a Wong I'm going PIT +9 BUF -6.5
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oldwiseone | 27 |
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Quote Originally Posted by monstergrit: Laying 1 or more on home teams: The juice is built into the line already. Books know home teams with a lead middle of the 9th lose an entire inning of at bats. This is already baked into the lines.
Actuarythanks for the info and advice. my thinking is that i hate laying heavy juice, but i dont like minus run lines on home teams. still need to see if the probability of a push out weighs the difference in juice i pay/save.
You can view page source and download the .css and .js files and have Johnny Ma's zcode calculator on your local devices in case that calc ever gets shut off. You can also bring the math into a spreadsheet. You can always take what you win on the ML and risk on the RL, which is the basic formula of syntheitc -1 but the calculator shows more info and allows you to set risk/wager limits.
Lastly I like -1 on a dog I think has a shot of winning outright - taking ML + and -1.5 on the alt RL with ++, especially in a hitters park vs a gassed pen but vs a great starter.
MLB can't get here soon enough
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monstergrit | 12 |
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I'll check just to make sure but at first glance I think he's making more than me.
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ToddC | 33 |
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Big Mac Attack.
BOL Bro, I'm on this side for no good reason. Now I gotta reason. Lets get this tonight
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Macwestie1 | 50 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ZigZagTheory: Van posted 3 hours ago, Mac 3 days ago. You don't really pay attention to detail. Remind me why you have a job?
Looks eerily similar to Vanzack’s selection. I’d say OP trying to ride Zack’s coattail!!!
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Macwestie1 | 50 |
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Van, Like the play. Got TB to win the division but I jumped on NO tonight when it hit 4.5 and for no other good reason other than the line looks fishy. Glad to see you on them for a real reason. BOL Brother
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vanzack | 80 |
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With all the opt outs and transfer portal deals, you guys betting on the bowls are taking serious risk.
One or two key players players out at the collegiate level can make or break an entire team. Not to mention winning bowls (there are so many) is not as important as it used to be.
Maybe some players would rather be in their hometowns smoking a bowl instead of playing in one.
I got Central Fl -4.5 tomorrow
BOL
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barneybeans | 6 |
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Van the man!
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vankiep_0007 | 12 |
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Quote Originally Posted by Lucky Luciano: This is true but also to consider is the % of games where the spread is moved +/-6 points (such as a teaser) only matters 13% of the time. Buying points is irrelevant and a waste of $. I know we all remember how many times we lost by the hook and how much that hurts, but but the majority of times that half a point doesn't matter even on a 3. And don't tell me how many games are decided by 3, I know a lot, but was the spread on that game 3 by the favorite? Not usually. And remember that half the better took the 3. You can SQL it.
@Theasscritic 8% of games are decided by 2 points or less 23% of games are decided by 3 points or less Best Buy the hook
BO roofer.
I am on HOU +6, TB -2.5, NYG +17.5 |
roofer1 | 33 |
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4-3 +1.95U
This will probably be my last week playing NFL as the lines usually start getting pretty sharp in weeks 4-5
Previous Gradings: Last week 3 : 2-2 = -1.85
WEEK 3
CLE +1.5 4U
BOL
Today:
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barneybeans | 1 |
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BOL Fellas:
My day:
DAL 1H -6.5 -125 3U ATL +3 -105 2U SEA TT OV 23.5 2U LAC +1.5 2U
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trainwreck66 | 8 |
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2-1 +3.80U
Last week 2 : 1-1 + .8U Previous Gradings:
Today:
DAL 1H -6.5 -125 3U ATL +3 -105 2U SEA TT OV 23.5 2U LAC +1.5 2U
BOL
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barneybeans | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by TheBuddah: Da Boooooooooooooooooooodah!
Not sure if anyone else had problems logging in - took forever. My plays for today: 1. Denver +6 2.Wash +5.5 3. Detroit +3 Based on time I can't explain the why, however, if you see my post regarding SF the other not - that's my methodology of how i do it. Good luck all
BOL Bruddah |
TheBuddah | 9 |
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CLE definitely looks like a trap. Det somewhat, they are a darling after that first win and all that rest. TB? Mayfield sucks, although I'm on them. DAL might win by 21
BOL
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Surfrancis123 | 4 |
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Quote Originally Posted by ColinMac: Draft Kings cuts off sharp bettors and blames it on the geo location.
@MB67 They're all sportsbooks at the end of the day, but at least regulated books have a safety net of being fined if they step out of line.
The best books are offshore, Pinacle or if in the US Heritage or YouWager.
FD, MGM, DK and all the others offer odds that rip the bettor off, it's impossible to make money over the long run.
plus all the US book are purchasing websites and forums and squashing and deleting any talk or links of better offshore books(there are many). They don't want the US public to know, they don't want the public to even see the odds being offered. US based books make payment and withdrawals a lot easier, I'll give you that. But everything else is extremely limited. And again, the odds offered are a crime. I'm laying -105 in NFL and getting .10 lines in MLB. You ain't getting that at the US based sportsbook, not sure why anyone would play there unless you are a casual bettor looking for fun and to throw away money. |
ColinMac | 35 |
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