You don't want to be backing favourites in this tournament or at least if you are you'd need to very selective because the bias in results strongly favours the underdog.
For example, you could have blindly backed every underdog ATS in the last 5 years in the 4th round and made money in 4 of those 5 years.
Where I see the value in this competition is in the draw, particularly when the favourite is priced at 0.5 ball or greater handicap. Over the last 5 years these would have hit at a very respectable 33% rate which when you consider the odds on offer seems like a good value proposition.
Man Utd v Reading draw @ 8.11 Preston v Tottenham draw @ 5.08 Luton v Grimsby draw @ 4.48 Stoke v Stevenage draw @ 3.62 Wrexham v Sheffield @ 3.59 Southampton v Blackpool @ 4.32
You don't want to be backing favourites in this tournament or at least if you are you'd need to very selective because the bias in results strongly favours the underdog.
For example, you could have blindly backed every underdog ATS in the last 5 years in the 4th round and made money in 4 of those 5 years.
Where I see the value in this competition is in the draw, particularly when the favourite is priced at 0.5 ball or greater handicap. Over the last 5 years these would have hit at a very respectable 33% rate which when you consider the odds on offer seems like a good value proposition.
Man Utd v Reading draw @ 8.11 Preston v Tottenham draw @ 5.08 Luton v Grimsby draw @ 4.48 Stoke v Stevenage draw @ 3.62 Wrexham v Sheffield @ 3.59 Southampton v Blackpool @ 4.32
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