Whose your top play this week Si1ly?..............I saw we matched up on my top play last week, the Seahawks.................
Too early to say.. I just finished updating my databases to calculate RPI and I'm only now just beginning to run the sheets for this coming week. I can say with certainty that we won't be matching up on our top play this week.. these are the Giants defensive RPI ranks.
MOV = #24
YDS/PT = #26
YDS/PLAY = #30
YDS/ATT = #26
YDS/CAR = #30
I can't back a defense like this on the road catching less than a touchdown. I know this game looks like an inflated spread with the way San Francisco's defense has been performing, but with New York as such a public team, I think oddsmakers set this as high as they were willing - and I'm not sure it was quite high enough. I've got this game lined at SF -7
Whose your top play this week Si1ly?..............I saw we matched up on my top play last week, the Seahawks.................
Too early to say.. I just finished updating my databases to calculate RPI and I'm only now just beginning to run the sheets for this coming week. I can say with certainty that we won't be matching up on our top play this week.. these are the Giants defensive RPI ranks.
MOV = #24
YDS/PT = #26
YDS/PLAY = #30
YDS/ATT = #26
YDS/CAR = #30
I can't back a defense like this on the road catching less than a touchdown. I know this game looks like an inflated spread with the way San Francisco's defense has been performing, but with New York as such a public team, I think oddsmakers set this as high as they were willing - and I'm not sure it was quite high enough. I've got this game lined at SF -7
Purely quantitative ranking. I make no adjustments to the output.. this is how the teams rank statistically to one another with a very heavy weight towards their RPI's. The Saints are bad. They rank in the bottom 25% in every net statistical measure that my power rankings draw from.
Purely quantitative ranking. I make no adjustments to the output.. this is how the teams rank statistically to one another with a very heavy weight towards their RPI's. The Saints are bad. They rank in the bottom 25% in every net statistical measure that my power rankings draw from.
Too early to say.. I just finished updating my databases to calculate RPI and I'm only now just beginning to run the sheets for this coming week. I can say with certainty that we won't be matching up on our top play this week.. these are the Giants defensive RPI ranks.
MOV = #24
YDS/PT = #26
YDS/PLAY = #30
YDS/ATT = #26
YDS/CAR = #30
I can't back a defense like this on the road catching less than a touchdown. I know this game looks like an inflated spread with the way San Francisco's defense has been performing, but with New York as such a public team, I think oddsmakers set this as high as they were willing - and I'm not sure it was quite high enough. I've got this game lined at SF -7
Thank you for the information............I may put the 49ers in a few 10 point teasers to catch +5 & try for a middle & hope for a 49ers 3 point win or a Giants 3 point win.
Too early to say.. I just finished updating my databases to calculate RPI and I'm only now just beginning to run the sheets for this coming week. I can say with certainty that we won't be matching up on our top play this week.. these are the Giants defensive RPI ranks.
MOV = #24
YDS/PT = #26
YDS/PLAY = #30
YDS/ATT = #26
YDS/CAR = #30
I can't back a defense like this on the road catching less than a touchdown. I know this game looks like an inflated spread with the way San Francisco's defense has been performing, but with New York as such a public team, I think oddsmakers set this as high as they were willing - and I'm not sure it was quite high enough. I've got this game lined at SF -7
Thank you for the information............I may put the 49ers in a few 10 point teasers to catch +5 & try for a middle & hope for a 49ers 3 point win or a Giants 3 point win.
Not sure what you're implying, but they have lost to 3 top ten teams. Each game they lose they start very slow, pick up the tempo, and come close to finishing the comeback.
Interested to see how the adjust to come out of the gates a little quicker.
Not sure what you're implying, but they have lost to 3 top ten teams. Each game they lose they start very slow, pick up the tempo, and come close to finishing the comeback.
Interested to see how the adjust to come out of the gates a little quicker.
I'm still getting +2.5 offered on the Denver line and I don't see myself flipping sides during the week. I'm going to lock in at this number expecting it to close around +1 or PK.
I'm still getting +2.5 offered on the Denver line and I don't see myself flipping sides during the week. I'm going to lock in at this number expecting it to close around +1 or PK.
I like your breakdown sheets! It is very similar to what I did last year, but yours are far more detailed. Well done!
Question: How are your projected spreads and and totals being determined? Is it purely based on statistical calculations and RPI? Or do you factor in home/away, active/inactive players, etc? If it's mathematical, how is that being calculated?
I'm impressed with what you have done, I'm just looking to see how you should interpret your project spreads and totals against the current lines.
I like your breakdown sheets! It is very similar to what I did last year, but yours are far more detailed. Well done!
Question: How are your projected spreads and and totals being determined? Is it purely based on statistical calculations and RPI? Or do you factor in home/away, active/inactive players, etc? If it's mathematical, how is that being calculated?
I'm impressed with what you have done, I'm just looking to see how you should interpret your project spreads and totals against the current lines.
Love the early Denver play ! Missed the boat line 1 now might just watch this one But liked parts of what Denver did against the pats.. Also Monday night Peyton back on the big stage I say he will want to prove a point on national t.v!
Love the early Denver play ! Missed the boat line 1 now might just watch this one But liked parts of what Denver did against the pats.. Also Monday night Peyton back on the big stage I say he will want to prove a point on national t.v!
You not willing to touch Tennessee for the Thursday night game? Getting 3 more points then your chart projects.
I am seriously considering the Titans on Thursday. My book has already moved the line to 6 and I'm waiting to see if they'll give me the hook or drop the juice so I can buy it. I'd love to get 6.5 here.
You not willing to touch Tennessee for the Thursday night game? Getting 3 more points then your chart projects.
I am seriously considering the Titans on Thursday. My book has already moved the line to 6 and I'm waiting to see if they'll give me the hook or drop the juice so I can buy it. I'd love to get 6.5 here.
The strength of schedule (SOS) rankings are incorrect on this weeks sheets. I made an error in my database and the rankings published on the sheets are from another stat category. I have made the correction on my master sheet and I will try and find time to rerun the sheets. Please take this into advisement when reviewing strength of schedule. I apologize for the confusion.. I'm still working out the bugs in my database.
The strength of schedule (SOS) rankings are incorrect on this weeks sheets. I made an error in my database and the rankings published on the sheets are from another stat category. I have made the correction on my master sheet and I will try and find time to rerun the sheets. Please take this into advisement when reviewing strength of schedule. I apologize for the confusion.. I'm still working out the bugs in my database.
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