Cowboys vs Eagles
We kick off the 2025 NFL season in style with an NFC East rivalry clash: the Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles. The betting angle here is clear, this matchup screams OVER the TOTAL (line set around 47.0).
Why the Over?
Recent Series History: These teams have produced fireworks, going 7-2 O/U in their last 9 meetings, with an average of 55.0 points per game (DAL 28.3 / PHI 26.7). The last four in Philly were a perfect 4-0 O/U, averaging 54.7 points.
Dallas Trends: Cowboys are 4-0 O/U in their first division games, 4-1 O/U in last 5 division road games, and 3-1 O/U on Thursdays the last two years. They’re also a perfect 7-0 O/U as road dogs of more than 5 points.
Philly Trends: Eagles are 5-1 O/U in season openers (3-0 last three years, averaging 60.3 ppg), 4-0 O/U at home before a non-conference opponent, and 9-3 O/U in their last 12 division home games.
Database Situations That Back the Over
1. NFC East Overs: NFC East divisional games where the host is favored by 5+ points are 14-1 O/U last 4 years (93%). Philly is -7 here.
2. Game One Situations: Since 1993, Game 1 weekday home/neutral favorites of >1 point when the total is between 37–52 have gone 27-9-2 O/U, including 9-1-1 (90%) since 2017.
3. Defending Champs: In Weeks 1–4, home favorites of >3 points who won 14+ games the previous season are 12-1 O/U last 3 years. The Eagles fit perfectly.
4. Thursday Trend: Thursday home favorites of <10 points with totals between 40.0–47.0 are 12-1-1 O/U the last 3 years. Again, Philly vs Dallas matches this spot.
Bottom Line
All signs point to a high-scoring shootout to kick off the season. Historical matchups, team-specific O/U trends, and database systems all align on one outcome: take the OVER.
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