3/29/25

Lots of good-LOOKING plays on paper today. 

The first one I locked in:

BUF/PHI O5.5 -165  - Since the 1P O1.5 has hit in 4 of the L5 meetings between these two teams I will go ahead and lock in this line before it goes to 6.5 or 7.5 if two quick ones are scored. There is ALWAYS a chance it starts slow because its an early game but I feel like Philly and Buffalo have both been selected for these early games quite frequently this season and hope they get to work quickly. PHI just firing Torts hopefully lights up the offense to play more freely which opens up scoring chances for both teams. The O5.5 has hit 5 of the L5 meetings, looking for that trend to continue with BUF and PHI both going O5.5 in 3 of their L5 games. 

Second game locked in is: 

CBJ/OTT O5.5 -160 - Game showing 60.72% O5.5 probability. Games showing 60%-69% in the month of March are 21 for 13 O5.5 (62% O5.5)/53.97% O6.0/4 of L5 meetings O5.5/4 of L5 1P O1.5/each team is O5.5 in 3 of L5 games.  CBJ is 6-3 O5.5 in the 2nd game of a B2B. CBJ is 5-2 O5.5 in the second game of a B2B when the first game went O5.5. When a game shows up at 51%+ probability for CBJ, the game goes O5.5 at 61% this season. For OTT at 51%+ probability they see the game total go O5.5 52% of the time. OTT can be tricky at times to play because some nights they do not score. Since 12/1/24 only OTT are tied for the most shut out games with 5 each. For OTT only two of those shut out came on home ice against BUF (I was actually surprised by this team) and WAS. The only other thing that worries me about this game is the only team to have been shut out more times since 12/1/24 OTT or PHI...is CBJ with 7 total shut outs since the beginning of DEC. Right now both of these teams are on the bottom of the playoff picture and need every point they can get. MON, NYR and NYI are all on the outside looking in but they are on top of the wall and both NYI teams have games today. We just need the scoring to open up early and it should be a goal fest to get the two points for CBJ to stay in that 8th spot. 

BOL today Tripster

I'm getting similar numbers for Flyers and Sens.  

Honorable mentions (which may turn to possible live plays, but pregame lines are shown below):

NYI/TBL O5.5 -140

STL/COL O5.5 -120

TOR/LAK O5.5 -115

BOS/DET O5.5 -150

NYR/SJS O5.5 -160

@Gainsford

 Thank you! Flyers cant keep the puck out of the net for anyone. When the chart is 51%+ O5.5 Probability BUF games go O5.5 72% of the time and PHI 47%. 

Today's BUF/PHI game is at 57.28% O5.5 probability. Each team only AVG 2 GPG is the ONLY troublesome stat I found here but with the historical play between the two teams and both teams of late, I'll allow it. BOL today! 

BOL 

@Fuse

 BOL today Fuse! 

@Raiders22

 Happy weekend Raider! 

@triplee2385

 Nice 2nd period cash for us in philly

@dubz4dummyz

 Love getting that out of the way early. Also, always nice to start the day with a W. 

@triplee2385

 Solid start! 

@thehuntman

 thanks! Happy Saturday! 

Out for the rest of the night for a 50th anniversary party of some friends parents...damn 50 years yall...wow... ill be following along and have the speed sheet close by so might be some plays later but BOL to everyone who follows anything I post! Cheers! 

Tough loss on the CBJ/OTT game. I thought for sure CBJ was going tie it when they scored with 9 minutes left in the third or we would at the very least get the EN, but 1-1 for the day is better than getting swept. 

Honorable mentions didn't do much better even if you found them live at O4.5. Sheet had a really nice run for about 4 days before Saturday...someone just pointed out there is a turd in the middle of Saturday so hope everyone had a good day by avoiding your own turd. 

@triplee2385

 Ya some of these east games might tighten up with 6-7 teams fighting for the wildcard spot