One play locked in for today: CHI/STL O5.5 -105
CHI/STL O5.5 - 56.31%/4 OF L5 MEETINGS O5.5/4 OF L5 1P O1.5/CHI 3 OF L5 O5.5/STL 4 OF L5 O5.5/CHI O5.5 79% for season when probability of O5.5 51%+/STL O5.5 55% for season when probability of O5.5 is 51%+
Quick look at honorable mentions:
SEA/EDM O5.5 -135 - injuries to key offensive players for EDM make this slightly riskier but SEA scores slightly more OTR (99 GF OTR/91 @H). Net minding for SEA makes it possible for lower tier EDM offensive players to get on the score board. 4 of L5 meetings O5.5/3 of L5 1P O1.5/SEA 3 of L5 games O5.5/EDM 2 of L5 O5.5/55.15% match up probability to go O5.5/When prob 51%+ SEA 63% O5.5 & EDM 50% O5.5
VAN/NYR O5.5 +125 - On the historical side between the two teams 5 of L5 O5.5, 4 of L5 1P O1.5, VAN 4 of L5 O5.5...NYR on the other hand have kept things tight with only 1 in their L5 getting O5.5. Trickier play here though as the sheet has this as a 4-goal game and probability is 48.6%. I do not track anything under 51% and while I do see games with under 50% probability go O5.5, I do not have enough information to track success rate of these plays. I will say this, my 8-year-old looked at the sheet today and selected the VAN/NYR game as her play for the day, for whatever that is worth. +125 does seem like good value on an O5.5 which could quickly drop to a live play of O4.5 and be even more attainable for a wing given the historical play between the two teams.
Cheers y'all and good luck with whatever you play today! 
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