Villeareal ML, Lyon not a good road team especially on Europa or CL, I don't think villeareal is that bad and should at least get a W but doubt they can overcome the 2 goals deficit
zenit ML or -0.75, they have the experience to overcome this, I remember they have a similar situation last year against anderlect but somehow let the away team to score a last min goal, I believe this zenit team is better than last year and they had pretty good form during friendlies until last game vs Celtic....
Villeareal ML, Lyon not a good road team especially on Europa or CL, I don't think villeareal is that bad and should at least get a W but doubt they can overcome the 2 goals deficit
zenit ML or -0.75, they have the experience to overcome this, I remember they have a similar situation last year against anderlect but somehow let the away team to score a last min goal, I believe this zenit team is better than last year and they had pretty good form during friendlies until last game vs Celtic....
Lazio -1.5 (was able to get this in early. at -1.75 now)
Braga ML and o2.5 - these guys love to score goals. Problem is so does Marseille. I don’t think Braga does enough to advance but they will put up a significant fight.
Dortmund o3 - Atalanta with two vital away goals but Dortmund still with the advantage. I don’t expect Dort to sit back and Atalanta needs a goal to advance.
Loko Moscow ML - Moscow 10 degrees F? 40 degree difference for the primadonna Balotelli and co. does not sound like a match made in heaven. This will be a 1-0, maybe 1-1 but can’t see Nice getting goals here.
Villarreal ML - as yoro said, they won’t advance but they’ll make Lyon’s crap defense garbage themselves.
Lazio -1.5 (was able to get this in early. at -1.75 now)
Braga ML and o2.5 - these guys love to score goals. Problem is so does Marseille. I don’t think Braga does enough to advance but they will put up a significant fight.
Dortmund o3 - Atalanta with two vital away goals but Dortmund still with the advantage. I don’t expect Dort to sit back and Atalanta needs a goal to advance.
Loko Moscow ML - Moscow 10 degrees F? 40 degree difference for the primadonna Balotelli and co. does not sound like a match made in heaven. This will be a 1-0, maybe 1-1 but can’t see Nice getting goals here.
Villarreal ML - as yoro said, they won’t advance but they’ll make Lyon’s crap defense garbage themselves.
Perception vs Reality and perception almost always wins...In Ligue 1 this year, Lyon is actually a better road team than home team being just one of two teams who’ve taken more points per game on the road than at home. They score more goals per game on the road, and give up less. They have a had a a few very poor results on the road, but have also had some very strong defensive performances when needed.
They’ve done well on the road so far in Europa league going 1-1-1 and conceding just three goals, with two of three going under. They held Atalanta to two goals over two legs, a team that has scored 14 goals in their 5 other UEL matches. Small sample size and qoc of course, but they were tied for fourth stingiest defense in UEL and have the 3rd best defense in terms of goals per game on the road in Ligue 1.
Both of these teams have a Jekyll and Hyde aspect to them. If anything I like Lyon +.75 or +.5at +$
Perception vs Reality and perception almost always wins...In Ligue 1 this year, Lyon is actually a better road team than home team being just one of two teams who’ve taken more points per game on the road than at home. They score more goals per game on the road, and give up less. They have a had a a few very poor results on the road, but have also had some very strong defensive performances when needed.
They’ve done well on the road so far in Europa league going 1-1-1 and conceding just three goals, with two of three going under. They held Atalanta to two goals over two legs, a team that has scored 14 goals in their 5 other UEL matches. Small sample size and qoc of course, but they were tied for fourth stingiest defense in UEL and have the 3rd best defense in terms of goals per game on the road in Ligue 1.
Both of these teams have a Jekyll and Hyde aspect to them. If anything I like Lyon +.75 or +.5at +$
and loose, you've called Lyon to win @ home last time, and I will not go against you here, win or lose I won't blame, as I'm still in last year Europa mode as lyon always lose on the road, hahaha
and loose, you've called Lyon to win @ home last time, and I will not go against you here, win or lose I won't blame, as I'm still in last year Europa mode as lyon always lose on the road, hahaha
One game that I kind of love is Leipzig to win/-.75/-1 does Napoli even care at this point? As spec has pointed out they have at least one if not two much more important goals this year (I think they’re booted from Coppa so one)
One game that I kind of love is Leipzig to win/-.75/-1 does Napoli even care at this point? As spec has pointed out they have at least one if not two much more important goals this year (I think they’re booted from Coppa so one)
From what I’ve read, Napoli is putting all of their eggs in the Serie A basket at this point. I can totally see them punting this one off. Given that, Leipzig at -115 is quite tempting.
I’ve got a good amount of plays I like today. With this being the Europa League...that makes me nervous :-/
I think the over in Braga/Marseille can easily hit in the 2nd leg as it did the first. The over 2.5 is -109 on my book.
I like Salzburg at home to get a win over Sociedad. Their road form isn’t great & Salzburg took 7 of 9 points in the group stages at home, not conceding any goals.
I really like the over 3 in the Atalanta/Dortmund match but I’m not thrilled with the price at -122. I see Dortmund’s got a lot of injuries so maybe I’ll just roll the dice on Atalanta to get the home win at +146
I like Plzen at home to beat Partizan even if it is a liiitle juicy at -132. Their home record is near flawless this year. Maybe I’ll parlay them with Milan to win at home (-161).
There’s some others but I’ll keep it at that for now.
Looking forward to seeing what everyone else is on today
From what I’ve read, Napoli is putting all of their eggs in the Serie A basket at this point. I can totally see them punting this one off. Given that, Leipzig at -115 is quite tempting.
I’ve got a good amount of plays I like today. With this being the Europa League...that makes me nervous :-/
I think the over in Braga/Marseille can easily hit in the 2nd leg as it did the first. The over 2.5 is -109 on my book.
I like Salzburg at home to get a win over Sociedad. Their road form isn’t great & Salzburg took 7 of 9 points in the group stages at home, not conceding any goals.
I really like the over 3 in the Atalanta/Dortmund match but I’m not thrilled with the price at -122. I see Dortmund’s got a lot of injuries so maybe I’ll just roll the dice on Atalanta to get the home win at +146
I like Plzen at home to beat Partizan even if it is a liiitle juicy at -132. Their home record is near flawless this year. Maybe I’ll parlay them with Milan to win at home (-161).
There’s some others but I’ll keep it at that for now.
Looking forward to seeing what everyone else is on today
yoro, just checking in now, time was limited earlier. my thoughts regarding Serie A clubs quickly here. (i still havent done my due diligence so pls take this as "opinions" only.
Serie A teams (initial thoughts): historically speaking, and i say this with conviction......... Serie A clubs have tended to not give a cr*p about Europa. which makes todays matches tricky.
I dont know about those other 'Power 5' (big leagues) clubs attitudes per se, but when ManU won this thing last year I was HOPING it would change teams perspectives/approach towards this competition: "hey...we can get in the CL thru the backdoor by winning this thing". if a big EPL club can take this seriously, why cant/shouldnt everyone else? right?
Lazio - should be able to advance.but the prices too steep for the win & Steua will form a semi-circle around the goalie and hold on. Inzaghi resting his entire backline practically and I doubt if he will start Immobile so be mindful of the lineups before taking the 'over', this team is C L U E L E S S w/out him in there. and they are in a dogfight for that 4th CL slot next year.
Atalanta/Dort - this will be better than 3/4 of the the CL games which went off. those 2 goals last week could be HUGE if they score first here.
Milan - avoid them. got a 3 goal cushion and a bloody HUGE match this Sunday with Roma (more on that this wknd). Gattuso is 'old school' and will rest players. they could LOSE 2-0 and still advance anyways, i wouldnt suggest going heavy on them in a match which could simply be a defensive 'practice session'.
Napoli - got them @+333 earlier this AM. will put it in my writeup later.
yoro, just checking in now, time was limited earlier. my thoughts regarding Serie A clubs quickly here. (i still havent done my due diligence so pls take this as "opinions" only.
Serie A teams (initial thoughts): historically speaking, and i say this with conviction......... Serie A clubs have tended to not give a cr*p about Europa. which makes todays matches tricky.
I dont know about those other 'Power 5' (big leagues) clubs attitudes per se, but when ManU won this thing last year I was HOPING it would change teams perspectives/approach towards this competition: "hey...we can get in the CL thru the backdoor by winning this thing". if a big EPL club can take this seriously, why cant/shouldnt everyone else? right?
Lazio - should be able to advance.but the prices too steep for the win & Steua will form a semi-circle around the goalie and hold on. Inzaghi resting his entire backline practically and I doubt if he will start Immobile so be mindful of the lineups before taking the 'over', this team is C L U E L E S S w/out him in there. and they are in a dogfight for that 4th CL slot next year.
Atalanta/Dort - this will be better than 3/4 of the the CL games which went off. those 2 goals last week could be HUGE if they score first here.
Milan - avoid them. got a 3 goal cushion and a bloody HUGE match this Sunday with Roma (more on that this wknd). Gattuso is 'old school' and will rest players. they could LOSE 2-0 and still advance anyways, i wouldnt suggest going heavy on them in a match which could simply be a defensive 'practice session'.
Napoli - got them @+333 earlier this AM. will put it in my writeup later.
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