4 of 5 weeks have been winners YTD 2013. Plus ~9 units last week. Maybe I'll have time to total it all up over the weekend.
In case anyone wants to know, I spend a lot of time capping my picks. I go back three years for each tournament to analyze three sets of data to determine which factors lead to the most success. The first set of data includes things such as current form, course form, event form, location, and course compatibility. The second set of data includes stats for the past 8 weeks. The stats include things such as GIR, DD, DA, TA, TD, BST, SC, PA, and All Around. The third set of data is the in-running stats for the tournament.
For this week, I have determined the following factors are the most important:
Data set 1: In order of importance...Location, Course Compatibility (in terms of DD, DA, GIR, SC), current form and course form.
Data set 2: In the order of GIR, PA, and DD.
Data set 3: In this order...Par4 performance, SGP, Par Breaker, Par 3 and TP.
If anyone has any questions let me know.
A couple early plays....
Rollins over Perez -110 1U Stadler over Chappel -140 2.5U Moore over Furyk -115 1U Bubba over Westwood -120 2U Henley over Yang -120 2.5U
4 of 5 weeks have been winners YTD 2013. Plus ~9 units last week. Maybe I'll have time to total it all up over the weekend.
In case anyone wants to know, I spend a lot of time capping my picks. I go back three years for each tournament to analyze three sets of data to determine which factors lead to the most success. The first set of data includes things such as current form, course form, event form, location, and course compatibility. The second set of data includes stats for the past 8 weeks. The stats include things such as GIR, DD, DA, TA, TD, BST, SC, PA, and All Around. The third set of data is the in-running stats for the tournament.
For this week, I have determined the following factors are the most important:
Data set 1: In order of importance...Location, Course Compatibility (in terms of DD, DA, GIR, SC), current form and course form.
Data set 2: In the order of GIR, PA, and DD.
Data set 3: In this order...Par4 performance, SGP, Par Breaker, Par 3 and TP.
If anyone has any questions let me know.
A couple early plays....
Rollins over Perez -110 1U Stadler over Chappel -140 2.5U Moore over Furyk -115 1U Bubba over Westwood -120 2U Henley over Yang -120 2.5U
Solid dog here. He has better location form, course compatibility (in terms of dd,da,gir,sc,pa), and current form. Badds is a heavy fav due to his course history and that's it. But from my research, course history ranks 4th behind the three categories Brian is better in. Also, over the last 8 weeks, he is even or better at most BST,TA,TD, GIR,SC etc.
Regardless, follow at your own risk haha. Anything can happen during a single round of golf.
Solid dog here. He has better location form, course compatibility (in terms of dd,da,gir,sc,pa), and current form. Badds is a heavy fav due to his course history and that's it. But from my research, course history ranks 4th behind the three categories Brian is better in. Also, over the last 8 weeks, he is even or better at most BST,TA,TD, GIR,SC etc.
Regardless, follow at your own risk haha. Anything can happen during a single round of golf.
I had a bet with Mahan last week...I turned on the golf channel to see the scores, and I see him with a putter behind a bush trying to putt it into the fairway to save par. That's the story of Hunter's golf life. He looks so good, and we buy into it...and then...he's putting into the fairway. He has 3 good rounds, and 1 terrible round and there's no telling which round it will be. I'm done with wagers on/against Hunter. He's too frustrating. GL brother
I had a bet with Mahan last week...I turned on the golf channel to see the scores, and I see him with a putter behind a bush trying to putt it into the fairway to save par. That's the story of Hunter's golf life. He looks so good, and we buy into it...and then...he's putting into the fairway. He has 3 good rounds, and 1 terrible round and there's no telling which round it will be. I'm done with wagers on/against Hunter. He's too frustrating. GL brother
Sorry for the garbage plays this morning, we will get the three units back. Just remember is a Thursday through Sunday battle.
no worries man. you clearly know what you're doing. personally, i'm going to scale back my bets this weekend because this is a tough course to predict.
Sorry for the garbage plays this morning, we will get the three units back. Just remember is a Thursday through Sunday battle.
no worries man. you clearly know what you're doing. personally, i'm going to scale back my bets this weekend because this is a tough course to predict.
Do you have any feeling about any of these matchups AUzad?:
Choi Garcia
Fisher Cabrera
Els Kuchar
Stadler Chalmers
Leaonard Timmelman
Any help appreciated, as I plan to tune in and watch the final round since it is one of my local courses and I would like to have a littl money riding if I can find a good play.
Do you have any feeling about any of these matchups AUzad?:
Choi Garcia
Fisher Cabrera
Els Kuchar
Stadler Chalmers
Leaonard Timmelman
Any help appreciated, as I plan to tune in and watch the final round since it is one of my local courses and I would like to have a littl money riding if I can find a good play.
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