Absolutely correct.
Absolutely correct.
Injuries and situations are sometimes way overblown... for the most part, lines from the past provide a pretty solid indicator because sharps do not make overreactions (though you don't want to delve too far into the past. I'm not looking at Lohse's lines from say, July.)
Injuries and situations are sometimes way overblown... for the most part, lines from the past provide a pretty solid indicator because sharps do not make overreactions (though you don't want to delve too far into the past. I'm not looking at Lohse's lines from say, July.)
What's good buddy... where ya been?
I think the BAL/TEX line is very sharp and pretty much spot on. I'm using Saunders lines @ Felix Hernandez (+145) and at home vs. Sabathia (also +145) as baselines.
My instincts and past line data tell me in the same spots, Darvish is probably -120 @ Felix and -110 at home vs. CC. As such, I've got Darvish at 35 cents better than Felix and 10 cents worse than CC. By proxy then, I've got data to support a line of +180 for Saunders @ Darvish and +135 for Saunders vs. Darvish (which equates to roughly +185 for Saunders @ Darvish).
At either +180 or +185, that doesn't differ much at all from the opening line (TEX -185/+175) or the current line (TEX 200/+185).
Hope this helps... BOL with whatever you decide, Jose.
What's good buddy... where ya been?
I think the BAL/TEX line is very sharp and pretty much spot on. I'm using Saunders lines @ Felix Hernandez (+145) and at home vs. Sabathia (also +145) as baselines.
My instincts and past line data tell me in the same spots, Darvish is probably -120 @ Felix and -110 at home vs. CC. As such, I've got Darvish at 35 cents better than Felix and 10 cents worse than CC. By proxy then, I've got data to support a line of +180 for Saunders @ Darvish and +135 for Saunders vs. Darvish (which equates to roughly +185 for Saunders @ Darvish).
At either +180 or +185, that doesn't differ much at all from the opening line (TEX -185/+175) or the current line (TEX 200/+185).
Hope this helps... BOL with whatever you decide, Jose.
Good to hear all is well.
I hear you on the MLB thing... it's a sport where you have to keep up on things daily. It's such a grind.
GL with the Steelers if you play them... I see it at -3.5 at most shops now, hopefully you can wait a bit and see if you can grab a -3 on Sunday if it falls. Not that much difference between -3.5 and -4 so I think it's worth the risk to wait it out.
Good to hear all is well.
I hear you on the MLB thing... it's a sport where you have to keep up on things daily. It's such a grind.
GL with the Steelers if you play them... I see it at -3.5 at most shops now, hopefully you can wait a bit and see if you can grab a -3 on Sunday if it falls. Not that much difference between -3.5 and -4 so I think it's worth the risk to wait it out.
He is 16-3; 211 IP; 143 K's; 38 walks; WHIP of 1.09 would all argue that he is at least in the conversation for "ace"
I'm guessing there are almost 0 number 3 starting pitchers with stats like this.....
I am on Medlen and the Braves but Lohse is about as good as it gets this year.
He is 16-3; 211 IP; 143 K's; 38 walks; WHIP of 1.09 would all argue that he is at least in the conversation for "ace"
I'm guessing there are almost 0 number 3 starting pitchers with stats like this.....
I am on Medlen and the Braves but Lohse is about as good as it gets this year.
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