Nikola jokic over 11.5 reb Andrew Wiggins under 22.5 pts Karl towns under 25 pts Dieng under 9.5 pts Ricky Rubio under 13.5 pts Rubio under 13 reb ast Westbrook over 56.5 pra
Nikola jokic over 11.5 reb Andrew Wiggins under 22.5 pts Karl towns under 25 pts Dieng under 9.5 pts Ricky Rubio under 13.5 pts Rubio under 13 reb ast Westbrook over 56.5 pra
I got caught up so I didn't get to post in time. He was on pace for the over when I posted anyways but I still post all my plays no matter what. First time all season I posted more than 5 minutes after tipoff
I got caught up so I didn't get to post in time. He was on pace for the over when I posted anyways but I still post all my plays no matter what. First time all season I posted more than 5 minutes after tipoff
This guys the worst look at his posts time stamps, plus no vig.
Yes he can work on posting earlier and yes he doesn't put the vig but at least he's honest about his post. He forgot to post a loser but did it anyway to maintain a true record. He's being true to himself and I appreciate his post! Keep it up propking! With his record anything up to around -180 would be profitable anyways. Though I think avg is around the -140 mark? Please correct me if I'm off propking. Cheers! Is it just basketball your do player props on?
This guys the worst look at his posts time stamps, plus no vig.
Yes he can work on posting earlier and yes he doesn't put the vig but at least he's honest about his post. He forgot to post a loser but did it anyway to maintain a true record. He's being true to himself and I appreciate his post! Keep it up propking! With his record anything up to around -180 would be profitable anyways. Though I think avg is around the -140 mark? Please correct me if I'm off propking. Cheers! Is it just basketball your do player props on?
Thanks SBT. It's nice to read a reasonable minded post for a change.
I honestly get many lines at -115 but of course some will be -130 to -145. I rarely go higher than that unless it's something I feel extremely confident in. id say the avg juice would probably be somewhere between -115 and -130.
I do NFL as well for the past 3 years at 69% win rate
Thanks SBT. It's nice to read a reasonable minded post for a change.
I honestly get many lines at -115 but of course some will be -130 to -145. I rarely go higher than that unless it's something I feel extremely confident in. id say the avg juice would probably be somewhere between -115 and -130.
I do NFL as well for the past 3 years at 69% win rate
Pay no attention to this guy. His posts are click bait to absolutely NOTHING. Boasts about his record but cannot copy and paste the plays for us to see. What a joke.
There is another prop guy I've been following and he's legit. Won last night on Wade over 17.5 pts and Crowder over 13.5.
Pay no attention to this guy. His posts are click bait to absolutely NOTHING. Boasts about his record but cannot copy and paste the plays for us to see. What a joke.
There is another prop guy I've been following and he's legit. Won last night on Wade over 17.5 pts and Crowder over 13.5.
This is the deal with Thepropkings. I think I am in a unique position to be able identify what he is doing.
It's not that he's scamming. There are some people who post deliberate scams on here. (Example: the Wizards game is fixed! Send me Bitcoin and I'll tell you who to bet on!) He is a winning bettor. It's just that his stats are grossly misleading. I was regularly checking his picks during the regular season, and I was constantly finding worse lines at high VIG. He would post something like "Harden under 30.5 points. I would see under 29.5 points listed at -140.
I don't think he outright lies about lines. But I do think he searches a large amount of books, finds the best line WHILE IGNORING THE VIG, and then he makes that pick.
When I post my picks, I include the VIG, and they are currently available on a major site at that price. And I factor the VIG into my calculations. For instance, Khris Middleton over 15.5 points last game was -160. But I listed over 17 at +130 because it was better value. I could have posted over 15.5 points and not listed the VIG. But that is misleading.
So, in my opinion, ThePropKings is a profitable bettor. But I think his business practice of selecting lines that are not easy accessible, and not including the VIG, is very misleading.
I am giving him a pass on the time he posted bets after tipoff. I will assume that was an honest mistake. It hasn't happened often.
This is the deal with Thepropkings. I think I am in a unique position to be able identify what he is doing.
It's not that he's scamming. There are some people who post deliberate scams on here. (Example: the Wizards game is fixed! Send me Bitcoin and I'll tell you who to bet on!) He is a winning bettor. It's just that his stats are grossly misleading. I was regularly checking his picks during the regular season, and I was constantly finding worse lines at high VIG. He would post something like "Harden under 30.5 points. I would see under 29.5 points listed at -140.
I don't think he outright lies about lines. But I do think he searches a large amount of books, finds the best line WHILE IGNORING THE VIG, and then he makes that pick.
When I post my picks, I include the VIG, and they are currently available on a major site at that price. And I factor the VIG into my calculations. For instance, Khris Middleton over 15.5 points last game was -160. But I listed over 17 at +130 because it was better value. I could have posted over 15.5 points and not listed the VIG. But that is misleading.
So, in my opinion, ThePropKings is a profitable bettor. But I think his business practice of selecting lines that are not easy accessible, and not including the VIG, is very misleading.
I am giving him a pass on the time he posted bets after tipoff. I will assume that was an honest mistake. It hasn't happened often.
I know he will say "lines move throughout the day". That is true. But you should post picks using the odds and VIG that currently exist. Anyone can come in here at game time and say "take Butler over" when they see his VIG listed at -180, because obviously the market moved that line.
I take a lot of picks myself early in the day that I end up not posting on here because the lines have moved too much.
I know he will say "lines move throughout the day". That is true. But you should post picks using the odds and VIG that currently exist. Anyone can come in here at game time and say "take Butler over" when they see his VIG listed at -180, because obviously the market moved that line.
I take a lot of picks myself early in the day that I end up not posting on here because the lines have moved too much.
I know he will say "lines move throughout the day". That is true. But you should post picks using the odds and VIG that currently exist. Anyone can come in here at game time and say "take Butler over" when they see his VIG listed at -180, because obviously the market moved that line. I take a lot of picks myself early in the day that I end up not posting on here because the lines have moved too much.
Thank you for taking the time to write that out.
With that said, can you post your pics for the San Antonio game, early? Have a birthday party to go to...
I know he will say "lines move throughout the day". That is true. But you should post picks using the odds and VIG that currently exist. Anyone can come in here at game time and say "take Butler over" when they see his VIG listed at -180, because obviously the market moved that line. I take a lot of picks myself early in the day that I end up not posting on here because the lines have moved too much.
Thank you for taking the time to write that out.
With that said, can you post your pics for the San Antonio game, early? Have a birthday party to go to...
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