Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: LaVine Forces It On the Lake

Zach LaVine's name was floated ahead of the deadline but he remains a member of the Bulls ahead of their clash in Cleveland. LaVine's been a little sloppy lately, and his recent errors highlights our NBA player prop picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 11, 2023 • 12:25 ET • 4 min read
Zach LaVine Chicago Bulls NBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The NBA All-Star rosters have been decided and like every year, there are several players who got snubbed despite stellar seasons. 

Knicks point guard Jalen Brunson is one of the biggest snubs in the Eastern Conference, while Trae Young and Zach LaVine missed out because of their teams' unimpressive records and their own inefficiency at times. 

I'm looking at all three of them today, as I check out the NBA betting board and bring you my best free NBA player prop picks for Saturday, February 11. 

NBA player props for February 11

Picks made on 2/11/2023 at 12:10 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

Traes and twos

The Spurs are last in the league in defensive rating and that, combined with their fast pace, has led to them surrendering a league-worst 122.7 points per game. With the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes heating up, they've given even less effort on defense lately and that number has surged to 128.5 ppg over their last 15 games. 

The Spurs are heading to Atlanta today to take on Trae Young and the Hawks. Young is averaging 27.0 ppg and is coming off a contest against the Suns on Thursday where he dropped 36 points.

Young has been a bit inefficient this season and is shooting 43% from the floor and 32.6% from long-range. However, he's been shooting better lately and has a 47.1 FG% with a 37.1 3PT% in his last 16 games.

With the Spurs allowing foes to shoot a league-high 39.5% from deep and letting opposing point guards shoot 47.4% from the field, take the Over 27.5 on Young's points. 

Trae Young prop: Over 27.5 points (-110)

Brunson burner

Jalen Brunson has been filling up the hoop lately, averaging 29.9 ppg over his last seven games but he's still sharing the ball as well.

Brunson dropped at least six dimes in five of those seven contests and is coming off a 9-assist performance against Philly last night. Brunson has been passing well all season averaging 6.3 assists per game and today the Knicks host Utah who is one of the worst defensive teams in the league. 

The Jazz are 26th in the league in defensive rating and surrender 117.1 ppg. They also traded away Mike Conley recently, which will make it even tougher for them to defend opposing point guards. Expect plenty of points from the Knicks and back Brunson on his assists total tonight. 

Jalen Brunson prop: Over 5.5 assists (-115)

Frequent flier 

Despite trade rumors swirling around Bulls guard Zach LaVine, he remains part of the team as they head to Rocket Mortgage Center to face off against the Cavs tonight. LaVine is coming off a monster performance against Brooklyn on Thursday night, where he dropped 38 points. 

However, he continues to be sloppy with the ball and also had four turnovers in that contest. He has now turned the ball over at least three times in five of his last six games and is averaging 3.8 TO per game during that span.

The Cavs are the best defensive team in the NBA and are fifth in the league in opponent turnover rate. In each of LaVine's previous two games against Cleveland (back-to-back contests on New Year's Eve and January 2) he turned the ball over three times. Take the Over 2.5 on his turnovers which you can get at plus money.

Zach LaVine prop: Over 2.5 turnovers (+110)

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