Norwegians hogging everything. and i need ONE more medal out of Italy..... running out of events, making me nervous.
Torino/Juventus - the Turin-derby, will be there. christ our injury table is getting crowded tho we do get Dybala back but I dont expect him to start. Result-wise it hasnt been much of a rivalry but Torino has improved every year and we always get their best effort & with Belotti back in full fitness its a big concern of ours and if we arent careful here we can end up dropping pts. YES, dropping pts. gotta go with goals option, when visiting this side of town we havent gotten a clean sheet in years and dont expect to Sunday either. a draw wont hurt us in the overall picture and the brave capper could take the HC for the home side but this wont stay under 3 goals.
Torino/Juve over 2.5 @+110
Benevento/Crotone - Benev. cant stop anybody & Crotone cant score. a relegation dogfight here. tempted to take Crotone but I cannot back a road favorite whom average less than a goal per match, this smells like a major draw. PASS.
Napoli/SPAL - if anyone watched the Europa match last thursday youll understand exactly what ive been yakking about the past month regarding Napoli's focus this year.. Scudetto. Sarri mixed up his lineup, players unmotivated & just running thru the motions, half empty stadium. Sunday they get a full house, regular lineup, and Mertens back from suspension -- him in there will free-up a lot of space for Insigne; and thats bad news for SPAL. SPAL have the 3rd worst defense, have just 1 win & 8 goals in 12 roadies, and have conceded 15 in their past 6 alone. In the reverse fixture earlier this year they grabbed an early 1-0 lead actually (lasted about a minute, but still). venturing into an area i dont visit all too often, but this is justified. they are going to administer the english equivalent of a woodshed beating. Not being shy here, Ill be suprised if this is close at the half.
Napoli -1.5 (halftime) @+190, Napoli -2 @-133
Atalanta/Fiorentina - Atalanta having a great run this season proving last year wasnt a fluke. Coppa semis, Europa KO's, and CL spot within reach. but this is their 2nd in 3 days and 3rd in a week + Dort next thursday too. I am seriously wondering just how much they have left in their tank. Fior in a bad run of form with just 1 win in 7 matches and european spot slipping away. but as i mentioned, though it was a good result for them, that match on thursday in germany was a toughie. and this is too quick of a turnaround for a squad with a limited bench.
Fiorentina pick @+122
Bologna/Sass - Bologna waaay too many missings/suspensions and Sass has scored just TWICE in their past 6 matches. PASS.
Milan/Sampdoria - Milan on a roll, and as expected the one thing Gattuso was gonna do was/is clean up the backline; theyve conceded just 3 goals in last 7. and though they played on Thurs too, it was a little different than Atalantas; suprisingly winning with ease. only managed just a handful of shots and lost possession battle + a few got some rest. Samp in 6th still scoring/conceding like crazy, specially on road. this is a tossup with 3 pts separating them. smells like a 1-1 draw. PASS.
never all too confident when taking an under outside of Serie A, I dont even play under much anyways; the juice individualy just too much fer my tastes so I threw 'em together:
Benev/Crotone + Bologna/Sass under 2.5 @+178