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Betting 1st Half When Home Team is Favored by 15 or More

Forum: College Basketball
Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Betting 1st Half When Home Team is Favored by 15 or More
lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/6/2018 6:32:09 PM

Anyone recall this system? There are a ton of games (18 or so) that fit it tonight. 

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/6/2018 7:10:55 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by lakersfan20009:

Anyone recall this system? There are a ton of games (18 or so) that fit it tonight.

surely someone knows what I’m talking about. I believe the system also did NOT include games if the teams were located in the same state or something like that and favored cross country matchups 

TheSquare PM TheSquare
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Posted: 11/6/2018 9:21:14 PM

Towson @ Virginia: Virginia -26 before tip off.  1st half odds: Virginia -14.5

I took Virginia -14.5 and they won by 9 in the first half... an_eek2an_burningbag

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/6/2018 11:13:20 PM

I didn't get a few of the plays in by tipoff, but went 8-5. I created a Spreadsheet and if you would have played all of the games that fit this criteria tonight, the system is 10-6, and the last game of the night is Oregon -13.5.

1 game tomorrow, Wright State

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/8/2018 8:33:15 AM

ORegon covered 11-6 Night 1, 1-0 last night

monstergrit PM monstergrit
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Posted: 11/8/2018 3:14:00 PM
illinois count? moved from 14 to 15
japa PM japa
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Posted: 11/9/2018 5:16:46 AM
What's the historical % from the last 3-5 years?
StumpTownStu PM StumpTownStu
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Posted: 11/9/2018 8:20:12 AM

I've been doing this for years on spreads between, say, 14 and 22. I didn't know there was an actual noted system that does this. I tend to be a 1H player in general but you have to know the teams, especially early in the season. Some teams sleep walk through the 1H then turn in on and cover the full game number. Some high spread dogs can hang for the 1H but lack the depth to sustain it.

Twilo PM Twilo
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Posted: 11/9/2018 11:03:20 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:

I've been doing this for years on spreads between, say, 14 and 22. I didn't know there was an actual noted system that does this. I tend to be a 1H player in general but you have to know the teams, especially early in the season. Some teams sleep walk through the 1H then turn in on and cover the full game number. Some high spread dogs can hang for the 1H but lack the depth to sustain it.


Yep, so very true. And some coaches experiment with lineups in the 1H as well.

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/9/2018 5:54:00 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by monstergrit:

illinois count? moved from 14 to 15

yes I played it, but prefer those that open as -15 or better

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/9/2018 5:57:17 PM

I have a spreadsheet going, 3 nights so far, 11-6, 1-0, and 1-0 last night.

10 games tonight 1) St Johns 2) Davidson 3) Kentucky 4) Temple 5) TN 6) NV 7) UCLA 8) MS State 9) IN 10) OR

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/9/2018 6:02:32 PM

A few observations 

Seems like Kentucky struggled first half last season to cover. A ton of talented freshman that sometimes takes a half to get it together.

It seemed like UCLA and Duke covered a lot last year.

I think some ppl stay away from this system for games with teams in the same state, big rivalries, etc. 

 

OPMS_KRATOM69 PM OPMS_KRATOM69
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Posted: 11/9/2018 6:11:21 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by lakersfan20009:

A few observations  Seems like Kentucky struggled first half last season to cover. A ton of talented freshman that sometimes takes a half to get it together. It seemed like UCLA and Duke covered a lot last year. I think some ppl stay away from this system for games with teams in the same state, big rivalries, etc.

I took StJohn first half -11.5. Did I do it right? Lol thanks for sharing I'll ride along for a few nights and see how it does. I have a college football system that Boston College fits on Saturday that has one loss over the last 30 years if you would like for me to share it let me know! Gl buddy. 

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/10/2018 9:22:41 AM

System last night 4-6. YTD 17-12

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/10/2018 9:36:22 AM

6 plays today: Bradley -8.5, Xavier -11.5, Butler -9, Syracuse -13.5, Western KY -8.5, Villanova (no 1H line yet)

OPMS_KRATOM69 PM OPMS_KRATOM69
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Posted: 11/10/2018 2:01:24 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by lakersfan20009:

6 plays today: Bradley -8.5, Xavier -11.5, Butler -9, Syracuse -13.5, Western KY -8.5, Villanova (no 1H line yet)

Might be worth paying attention to...

If first half team fails to cover by half or less ATS for the first half and is shooting a higher % then the opposing team. DBL down on the 2H ATS. Example..

Team A is -16 over Team B first half. Half time score is Team A by 8-15 points and is shooting 42% compared to Teams Bs 38%. Half time spread is team A by 9. Bet Team A -9. 

This system has had success in recent years.

ChristNYC PM ChristNYC
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Posted: 11/10/2018 4:56:10 PM

Xavier blew that 1st half 

lakersfan20009 PM lakersfan20009
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Posted: 11/11/2018 10:54:53 AM

3-3 yesterday 

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