Quote Originally Posted by japa:
TD - Just saw your comment which I agree with in the other thread about write-ups and record keeping.
Can you start marking your plays as wins/losses at the week's end and include your YTD record each week? You have a massive volume of plays so it's even more important. And can you post an updated YTD record here for this NCAA season when you get the chance? Thanks!
I am already listing my plays at week's end as wins/losses. All caught up on that finally as of last weekend. I just haven't been listing a YTD record in each week's new thread.
Normally I export all my plays into excel so I can filter, sort, etc. and do some self evaluating of what I'm doing well / not so well, but I have not had time to do that yet this season.
From each of my threads so far this year, my record this season is:
Week 0/1: All plays: 26-15, approximately +7.15 units.
>= 1 unit plays: 5-2
College Extra (FCS vs. FCS) only: 5-1
These plays are listed in a thread titled "2018 Offseason Stuff"
Week 2: All plays: 24-13, approximately +13.0 units.
>= 1u plays: 9-2
College Extra only: 8-0
Week 3: All plays: 17-9, +10.3 units
>= 1u plays: 8-3
College Extra only: 2-4
YTD: All plays: 67-37, approximately +30.45 units
>= 1u plays: 22-7
College Extra only: 15-5 (*note the 13-1 start followed by the 2-4 week 3 crash landing.... and guys b!tch about -120 on 5D. Early in the year, one can win with just a little effort.
Normally I try to do a breakdown by type: FBS vs. FBS, FBS vs. FCS, and FCS vs. FCS. ..... the intent is to be as transparent as possible. I am telling you all that I'm not as good at FBS vs. FBS. No shame in that. And it makes perfect sense. Go read BA's response this week to a capper asking about playing more non-power 5 games than marquee games. I was raised on small college football with my Dad coaching at this level (and D1 both power 5 & non-power 5 later as well) so I believe I have more depth & knowledge than some on these obscure games & teams. And I work at it throughout the entire year to be prepared. I usually dominate the FBS vs. FCS games early in the year. Again, when I get a chance this season I'll have to go back and get a full breakdown completed. I also like to do a breakdown by units. People should bet what they can afford to lose without getting emotional. At least start that way. Playing with house money, maybe up the stakes a small amount. My small unit FBS vs. FBS plays record is a winning record and is making more $, but it's not going to get me a higher winning % than those that are very selective and have 30 plays all season. If I can make small volume plays and come out ahead, I'm going to continue to do it. That's just part of my approach. I get it, not for everyone. That's why I started listing >= 1u plays as a separate breakdown for my most confident plays that naturally do (and should) win at a higher %.
It only gets harder from here on out. I started very strong in 2017 as well since I was extremely prepared and had months to do so. Week to week and having a life and family, it gets much tougher for me the second half of the season. Many cappers get stronger as the season goes on. Most seasons I am solid all season long. Last year was not one of them. The 2nd half of the year was challenging. I will came out about 24 or 25 units ahead for the entire season, but when you're up 40 units after 5 weeks that was a discouraging finish. Again, just being honest. I intend to learn from last year and get back to previous years performance in the 2nd half.
Thanks for asking. I hope that answers it and gives you some additional perspective on me, my record, and my approach.