Yeah, that Suns game definitely had 'value' on the Jazz. Good job stayinga way (or did you play Utah?)
How about instead of parlaying, you just play the Bucks by themsleves? :)
In any case, if you MUST parlay, then parlay the Bucks with Celts ML or Lakers ML (this way you save on the juice in case Bucks lose) If you must parlay on the spread, then I would do the Celtics. My model has them at 3.7 points of 'value' while Portland is over-valued by 4 points. (Even though there's 'value' in both of these games, I just can't back Hornets right now without Okafor and don't want to lay double-digits with Celts tonight)
Yeah, that Suns game definitely had 'value' on the Jazz. Good job stayinga way (or did you play Utah?)
How about instead of parlaying, you just play the Bucks by themsleves? :)
In any case, if you MUST parlay, then parlay the Bucks with Celts ML or Lakers ML (this way you save on the juice in case Bucks lose) If you must parlay on the spread, then I would do the Celtics. My model has them at 3.7 points of 'value' while Portland is over-valued by 4 points. (Even though there's 'value' in both of these games, I just can't back Hornets right now without Okafor and don't want to lay double-digits with Celts tonight)
NO NO NO> Don't go 'Large'. Stay disciplined. Every and any game can and does LOSE at any time. Play your usual wager (my suggestion is to flat-bet but I know some people prefer to vary their wager sizes). In any case, use proper MM my friend so that you can be in this game for the long-haul.
Good luck!
NO NO NO> Don't go 'Large'. Stay disciplined. Every and any game can and does LOSE at any time. Play your usual wager (my suggestion is to flat-bet but I know some people prefer to vary their wager sizes). In any case, use proper MM my friend so that you can be in this game for the long-haul.
Good luck!
Hey NBA,
Who's the girl in your avatar?
Hey NBA,
Who's the girl in your avatar?
hehe...Not a 'sir' by any means :)
I'll give you a quick breakdown:
WAS @ ORL -- 'Value' is on the Magic believe it or not. They are 3-0 this year against the Wiz with 2 blow-outs. The line should be closer to -14 IMO but do the books expect a good effort from Washington? I don't feel like laying DD's tonight so it's a PASS but 'value' is on Orlando.
MIA @ TOR -- B2B for Miami. It was a tough win for them last night. I think Toronto can hang with this #. The line is accurate
IND @ DET -- Pacers on a b2b and are in a potential 'let-down' spot. Detroit is just in such a disarray right now that it's hard to back 'em. PASS (Pistons are undervalued by 1 point here)
NJN @ BOS -- Why did the line go down to -10.5 Celtics? I have Celts at -15.5 in this one. Nice 'value' but I just don't feel like playing DD favorites tonight. I don't see Celtics losing this one though.
LAL @ CLE -- Sneaky # here. Lakers were -15.5 favs at home against Cleveland but now -11.5 point fav's on the road? Standard adjustment should be about -9.5. So the books have iflated the Lakers side a bit, since the public will pound 'em anyways. Cavs or nothing in this one, but I'm not backing Cavs anymore until further notice :)
SAC @ DAL -- Sac-Town playing 4th in 5 here and I've seen that Evans is questionable? (not 100% accurate on this one though). Dallas plays down to it's opponent and has a poor ATS record when favorites in this DD range. Can't back a team on 4th in 5 and can't back Dallas either. Major PASS for me. (Line's right on)
PHI @ HOU -- Will Sixers keep up with Houston's pace in this one? Playing on 2nd of b2b won't be easy here. Line is off by about a point or so, but that's accounting for Philly b2b. PASS.
GSW @ UTA -- GSW is only 6-18 on the road and are in a b2b here. The public seen them blow-out the Hornets last night and are backing them again. That's a mistake IMO. These 2 teams played 3 times already with each getting a blow-out win on their own home court. It's Utah's turn now. Utah or nothing in this one. Line should be around -5.5
NOH @ POR -- Portland is definitely OVER-valued here but with good reason. Hornets are playing like crap. Blazers should be around -2/-3 favorites accounting for b2b for Hornets. Portland 1st game back home after a 6 game roadie (there was a home game vs Chicago sandwich between those 6 games) so potential 'sluggish' spot for them. PASS cause I can't find a reason to back the Hornets right now.
ATL @ NYK -- Knicks on double revenge, rested, and Amare is pissed off. The problem is how much those 'Melo trade rumors are affecting Knick's players? Also, Hawks are 8-2 on the road in the last 10. Line is right on and even though I'd love to back the Knicks here, I just can't.
DEN @ MIL -- FEAR the DEER!!!
hehe...Not a 'sir' by any means :)
I'll give you a quick breakdown:
WAS @ ORL -- 'Value' is on the Magic believe it or not. They are 3-0 this year against the Wiz with 2 blow-outs. The line should be closer to -14 IMO but do the books expect a good effort from Washington? I don't feel like laying DD's tonight so it's a PASS but 'value' is on Orlando.
MIA @ TOR -- B2B for Miami. It was a tough win for them last night. I think Toronto can hang with this #. The line is accurate
IND @ DET -- Pacers on a b2b and are in a potential 'let-down' spot. Detroit is just in such a disarray right now that it's hard to back 'em. PASS (Pistons are undervalued by 1 point here)
NJN @ BOS -- Why did the line go down to -10.5 Celtics? I have Celts at -15.5 in this one. Nice 'value' but I just don't feel like playing DD favorites tonight. I don't see Celtics losing this one though.
LAL @ CLE -- Sneaky # here. Lakers were -15.5 favs at home against Cleveland but now -11.5 point fav's on the road? Standard adjustment should be about -9.5. So the books have iflated the Lakers side a bit, since the public will pound 'em anyways. Cavs or nothing in this one, but I'm not backing Cavs anymore until further notice :)
SAC @ DAL -- Sac-Town playing 4th in 5 here and I've seen that Evans is questionable? (not 100% accurate on this one though). Dallas plays down to it's opponent and has a poor ATS record when favorites in this DD range. Can't back a team on 4th in 5 and can't back Dallas either. Major PASS for me. (Line's right on)
PHI @ HOU -- Will Sixers keep up with Houston's pace in this one? Playing on 2nd of b2b won't be easy here. Line is off by about a point or so, but that's accounting for Philly b2b. PASS.
GSW @ UTA -- GSW is only 6-18 on the road and are in a b2b here. The public seen them blow-out the Hornets last night and are backing them again. That's a mistake IMO. These 2 teams played 3 times already with each getting a blow-out win on their own home court. It's Utah's turn now. Utah or nothing in this one. Line should be around -5.5
NOH @ POR -- Portland is definitely OVER-valued here but with good reason. Hornets are playing like crap. Blazers should be around -2/-3 favorites accounting for b2b for Hornets. Portland 1st game back home after a 6 game roadie (there was a home game vs Chicago sandwich between those 6 games) so potential 'sluggish' spot for them. PASS cause I can't find a reason to back the Hornets right now.
ATL @ NYK -- Knicks on double revenge, rested, and Amare is pissed off. The problem is how much those 'Melo trade rumors are affecting Knick's players? Also, Hawks are 8-2 on the road in the last 10. Line is right on and even though I'd love to back the Knicks here, I just can't.
DEN @ MIL -- FEAR the DEER!!!
Once again, Bodio, oustanding write-up. Great pick supported by great analysis. You do your followers a great service and most, if not all of us sppreciate it.
Good stuff, Good luck
Once again, Bodio, oustanding write-up. Great pick supported by great analysis. You do your followers a great service and most, if not all of us sppreciate it.
Good stuff, Good luck
Wow.. she is gorgeous
Yes, at pregame.
Bucks TT over? -- Just put a small 'action' wager on it. GL buddy
Wow.. she is gorgeous
Yes, at pregame.
Bucks TT over? -- Just put a small 'action' wager on it. GL buddy
Please tell him to get it on his forehead and use my avatar as the "Bodio" logo. "Bodio @ Covers.com" hehe
Fear the DEER my friend, Fear the DEER!
Please tell him to get it on his forehead and use my avatar as the "Bodio" logo. "Bodio @ Covers.com" hehe
Fear the DEER my friend, Fear the DEER!
Stinger, no CBB plays today. Just didn't have enough time to handicap properly. GL
Stinger, no CBB plays today. Just didn't have enough time to handicap properly. GL
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