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College Football Bowl Selection Record.

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Author: [College Football] Topic: College Football Bowl Selection Record.
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/4/2017 12:46:10 AM


Record to Date :   12 of 19 = 63 %
Bankroll to Date : 129 % of Original Bankroll


Pending Futures :

Bama to Win the National Championship @ 4 / 1

UGa. to Win the National Championship @ 25 / 1


Bowl Selections


Waiting for lines to be Posted. Might not be able to
post to forum before I fly out.

GLTA
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/4/2017 10:22:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:



Record to Date :   12 of 19 = 63 %
Bankroll to Date : 129 % of Original Bankroll


Pending Futures :

Bama to Win the National Championship @ 4 / 1

UGa. to Win the National Championship @ 25 / 1


Bowl Selections

Bama      pk    - 110


Waiting for lines to be Posted. Might not be able to
post to forum before I fly out.

GLTA




Forgot to post this
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/16/2017 9:20:57 PM

Before I left on vacation , I invested 100 % my
bankroll on bowl games. This is not unusual for me ,
and I do not recommend this strategy for others , as
betting on Bowl games is highly speculative for most .
I did this last year as well , and won 67 % of props
wagered on , while increasing my bankroll by 52 %.

I have not posted my selections for this season as
most were bought on openers and are not available
at those prices any longer.

Results of last season are posted on another forum.

Today , I had one " core " wager and that was on
Troy , P.S. , M / L as well as MLP's. and also had
positions on Boise as well. With these wins , I have
the opportunity to " Roll over ' a portion of capital on
upcoming games while beginning the process of
recovering resources " At risk " . I believe that being
selective in the props I wager on is the key to being
successful.

My Current position is as follows.

Av. Cap.

5.6 % of Original bankroll

At Risk

100.4 % of Original Bankroll

Total Bankroll to date

106 % of Original bankroll

I bring this up for one reason only and that is many
like to play on most or all of Bowl games offered. IMO
this dramatically reduces ones chances for overall
success at betting on Bowl games. I tend to have a
few core games that I can wager more on and thus
potentially reduce overall risk and provide a more
reliable result.
Last year , I was very fortunate to select the 2 final
playoff teams and acquire them to win at great prices.

BAMA to win the NC @  - 130 , 140 , 180

Clem. to win the NC @  +950 and + 1044.

I had it set up to be 30 % more profitable if Clemson
won. That proved to be the correct call. I explain this
in detail in the other thread.

Being careful in my selection and avoiding matchups
in meaningless games, provided me the opportunity
to have a profitable Bowl season. last year.

I believe that selectivity leads to profitability
 
Good Luck to all this Bowl season. 



WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/18/2017 6:25:01 PM
In Post # 3 , I mentioned that Troy was a " Core
wager ". What this means is that I have identified
wagers ( 5 this season , 6 last season ) that I feel
offer a high probability of success. To that end , all
wagers I make this bowl season will be highly
correlated to those 5 selections. To be sure last
years 6 plays offered a great opportunity , but to be
fair , this years selections offer a slightly higher win
probability. Even though  these plays do not  stand
out , I have to trust the data and make the plays as
they have not let me down in the past.

Hope All have a successful and profitable Bowl
season.

Merry Christmas to all 
mgrana PM mgrana
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Posted: 12/18/2017 6:49:19 PM
GL WiseGuy and MC!
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/18/2017 8:32:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mgrana:

GL WiseGuy and MC!





Thanks Bud . Merry Christmas   
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 10:40:35 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

In Post # 3 , I mentioned that Troy was a " Core
wager ". What this means is that I have identified
wagers ( 5 this season , 6 last season ) that I feel
offer a high probability of success. To that end , all
wagers I make this bowl season will be highly
correlated to those 5 selections. To be sure last
years 6 plays offered a great opportunity , but to be
fair , this years selections offer a slightly higher win
probability. Even though  these plays do not  stand
out , I have to trust the data and make the plays as
they have not let me down in the past.

Hope All have a successful and profitable Bowl
season.

Merry Christmas to all 




Core Wager # 2 is up today :  FAU - 16'  - 110

I have this laddered with teasers , M/ L' s as well.
this should also close out a few of my remaining
Troy wagers also. Will post B.R. update at end of
day.


2017 Core Wagers

1. Troy    -   5'  - 110

2. FAU    - 16'  - 110

3. ( still adding to position )

4. ( still adding to position )

5. Bama   pk   - 110


GLTA
MikeMed PM MikeMed
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Posted: 12/19/2017 1:23:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

QUOTE Originally Posted by WISEGUY36: In Post # 3 , I mentioned that Troy was a " Corewager ". What this means is that I have identifiedwagers ( 5 this season , 6 last season ) that I feeloffer a high probability of success. To that end , allwagers I make this bowl season will be highly correlated to those 5 selections. To be sure lastyears 6 plays offered a great opportunity , but to befair , this years selections offer a slightly higher winprobability. Even though  these plays do not  standout , I have to trust the data and make the plays asthey have not let me down in the past.Hope All have a successful and profitable Bowl season.Merry Christmas to all  Core Wager # 2 is up today :  FAU - 16'  - 110I have this laddered with teasers , M/ L' s as well.this should also close out a few of my remainingTroy wagers also. Will post B.R. update at end of day.2017 Core Wagers1. Troy    -   5'  - 110 2. FAU    - 16'  - 1103. ( still adding to position )4. ( still adding to position )5. Bama   pk   - 110GLTA

 

 

Is FAU -16 a teaser line? Or did you find it that low somewhere

WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 1:37:06 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MikeMed:

 

 

Is FAU -16 a teaser line? Or did you find it that low somewhere







It's  FAU   - 16 1/2   - 110 . It was bought on openers.

Lets_Get_em PM Lets_Get_em
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Posted: 12/19/2017 1:51:08 PM
 BOL WISEGUY Great lines
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 1:56:15 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Lets_Get_em:

 BOL WISEGUY Great lines






Thanks Bud . I had to buy them all before I went on
vacation. it worked out well.

Merry Christmas.    
Maukaboy PM Maukaboy
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Posted: 12/19/2017 2:34:16 PM
Mele Kalikimaka to you and your Ohana uncle! Nice lines, bol 
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 4:41:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Maukaboy:

Mele Kalikimaka to you and your Ohana uncle! Nice lines, bol 





Mele Kalikimaka to you and your Ohana as well.

I had to bet openers to grab them before I left for da
Islands , and got some great numbers. Wait until I
post core bets # 3 and # 4 , as those are great #s as
well. Hope to have a successful Bowl season again
this year.


Maukaboy PM Maukaboy
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Posted: 12/19/2017 4:49:35 PM
Mahalos bradda! Hope that you had a good time on your vacation... I'll be on vacation as well going to the Philippines for the world slasher, hope to make some extra before I leave. Aloha
Macwestie1 PM Macwestie1
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Posted: 12/19/2017 4:51:03 PM

GL WISEGUY * * Mahalo nui mah man!



Merry Christmas!
shakey12381 PM shakey12381
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Posted: 12/19/2017 5:13:59 PM
good luck my friend happy holidays to you and your family 
ndsent1 PM ndsent1
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Posted: 12/19/2017 5:18:50 PM
On FAU Myself..........
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 8:34:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Maukaboy:

Mahalos bradda! Hope that you had a good time on your vacation... I'll be on vacation as well going to the Philippines for the world slasher, hope to make some extra before I leave. Aloha





Enjoy your vacation ,. bud 

Aloha
Zoot PM Zoot
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Posted: 12/19/2017 8:44:47 PM
Happy Holidays Wise
Enjoy your vacation
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 8:56:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

GL WISEGUY * * Mahalo nui mah man!



Merry Christmas!



Mac , Thanks Buddy , Mele Kalikimaka  
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 8:57:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shakey12381:

good luck my friend happy holidays to you and your family 






shake , Thanks Bud . Blessings and Merry Christmas


WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 8:59:43 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ndsent1:

On FAU Myself..........





Looks Like we've got a good one here.
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 9:00:50 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Zoot:

Happy Holidays Wise
Enjoy your vacation





Zoot , Thanks Buddy , To you as well .  
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 9:06:56 PM
I thought that Akron would be a little more competitive
WISEGUY36 PM WISEGUY36
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Posted: 12/19/2017 9:09:45 PM
I think it's going to be fun betting on FAU next season.
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