Spanish tennis star Carlos Alcaraz won the French Open Final – the second-longest Grand Slam Final ever – on Sunday despite being a +6,500 live underdog.
Alcaraz recovered from three championship points in the fourth set to beat Jannik Sinner in the longest Grand Slam final since the 2012 Australian Open.
Key Takeaways
- Alcaraz had to defend triple-championship point just to force another game.
- Sinner had a 99.8% implied chance to win the title per live odds.
- Alcaraz is five-for-five in Grand Slam championship matches.
Alcaraz, 22, was a -115 favorite before the match began and had +105 odds to win the title before the tournament began, per ESPN BET.
He was the tournament’s second seed behind Sinner, 23, who won the Australian Open in January and lost to Alcaraz in the ATP 1000 Rome final in May.
The Spaniard started the match a gear behind Sinner, who was up two sets to one (6-4, 7-6, 4-6), five games to three, and 40 points to zero in the would-be championship-winning set.
Sportsbooks had Sinner at -50,000 live French Open odds to win the match at this point in the event. That translates to a 99.8% implied probability, meaning that he would win the tournament in 499 out of 500 attempts.
Alcaraz’s +6,500 odds equaled a 1.5% implied chance.
VOLATILITY MASTERCLASS
— Kalshi (@Kalshi) June 8, 2025
Alcaraz was down to just 2% odds after losing the first 2 sets.
He won. pic.twitter.com/qHQswkA6yz
None of that mattered to the young phenom, who defended his perilous position to force a fifth-set tiebreak and eventually win the contest.
UNBELIEVABLE.#RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/jNHQqBt0uu
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 8, 2025
Entering the history books
The teeth-clenching action continued into the final set of the match, where the two competitors needed a seventh-game tiebreaker to determine the championship winner.
Alcaraz eventually clinched the title with a lunging forehand that Sinner could only watch as it snuck over the line.
CARLOS ALCARAZ DID THE IMPOSSIBLE 🤯🏆#RolandGarros pic.twitter.com/qUggO9zUi2
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) June 8, 2025
The Roland-Garros final took a whopping five hours and 29 minutes to complete, trailing only the five hours and 53 minutes set by Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic in 2012 in the longest Grand Slam Finals.
The win also eerily mirrored Alcaraz’s career with Nadal, both of whom won their fifth Grand Slam title at 22 years, one month, and three days old.
Alcaraz is now five-for-five in Grand Slam finals.
The most famous comebacks in sports
It’s early, but the match has already been labeled one of the best championship finals in the history of professional tennis and one of the best comebacks in professional sports.
ESPN’s David Purdum commented on the comparison to the New England Patriots’ 2017 Super Bowl comeback against the Atlanta Falcons, saying the Patriots were +1,100 live to win the game.
ESPN also reported the Cleveland Cavaliers as having +1,100 odds to win the 2016 NBA Finals after they fell into a 3-1 hole against the 73-9 Golden State Warriors.
