Heading into the second half of the NFL season, one team improved its odds to win the Super Bowl after Tuesday’s deadline, while a surging NFC West squad and a battle at the top of the betting market highlighted changes following a wild Week 9.
Key Takeaways
- The Colts were the only team to see a significant Super Bowl odds shift after the trade deadline.
- The Seahawks have made a massive jump since the preseason.
- The Bills were better on the field in Week 9, but the Chiefs are still the Super Bowl favorites at some sportsbooks.
The Colts made the biggest blockbuster deal of the day when they acquired Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner for two first-round picks. The move helped an already surprising Indianapolis team go from +1,300 after a Week 9 loss to the Steelers to +1,000 to win the Super Bowl at FanDuel following the trade.
DraftKings also offered +1,000 odds on Indy after the deadline. BetMGM moved the Colts from +1,300 to +1,000, while Caesars Sportsbook gave them a slight bump from +1,200 to +1,100.
The Colts were one of the least-bet teams to win the Super Bowl before the season began, with odds of +10,000, and they’re still only getting 2.3% of the tickets and 1.4% of the handle in BetMGM’s market.
No other teams saw significant odds changes after the deadline. The Jets also sent defensive tackle Quinnen Williams to the Cowboys, whose odds of +20,000 to win the Super Bowl didn’t change after the trade.
Moving on up
While the Colts have been a surprise in the AFC, the Seahawks have played a similar role in the NFC. BetMGM listed Seattle’s Super Bowl odds at +6,000 in the preseason and went as high as +8,000 after a Week 1 loss to the 49ers.
After improving to 6-2 following a 38-14 win at Washington in Week 9, the Seahawks moved to +1,400 as they sit tied atop the NFC West.
“Seahawks looked impressive on Sunday Night Football in a win over the Commanders,” BetMGM senior manager Christian Cipollini said. “Seattle has moved from +5,000 to +1,400 to win the Super Bowl during a three-game winning streak. Bettors have not jumped on board yet as the Seahawks rank outside the top 20 in most-bet teams."
The Seahawks are getting 1.3% of BetMGM’s Super Bowl winner wagers. Only five teams have a lower percentage of tickets. Seattle has seen 1.2% of the money, tying it with the Patriots for the lowest handle of any team with a winning record.
Yahoo Sports’ Ben Fawkes reported that a BetMGM bettor put $50,000 on Seattle to win the Super Bowl in August.
One @BetMGM bettor bet $150,000 on Seahawks futures in August to win ~$4.5 million:
— Ben Fawkes (@BFawkes22) November 4, 2025
➡️ $50K on SEA to win Super Bowl LX (60-1) to win $3M
➡️ $50K on SEA to win NFC (28-1) to win $1.4M
➡️ $50K on SEA to make playoffs (+185) to win $92.5K
Seattle is now 14-1 to win the SB
Battle at the top
The Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills battled on the field in Week 9, but now they’re fighting for the title of favorite in the Super Bowl winner market heading into the second half of the season.
Despite a 28-21 loss, the Chiefs remained first on BetMGM’s odds list at +550. However, their odds slipped from +450 before Week 9, while the Bills shortened from +750 to +600 after their impressive home victory.
FanDuel also kept the Chiefs +600 favorites, with the Bills listed at +700.
However, Caesars Sportsbook has moved Buffalo back into the favorite spot at +590 after the Bills began Week 9 at +800. The Chiefs are very close with odds of +600.
