I want to bet 3% (60.00) of my bankroll (2,000.00) per unit. If I win
or lose, my unit size should increase or decrease. Example shown below:
Starting Bankroll ~ 2,000.00 Total 0.00 unit
1 bet ~ 1u 60.00 WIN 60.00 2 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) 3 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) 4 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) Total ~ -2.3 unit lost for -138.00 (for the day)
Ending Bankroll ~ 1,862.00 Total -2.3 unit
So my next betting unit will be 55.86 (3% of 1862.00)
But now when I multiply my betting amount to my total unit size (55.86 x -2.3u = -128.48), it does not equal what I have lost which is suppose to be -138.00.
Eventhough it is a small difference, in the long run, the discrepancy
will be far apart. Can somebody tell me what I am doing wrong. I want
to be able to see if I am up or down to the exact amount with my unit
total to lose/win total. Any suggestions is greatly appreciated. Thanks.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I want to bet 3% (60.00) of my bankroll (2,000.00) per unit. If I win
or lose, my unit size should increase or decrease. Example shown below:
Starting Bankroll ~ 2,000.00 Total 0.00 unit
1 bet ~ 1u 60.00 WIN 60.00 2 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) 3 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) 4 bet ~ 1u 60.00 LOSE (66.00) Total ~ -2.3 unit lost for -138.00 (for the day)
Ending Bankroll ~ 1,862.00 Total -2.3 unit
So my next betting unit will be 55.86 (3% of 1862.00)
But now when I multiply my betting amount to my total unit size (55.86 x -2.3u = -128.48), it does not equal what I have lost which is suppose to be -138.00.
Eventhough it is a small difference, in the long run, the discrepancy
will be far apart. Can somebody tell me what I am doing wrong. I want
to be able to see if I am up or down to the exact amount with my unit
total to lose/win total. Any suggestions is greatly appreciated. Thanks.
lokes08 - good question, my advice would be that you should only resize your base risk amount when your total bankroll increases or decreases by a certain percentage.
i.e. with a $2,000 bankroll, you would stick to your $60 unit to risk until your bankroll increases to $2500, or decreases to $1500 (a 25% increase)
What you are doing wrong is confusing your base risk amount, which is $66, not $60 or 3.3%....that is why your numbers are not adding up.....
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lokes08 - good question, my advice would be that you should only resize your base risk amount when your total bankroll increases or decreases by a certain percentage.
i.e. with a $2,000 bankroll, you would stick to your $60 unit to risk until your bankroll increases to $2500, or decreases to $1500 (a 25% increase)
What you are doing wrong is confusing your base risk amount, which is $66, not $60 or 3.3%....that is why your numbers are not adding up.....
Jack, But the fact is I lost 60 plus juice. That has to reflect in my bankroll. I can't say I lost 18.00 when I lost 198.00. Where would I keep tabs on the -18.00 juice I lost. This is only for a line of -1.10. What happens when I lay heavier chalk?? I want to maximize but hot streaks by upping my unit amount and minimizing when I'm cold...still haven't figured it out...Thanks for the input.
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Jack, But the fact is I lost 60 plus juice. That has to reflect in my bankroll. I can't say I lost 18.00 when I lost 198.00. Where would I keep tabs on the -18.00 juice I lost. This is only for a line of -1.10. What happens when I lay heavier chalk?? I want to maximize but hot streaks by upping my unit amount and minimizing when I'm cold...still haven't figured it out...Thanks for the input.
Check out my post in this section.... If you risk the same on every play, you won't run into this problem.
For example: Boston -150 (you risk $60 to win $39.96) If you are laying heavier chalk and not risking the same amount, you are not betting 3% of your bankroll. You will be betting a higher percentage, thus the deviation.
Your base unit needs to be the total amount risked for your math to work as you have laid it out.
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Check out my post in this section.... If you risk the same on every play, you won't run into this problem.
For example: Boston -150 (you risk $60 to win $39.96) If you are laying heavier chalk and not risking the same amount, you are not betting 3% of your bankroll. You will be betting a higher percentage, thus the deviation.
Your base unit needs to be the total amount risked for your math to work as you have laid it out.
Jack, After reading your post and using your example in my spreadsheet, it all totals up to the exact amount. Thank you for the pointer. It's greatly appreciated.
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Jack, After reading your post and using your example in my spreadsheet, it all totals up to the exact amount. Thank you for the pointer. It's greatly appreciated.
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