Pittsburgh won as -185 favorites in Game 1 of this series. The line opened with Pittsburgh as -200 favorites for Game 2 and is currently at -190.
The total is set at 5.5 -120, the same price as last game.
Beating the odds
The Hurricanes have lost Game 1 all three times this postseason. They came back to win series against New Jersey and Boston despite dropping the opening contest.
Historically the team that wins Game 1 at home wins the follow-up match 65 percent of the time and wins the series 77 percent of the time.
The Hurricanes will likely be without forwards Erik Cole and Tuomo Ruutu for Thursday’s tilt. Both players were injured during Monday’s action. Cole was the victim of a knee-on-knee hit from Penguins forward Matt Cooke while Ruutu injured his ankle when Penguins D-man Mark Eaton kicked Ruutu’s skate out from under him in the first period.
Neither player has been particularly productive this postseason. Cole and Ruutu have combined for seven points in Carolina’s 15 playoff games.
Is the over cover undercover?
The Penguins and Hurricanes have played five times this season, including playoffs, and have finish below the total four times. The under also has a 4-0-1 record in Carolina’s last five road games.
Last game stayed under - with the Pens winning 3-2 - but featured many scoring chances and highlight-reel saves from goaltenders Marc-Andre Fleury and Cam Ward. Fleury is 9-5 this postseason with a GAA of 2.67, while Ward is 8-7 with a 2.27 GAA.
This postseason, when a Staal brother scores, his team is 9-1. When Eric Staal scores a goal, the Hurricanes are 7-0 while the Pens are 2-0 when Jordan Staal finds the back of the net. Not as lucky is brother Marc Staal whose lone goal this playoffs came in the New York Rangers’ game six defeat to the Capitals.
Series Star Watch
Other Key Numbers:
- The home team is 10-2 in Pittsburgh and Carolina’s last 12 meetings.
- Carolina is 4-1 in its last five games when scoring two goals or less in its previous game.
- Pittsburgh has won five of its last six games.
- Pittsburgh is 26-7 in its last 33 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.
- The Under is 4-0-1 in Carolina’s last five playoff games as an underdog of +151 to +200.
- The Over is 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last five games overall.