I teased Kentucky down to 4. Thats my style and it works for me.
I have no problem teasing kentucky, thats much better and more profitable than buying points straight out
im not from the middle east im actually from the middle west....dont be a lier and a racist...u not good man...u go to hell if u be lier and say u bet miss st when u lost on kentucky
im not from the middle east im actually from the middle west....dont be a lier and a racist...u not good man...u go to hell if u be lier and say u bet miss st when u lost on kentucky
Here's the real story on buying points for all you crackheads out there (just kidding - about the crackhead part, not about the real story part). Let's use the example of buying a half point to the push - that is, buying a half point off of a hook, and lets say you bet $100 a game, and say you're an average capper and your win % without buying points would be 50%, winning as many as you lose. But you are buying a half point each time, and each time the number that you bought onto falls it saves a loss and wouild mean a $120 difference, (normally $110 but its $120 here because you're buying a half point) . But each bet you do lose costs you an extra $10. And so for the amount you save to cover the higher juice you pay on your losses, the number you bought onto would have to fall once out of every 12 would-be losses, and since you're a 50% handicapper and there are 12 wins to go along with every 12 losses on average, you're talking about the number falling once every 24 games, or 4.17% of the time. History has shown that in basketball, (and college ends up working out a little differently than pro) certain nunbers fall a litlte more frequently than others. So if history shows that the number you're buying onto falls more frequently than 4.17% of the time, its slightly (there are no numbers where there's what you would call a big edge in doing this) to your advantage to buy, and if the frequency of the number you're buying onto is less than 4.17%, its not. There are more numbers where its not in your favor than numbers where it is. If you buy half points indiscriminately, its not in your favor: after all, why would the house sell you a half point for 10 cents if overall its worth more than that.
Here's the real story on buying points for all you crackheads out there (just kidding - about the crackhead part, not about the real story part). Let's use the example of buying a half point to the push - that is, buying a half point off of a hook, and lets say you bet $100 a game, and say you're an average capper and your win % without buying points would be 50%, winning as many as you lose. But you are buying a half point each time, and each time the number that you bought onto falls it saves a loss and wouild mean a $120 difference, (normally $110 but its $120 here because you're buying a half point) . But each bet you do lose costs you an extra $10. And so for the amount you save to cover the higher juice you pay on your losses, the number you bought onto would have to fall once out of every 12 would-be losses, and since you're a 50% handicapper and there are 12 wins to go along with every 12 losses on average, you're talking about the number falling once every 24 games, or 4.17% of the time. History has shown that in basketball, (and college ends up working out a little differently than pro) certain nunbers fall a litlte more frequently than others. So if history shows that the number you're buying onto falls more frequently than 4.17% of the time, its slightly (there are no numbers where there's what you would call a big edge in doing this) to your advantage to buy, and if the frequency of the number you're buying onto is less than 4.17%, its not. There are more numbers where its not in your favor than numbers where it is. If you buy half points indiscriminately, its not in your favor: after all, why would the house sell you a half point for 10 cents if overall its worth more than that.
I missed this post by PDiddy. He proves my points Exactly.
"when the spread are tight and bet accordingly" means he is betting on a game that he shouldn't be. If you don't have a GOOD lean on a team and you have to Buy Points just to make yourself feel better, why even bet the game?
Because you are betting on a game either JUST to bet, or can't ENJOY a game for what it ORIGINALLY IS.
He's a Coin-flipper.
"do you love having -3.5 or +2.5 when you could have -3 or +3 instead" means he is buying PEACE OF MIND...AND betting on a game he thinks is going to be close.
If you bet on a line that is around a Field Goal, you SHOULD only bet on it if your lean is that the -3-ish favorite is going to run away with the win and win by Double Digits or if the +3-ish underdog is going to AT LEAST win Straight Up.
NO NEED TO BUY THE HOOK IF YOUR LEAN IS GOOD.
I second Northernstar with the challenge of starting a thread, making picks, buying points, mark the FEW where the points ACTUALLY changed the outcome of the cover, and tally up the other 85-95% where you PAID MORE on lossed and WON LESS on wins.
I only challenge this because MAYBE this would open some rather closed minds in this forum.
Close-minded to making MORE MONEY?!?!? Your book loves you.
I missed this post by PDiddy. He proves my points Exactly.
"when the spread are tight and bet accordingly" means he is betting on a game that he shouldn't be. If you don't have a GOOD lean on a team and you have to Buy Points just to make yourself feel better, why even bet the game?
Because you are betting on a game either JUST to bet, or can't ENJOY a game for what it ORIGINALLY IS.
He's a Coin-flipper.
"do you love having -3.5 or +2.5 when you could have -3 or +3 instead" means he is buying PEACE OF MIND...AND betting on a game he thinks is going to be close.
If you bet on a line that is around a Field Goal, you SHOULD only bet on it if your lean is that the -3-ish favorite is going to run away with the win and win by Double Digits or if the +3-ish underdog is going to AT LEAST win Straight Up.
NO NEED TO BUY THE HOOK IF YOUR LEAN IS GOOD.
I second Northernstar with the challenge of starting a thread, making picks, buying points, mark the FEW where the points ACTUALLY changed the outcome of the cover, and tally up the other 85-95% where you PAID MORE on lossed and WON LESS on wins.
I only challenge this because MAYBE this would open some rather closed minds in this forum.
Close-minded to making MORE MONEY?!?!? Your book loves you.
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