hey everyone. i have used this site for a while now to help gather info and popular opinion on games i am betting. i haven't done my own picks thread for a few years now, and never here on covers. i am not here to argue, boast or put others down. i do value any info or opinions anyone would like to contribute to this thread. i will post my thoughts along with my picks each week and see how i do. i will tell you now that i don't use any set system to cap my games. i find an angle i like on a game by reading over everything i can find, and i go with it. i do take it very serious and don't just throw bs out there. looking foward to getting to know you all.
hey everyone. i have used this site for a while now to help gather info and popular opinion on games i am betting. i haven't done my own picks thread for a few years now, and never here on covers. i am not here to argue, boast or put others down. i do value any info or opinions anyone would like to contribute to this thread. i will post my thoughts along with my picks each week and see how i do. i will tell you now that i don't use any set system to cap my games. i find an angle i like on a game by reading over everything i can find, and i go with it. i do take it very serious and don't just throw bs out there. looking foward to getting to know you all.
thank you guys. so excited to have football back. i will list plays from 1 to 5 units. all are -110 unless otherwise noted.
wyoming -4 ** just a small bet to get things rolling. the under seems to be the most logical play, but 45 is pretty low for a college game. aggies have a really good rb, but their line is awful with no depth at all. they are bringing in a pretty new qb as well against a really stout cowboy d. i don't put a lot of stock in trends, but they are heavily in favor of the under as well. i don't worry so much about the offenses exploding in this one, but more like both of them imploding and creating points for the other team with mistakes. i think wyoming has the edge on both sides of the ball, so i will just stick with the spread. always fun to stab at the score. 23-6 cowboys
thank you guys. so excited to have football back. i will list plays from 1 to 5 units. all are -110 unless otherwise noted.
wyoming -4 ** just a small bet to get things rolling. the under seems to be the most logical play, but 45 is pretty low for a college game. aggies have a really good rb, but their line is awful with no depth at all. they are bringing in a pretty new qb as well against a really stout cowboy d. i don't put a lot of stock in trends, but they are heavily in favor of the under as well. i don't worry so much about the offenses exploding in this one, but more like both of them imploding and creating points for the other team with mistakes. i think wyoming has the edge on both sides of the ball, so i will just stick with the spread. always fun to stab at the score. 23-6 cowboys
forgive the no depth at all statement regarding the aggie line. they do have depth and returners there. one of the pages i was reading was wrong there. doesn't really change anything for me. i still like the wyoming d to feast on the new qb. the aggie d is pretty stout as well. maybe i should just throw down on the under also. will figure it out before saturday.
forgive the no depth at all statement regarding the aggie line. they do have depth and returners there. one of the pages i was reading was wrong there. doesn't really change anything for me. i still like the wyoming d to feast on the new qb. the aggie d is pretty stout as well. maybe i should just throw down on the under also. will figure it out before saturday.
hawaii +14 ** just a quick summary. both teams replacing entire offense. hawaii running new system on o, while csu under a new d coordinator. both teams suck and neither will have a winning season. both teams gonna pass a ton, and the csu secondary is just too terrible to lay that many points on. csu certainly has a slight talent edge overall and a little more experience, but that is a lot of points in a game i think could go either way.
hawaii +14 ** just a quick summary. both teams replacing entire offense. hawaii running new system on o, while csu under a new d coordinator. both teams suck and neither will have a winning season. both teams gonna pass a ton, and the csu secondary is just too terrible to lay that many points on. csu certainly has a slight talent edge overall and a little more experience, but that is a lot of points in a game i think could go either way.
hawaii +14 ** just a quick summary. both teams replacing entire offense. hawaii running new system on o, while csu under a new d coordinator. both teams suck and neither will have a winning season. both teams gonna pass a ton, and the csu secondary is just too terrible to lay that many points on. csu certainly has a slight talent edge overall and a little more experience, but that is a lot of points in a game i think could go either way.
So many of us will be watching this horrible game because we need our cfb fix.
hawaii +14 ** just a quick summary. both teams replacing entire offense. hawaii running new system on o, while csu under a new d coordinator. both teams suck and neither will have a winning season. both teams gonna pass a ton, and the csu secondary is just too terrible to lay that many points on. csu certainly has a slight talent edge overall and a little more experience, but that is a lot of points in a game i think could go either way.
So many of us will be watching this horrible game because we need our cfb fix.
thank you guys. that is all i am gonna do saturday. shouldn't even bet these two spreads honestly. there are way too many unknowns in both of these games. just can't sit out the first day of the season. talk to you guys next week when we have some real games. take care and good luck.
thank you guys. that is all i am gonna do saturday. shouldn't even bet these two spreads honestly. there are way too many unknowns in both of these games. just can't sit out the first day of the season. talk to you guys next week when we have some real games. take care and good luck.
I followed NMSU last couple years, very up and down hard to spot them up. Huntley on NMSU was backing up larry rose last year and had some breakout games vs ASU and Appy state when they were giving him the ball. should be a decent back this year. can't say I know much else on these teams so good luck!
I followed NMSU last couple years, very up and down hard to spot them up. Huntley on NMSU was backing up larry rose last year and had some breakout games vs ASU and Appy state when they were giving him the ball. should be a decent back this year. can't say I know much else on these teams so good luck!
i have a lot going on today and much of tomm. i haven't been able to spend much time on these games. i have read all the forums i look at and got a pretty good feel for these two games.
purdue -1.5 ** i have been back and forth on this one. i don't have any sound reasoning or stats to back me up here. i just feel like uncle mo is working for purdue and they get it done. should be a really great game, and i am looking foward to it. the nw d is gonna be really good.
nm state +21.5 ** minn is gonna suck on o again as far as i can tell, and the aggie d is not bad. they also have a game under their belts. it just seems to me like 3 tds is towards the very upper range of the gophers scoring potential. the game total alone tells me this should be an ugly game.
like i said, the above bets are just feel bets from reading over the forums. i am not messing with the ucf game at all. i haven't seen much on the tulane spread. i am gonna try to spend some time on it tonight or tomm and see if i like anything.
i have a lot going on today and much of tomm. i haven't been able to spend much time on these games. i have read all the forums i look at and got a pretty good feel for these two games.
purdue -1.5 ** i have been back and forth on this one. i don't have any sound reasoning or stats to back me up here. i just feel like uncle mo is working for purdue and they get it done. should be a really great game, and i am looking foward to it. the nw d is gonna be really good.
nm state +21.5 ** minn is gonna suck on o again as far as i can tell, and the aggie d is not bad. they also have a game under their belts. it just seems to me like 3 tds is towards the very upper range of the gophers scoring potential. the game total alone tells me this should be an ugly game.
like i said, the above bets are just feel bets from reading over the forums. i am not messing with the ucf game at all. i haven't seen much on the tulane spread. i am gonna try to spend some time on it tonight or tomm and see if i like anything.
and there ya go. 2-0 followed up with 0-2. i posted i was 2-0 and +3.8 saturday, when it should have been +3.6. makes me 2-2 and -.4 now.
colorado state over 65.5 ** both teams are so bad on d. the colorado state pass d is just awful, and the colorado o looking to throw the ball around more. colorado d pretty bad, and the rams o really got it going late last week. funny things happen on these games, but it really should be a high scoring game. i don't know who wins, but i think both teams are in the 30s.
stanford -13.5 ** stanford will be able to do a lot of other things to open up the run game. i think sdsu is gonna be pretty one dimensional here. revenge game for stanford at home, and much better qb play than last season's game should make it an easy ugly win.
those are the only games i am betting because they are the only games i had time to look at. the guy on youtube changed the water pump on his altima in less than 30 minutes. i started at noon today and i am still not finished. that stuff is never quite so simple as they make it look in their 15 minute videos. got me pissed off enough that i am gonna fix it myself or it aint getting fixed.
and there ya go. 2-0 followed up with 0-2. i posted i was 2-0 and +3.8 saturday, when it should have been +3.6. makes me 2-2 and -.4 now.
colorado state over 65.5 ** both teams are so bad on d. the colorado state pass d is just awful, and the colorado o looking to throw the ball around more. colorado d pretty bad, and the rams o really got it going late last week. funny things happen on these games, but it really should be a high scoring game. i don't know who wins, but i think both teams are in the 30s.
stanford -13.5 ** stanford will be able to do a lot of other things to open up the run game. i think sdsu is gonna be pretty one dimensional here. revenge game for stanford at home, and much better qb play than last season's game should make it an easy ugly win.
those are the only games i am betting because they are the only games i had time to look at. the guy on youtube changed the water pump on his altima in less than 30 minutes. i started at noon today and i am still not finished. that stuff is never quite so simple as they make it look in their 15 minute videos. got me pissed off enough that i am gonna fix it myself or it aint getting fixed.
looking like a split tonight. wow that buffs d looks 100x better than last season. good news is the water pump is fixed on my altima. bad news is it took most of today as well and i am exhausted. i am just listing what i decided to bet tomm with nothing else.
looking like a split tonight. wow that buffs d looks 100x better than last season. good news is the water pump is fixed on my altima. bad news is it took most of today as well and i am exhausted. i am just listing what i decided to bet tomm with nothing else.
looks like 3-2 today and won a tiny bit. i will total it up after this weekend. had so much to do and worked all day. get to do it all again tomm. i am going with miami and virginia tech.
looks like 3-2 today and won a tiny bit. i will total it up after this weekend. had so much to do and worked all day. get to do it all again tomm. i am going with miami and virginia tech.
some of the games i am looking at. feedback is always welcome.
fau -9.5
fau goes from facing one of the better d's is the nation on the road to facing one of the worst d's in the country at home.
arizona +4
kind of seems like arizona should be the fav here. will have to look at this one some more.
ucla +30
maybe 30 is a little over the top here? ucla getting some players back on d this week. will have to watch the status of the qb from michigan because oklahoma usually has a tough time with mobile qbs.
cent michigan -4
kansas is awful. if you can't handle nicholls state at home, how will you handle cmu away? haven't looked at it much at all yet, but it seems like a no brainer.
aggies getting almost 2 tds at home to clemson is interesting. utah looked great week one and only laying 11 to niu. arkansas should pound colorado state. tulsa looks really bad, and texas should be ready to roll someone at home. arizona state late night at home may be worth a ml shot.
just a few first glances. any input appreciated. also, cinci +1? is ucla that bad where a straight up win against them is irrelevant now?
some of the games i am looking at. feedback is always welcome.
fau -9.5
fau goes from facing one of the better d's is the nation on the road to facing one of the worst d's in the country at home.
arizona +4
kind of seems like arizona should be the fav here. will have to look at this one some more.
ucla +30
maybe 30 is a little over the top here? ucla getting some players back on d this week. will have to watch the status of the qb from michigan because oklahoma usually has a tough time with mobile qbs.
cent michigan -4
kansas is awful. if you can't handle nicholls state at home, how will you handle cmu away? haven't looked at it much at all yet, but it seems like a no brainer.
aggies getting almost 2 tds at home to clemson is interesting. utah looked great week one and only laying 11 to niu. arkansas should pound colorado state. tulsa looks really bad, and texas should be ready to roll someone at home. arizona state late night at home may be worth a ml shot.
just a few first glances. any input appreciated. also, cinci +1? is ucla that bad where a straight up win against them is irrelevant now?
few too many points here. sandwich game for tcu between the opener and ohio state. i don't doubt they win the game, but i think they look to pound the ball and just get outta there with a w. the big problems for smu last week were in the secondary, and i don't think they come into play as much here. smu should come out ready to play after getting humiliated last week, and they did get it going late in the game last week. 23 seems like too many.
i posted a few quick thoughts about some of the lines saturday, but here are my final plays.
few too many points here. sandwich game for tcu between the opener and ohio state. i don't doubt they win the game, but i think they look to pound the ball and just get outta there with a w. the big problems for smu last week were in the secondary, and i don't think they come into play as much here. smu should come out ready to play after getting humiliated last week, and they did get it going late in the game last week. 23 seems like too many.
i posted a few quick thoughts about some of the lines saturday, but here are my final plays.
Looks good uncle but I noticed you started with Wyoming???? But didn’t put them down as a play, that’s good because I know someone very close to me that plays offense for Washington st and he told me they have NO pass rush... FYI
Looks good uncle but I noticed you started with Wyoming???? But didn’t put them down as a play, that’s good because I know someone very close to me that plays offense for Washington st and he told me they have NO pass rush... FYI
Looks good uncle but I noticed you started with Wyoming???? But didn’t put them down as a play, that’s good because I know someone very close to me that plays offense for Washington st and he told me they have NO pass rush... FYI
i had wyoming the first saturday of the season. that is the only thing i have for them. last week i faded them against washington state, and i am fading them again against mizzou. i don't feel they have anywhere near the scoring capability to keep up in this one.
Looks good uncle but I noticed you started with Wyoming???? But didn’t put them down as a play, that’s good because I know someone very close to me that plays offense for Washington st and he told me they have NO pass rush... FYI
i had wyoming the first saturday of the season. that is the only thing i have for them. last week i faded them against washington state, and i am fading them again against mizzou. i don't feel they have anywhere near the scoring capability to keep up in this one.
dang that is what you call a rough start. texas sucks buttcrack and i can't wait to watch usc and ou blow them up. so much hype for a crap team. 9-13 and -14.4 with 2 left. i will have to check that math later, but i got pounded. usc and asu undecided.
dang that is what you call a rough start. texas sucks buttcrack and i can't wait to watch usc and ou blow them up. so much hype for a crap team. 9-13 and -14.4 with 2 left. i will have to check that math later, but i got pounded. usc and asu undecided.
10-14 and down 14.6 for the season. i will add some smaller bets before the weekend, but i am betting the 3 state teams today. 3 really great lines.
the iowa state team i watched saturday is not gonna do much scoring on oklahoma. on the other side, i really don't feel there is a d in the country that can hold the sooners under 24 points, and that should cover this spread. there has been a lot of talk about what happened last season in this game, so motivation is not in question. iowa state qb status up in the air. 17 and a half is a gift.
i would love to get excited about oklahoma state facing boise, but i don't like to be let down. the boys have been really unimpressive on both sides of the ball this season. i have studied both games so far looking for a reason to be optimistic heading into conference play, and i have found little. not a bad team, but not nearly what we have had recently. boise is clearly the better team in this one.
i was waiting for the tulsa spread after watching them compete with an over-hyped texas team. arkansas state should win fairly easily. can't even give tulsa a point or two for home field advantage because they have none.
10-14 and down 14.6 for the season. i will add some smaller bets before the weekend, but i am betting the 3 state teams today. 3 really great lines.
the iowa state team i watched saturday is not gonna do much scoring on oklahoma. on the other side, i really don't feel there is a d in the country that can hold the sooners under 24 points, and that should cover this spread. there has been a lot of talk about what happened last season in this game, so motivation is not in question. iowa state qb status up in the air. 17 and a half is a gift.
i would love to get excited about oklahoma state facing boise, but i don't like to be let down. the boys have been really unimpressive on both sides of the ball this season. i have studied both games so far looking for a reason to be optimistic heading into conference play, and i have found little. not a bad team, but not nearly what we have had recently. boise is clearly the better team in this one.
i was waiting for the tulsa spread after watching them compete with an over-hyped texas team. arkansas state should win fairly easily. can't even give tulsa a point or two for home field advantage because they have none.
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